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Game Recap
CAR4
Final/OTThu, Dec 22, 2022Every game that night
PIT3

CAR beat PIT 4-3 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.75 expected goals to 2.72. CAR outshot PIT 36 to 27. D. Coghlan led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). A. Raanta stopped 24 of 27.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
CAR20114
PIT11103
  1. 1st 17:28PITS. CrosbyPP0.04 xG
  2. 1st 17:43CARM. Necas0.19 xG
  3. 1st 18:00CARJ. Chatfield0.02 xG
  4. 2nd 19:15PITB. McGinnSH0.04 xG
  5. 3rd 12:55PITB. Rust0.16 xG
  6. 3rd 15:34CARJ. Staal0.02 xG
  7. OT 0:23CARJ. Slavin0.21 xG

Team Stats

CARPIT
36Shots on goal27
3.75Expected goals2.72
76Shot attempts47
295v5 shots on goal21
0/5Power play1/3
21Hits38
7Blocked shots26
8Penalty minutes12
2Giveaways10
8Takeaways12

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 3.75 xGPIT 2.72 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTPIT goal, 17:28CAR goal, 17:43CAR goal, 18:00PIT goal, 19:15PIT goal, 12:55CAR goal, 15:34CAR goal, 0:23

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR36 on goal, 4 scored
PIT27 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. NecasC101600+1218:544:55
J. StaalC1013400018:350:10
J. FastRW0110010016:100:10
J. KotkaniemiC0112100015:383:01
S. JarvisRW011110+1015:183:01
A. SvechnikovRW000230+1019:464:50
J. MartinookLW000220-1018:390:15
P. StastnyC000210+1017:172:56
T. TeravainenC000200+1015:534:51
S. NoesenRW0002210012:284:55
D. StepanC000200006:170:00
J. DruryC000011005:230:00
D. CoghlanD022300+1013:493:01
J. SlavinD1012110025:330:10
B. BurnsD0112200224:315:05
J. ChatfieldD101331+1216:330:00
C. de HaanD011001+2213:010:05
B. PesceD0002010022:453:05
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta27243.88960:23Win
P. Kochetkov000–0:00

PIT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. GuentzelC0111310020:532:45
S. CrosbyC1013100020:032:44
B. RustRW101220-1018:100:01
B. McGinnLW101341-1214:450:00
T. BluegerC011201009:570:02
R. RakellRW0002440220:362:39
J. CarterC000013-2016:570:00
E. MalkinC000211-1016:502:41
J. ZuckerLW0002700214:190:00
K. KapanenRW000100-1010:310:00
D. HeinenLW000110005:080:00
D. O'ConnorLW000022024:190:00
M. PetterssonD011114-1025:570:00
K. LetangD011453-1025:502:45
B. DumoulinD0110210018:320:00
J. RuttaD000112-1220:120:04
C. RuhwedelD0000210214:550:00
P. JosephD0002120013:150:04
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
T. Jarry36324.88960:23OT loss
C. DeSmith000–0:00