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Game Recap
BUF5
FinalFri, Dec 15, 2023Every game that night
VGK2

BUF beat VGK 5-2 despite fewer good chances: 2.17 expected goals to 4.86. VGK outshot BUF 35 to 27. C. Mittelstadt led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). D. Levi stopped 33 of 35.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0145
VGK0112
  1. 2nd 7:42BUFD. Cozens0.06 xG
  2. 2nd 13:44VGKI. BarbashevPP0.53 xG
  3. 3rd 3:22VGKJ. Eichel0.42 xG
  4. 3rd 5:01BUFC. Mittelstadt0.09 xG
  5. 3rd 9:29BUFZ. Benson0.26 xG
  6. 3rd 11:12BUFA. Tuch0.24 xG
  7. 3rd 17:19BUFC. MittelstadtEN0.26 xG

Team Stats

BUFVGK
27Shots on goal35
2.17Expected goals4.86
48Shot attempts77
245v5 shots on goal24
0/1Power play1/4
30Hits44
19Blocked shots12
8Penalty minutes2
4Giveaways7
9Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.17 xGVGK 4.86 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdBUF goal, 7:42VGK goal, 13:44VGK goal, 3:22BUF goal, 5:01BUF goal, 9:29BUF goal, 11:12BUF goal, 17:19

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF27 on goal, 5 scored
VGK34 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC213200+3016:380:34
D. CozensC123310+3015:160:16
A. TuchRW112201+1018:471:09
Z. BensonLW112301+1017:381:19
T. ThompsonC000410+2219:231:43
J. PeterkaRW000411+2018:251:54
P. KrebsC0001410215:580:00
E. RobinsonLW0002510015:210:00
K. OkposoRW000020+1014:290:50
T. JostC000100-1011:320:00
V. OlofssonLW000000006:430:00
B. MurrayLW000020025:090:06
M. SamuelssonD011132+3226:180:00
R. DahlinD011346+1023:511:36
C. CliftonD011042+1015:540:00
O. PowerD000100+1021:430:23
H. JokiharjuD000023+1018:430:05
R. JohnsonD000011+1011:420:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi35332.94360:00Win
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

VGK Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. EichelC101830-1019:544:40
I. BarbashevLW101340-1015:252:05
N. RoyC011230-1014:172:00
P. CotterLW0113600013:480:00
M. StoneRW000320-1020:084:30
W. KarlssonC000310-2017:544:00
J. MarchessaultRW000130-2016:394:24
M. AmadioRW000110-1014:561:44
C. StephensonC000100-2213:522:28
B. HowdenC000121-1013:310:00
W. CarrierLW0002000012:300:00
K. KolesarRW000290-1012:260:00
A. PietrangeloD000102-3023:324:41
N. HagueD0002230021:450:00
Z. WhitecloudD0000320021:220:05
B. HuttonD000000-2019:151:48
B. McNabbD000112-2014:220:00
B. PachalD000142-1013:110:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
L. Thompson26224.84659:13Loss
J. Patera000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.