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Game Recap
CAR2
Final/OTSat, Oct 22, 2022Every game that night
CGY3

CGY beat CAR 3-2 in overtime, with the chances close: 2.62 expected goals to 3.03. T. Toffoli led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). J. Markstrom stopped 25 of 27.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
CAR20002
CGY11013
  1. 1st 1:44CARS. Aho0.24 xG
  2. 1st 10:28CARC. de Haan0.00 xG
  3. 1st 13:31CGYN. KadriPP0.20 xG
  4. 2nd 2:31CGYB. Ritchie0.01 xG
  5. OT 4:30CGYT. Toffoli0.23 xG

Team Stats

CARCGY
27Shots on goal32
3.03Expected goals2.62
56Shot attempts42
225v5 shots on goal16
0/4Power play1/4
19Hits26
7Blocked shots15
8Penalty minutes8
3Giveaways6
10Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 3.03 xGCGY 2.62 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTCAR goal, 1:44CAR goal, 10:28CGY goal, 13:31CGY goal, 2:31CGY goal, 4:30

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR26 on goal, 2 scored
CGY29 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. AhoC101131-1020:473:48
T. TeravainenC011300+1020:204:20
P. StastnyC011000+1012:564:34
S. NoesenRW011200+1010:412:56
M. NecasC000100-1023:254:16
A. SvechnikovRW0000200220:383:27
J. KotkaniemiC0002210019:563:50
S. JarvisRW0003200017:113:33
J. StaalC0000100212:570:16
D. StepanC000400+1010:310:00
J. FastRW0000200010:090:14
J. MartinookLW000200-109:490:19
C. de HaanD1011200013:280:00
J. SlavinD0003130024:250:27
B. PesceD000101+1023:404:16
B. BurnsD000100-1223:183:34
B. SkjeiD000120+1218:250:00
J. ChatfieldD0002210014:420:10
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta32293.90664:18OT loss
F. Andersen000–0:00

CGY Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ToffoliC112400+1016:293:35
N. KadriC101501-1019:013:58
B. RitchieRW101220+1010:080:31
M. BacklundC0004110018:432:23
E. LindholmC0002300018:323:59
D. DubeC000120+1017:082:11
A. MangiapaneLW000120-2017:052:13
J. HuberdeauLW0002020016:313:51
T. LewisC0001010015:160:08
B. ColemanLW0000210415:090:08
K. RooneyC0001100010:360:02
M. LucicLW000020-109:520:00
R. AnderssonD022210+1227:474:01
N. HanifinD000122-1223:262:16
M. WeegarD0001420022:162:36
C. TanevD0004040018:370:08
N. ZadorovD0001410016:200:00
M. StoneD000000-1012:340:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Markstrom27252.92664:30Win
D. Vladar000–0:00