Game Recap: CBJ 1, DAL 3, October 31, 2026

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Game Recap

CBJ1

FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026Every game that night

DAL3

DAL beat CBJ 3-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.34 expected goals to 2.25. CBJ outshot DAL 25 to 17. A. Hyry led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). J. Oettinger stopped 24 of 25.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CBJ	0	0	1	1
DAL	2	0	1	3

1st 2:16DALM. RantanenPP0.43 xG
1st 19:59DALT. Harley0.02 xG
3rd 6:21CBJD. Severson0.19 xG
3rd 19:59DALA. HyryEN0.55 xG

Team Stats

CBJDAL

25Shots on goal17

2.25Expected goals3.34

52Shot attempts34

225v5 shots on goal14

0/1Power play1/2

33Hits10

8Blocked shots14

0Penalty minutes2

17Giveaways20

3Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CBJ 2.25 xGDAL 3.34 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CBJ25 on goal, 1 scored

DAL17 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CBJ Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	TOI	PP TOI
K. Johnson	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	19:18	1:57
A. Fantilli	C	0	0	0	3	5	0	0	24:54	1:56
C. Coyle	C	0	0	0	2	3	1	-2	23:57	1:53
M. Knies	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	17:29	1:52
V. Nichushkin	RW	0	0	0	3	4	1	-1	17:26	0:07
C. Sillinger	C	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	15:44	0:00
S. Monahan	C	0	0	0	0	2	1	-1	15:20	0:03
C. Garland	RW	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	14:14	0:04
M. Olivier	RW	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	12:04	0:00
D. Heinen	LW	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	11:38	0:00
R. Lomberg	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	8:40	0:00
Z. Werenski	D	0	1	1	4	1	2	-1	28:01	2:00
D. Severson	D	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	20:50	0:00
D. Mateychuk	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	21:21	0:08
I. Provorov	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	19:31	0:00
D. Fabbro	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	12:57	0:00
J. Christiansen	D	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	11:03	0:00
E. Gudbranson	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	4:34	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Greaves	16	14	2	.875	58:26	Loss
C. Talbot	0	0	0	–	0:00

DAL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Hyry	RW	1	1	2	4	3	0	+2	0	15:23	0:00
W. Johnston	C	0	1	1	3	0	2	-1	0	19:48	2:33
M. Rantanen	RW	1	0	1	3	0	0	-1	0	18:50	2:33
J. Robertson	LW	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	16:38	2:33
J. Benn	LW	0	1	1	0	1	0	+2	0	15:45	0:00
S. Steel	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	18:19	0:00
R. Hintz	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	0	16:55	2:23
T. Seguin	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	15:50	0:00
J. Hryckowian	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	12:29	0:00
D. Perron	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	11:31	0:00
C. Blackwell	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9:18	0:00
J. Kiviranta	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	9:06	0:00
M. Heiskanen	D	0	2	2	1	0	2	+1	0	26:12	2:16
T. Harley	D	1	0	1	2	0	1	+1	0	22:49	0:17
E. Lindell	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	23:29	0:00
N. Lundkvist	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	20:29	0:10
L. Bichsel	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	12:55	0:00
T. Myers	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	12:14	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Oettinger	25	24	1	.960	60:00	Win
C. DeSmith	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CBJ

Line 1K. Johnson16:21A. Fantilli21:58V. Nichushkin15:39

Line 2C. Coyle18:07M. Knies15:03M. Olivier10:48

Line 3C. Garland13:36S. Monahan13:56D. Heinen11:38

Line 4R. Lomberg8:40C. Sillinger15:44

Pair 1D. Severson19:44Z. Werenski22:51

Pair 2I. Provorov17:50D. Mateychuk20:16

Pair 3D. Fabbro12:04J. Christiansen11:03

DAL

Line 1W. Johnston17:04M. Rantanen16:10S. Steel16:56

Line 2T. Seguin15:16J. Robertson13:31R. Hintz13:01

Line 3J. Benn14:48A. Hyry13:20D. Perron11:28

Line 4C. Blackwell9:18J. Kiviranta8:37J. Hryckowian11:44

Pair 1E. Lindell20:36M. Heiskanen21:00

Pair 2N. Lundkvist20:19T. Harley21:58

Pair 3T. Myers11:31L. Bichsel12:48

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Prop Results

6 of 13 overs hit (46%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	SOG	Result
DAL J. Robertson	3.5	+115	-144	1	Under
DAL M. Rantanen	2.5	+160	-170	3	Over
DAL R. Hintz	2.5	+170	-185	0	Under
DAL W. Johnston	2.5	+100	-118	3	Over
CBJ Z. Werenski	2.5	-115	+110	4	Over
CBJ C. Coyle	1.5	+100	-115	2	Over
CBJ K. Johnson	1.5	-125	+105	1	Under
DAL M. Heiskanen	1.5	-150	+125	1	Under
CBJ M. Olivier	1.5	+110	-160	1	Under
DAL S. Steel	1.5	+120	-155	0	Under
DAL T. Harley	1.5	-146	+115	2	Over
DAL T. Seguin	1.5	-135	+115	0	Under
CBJ V. Nichushkin	1.5	-115	-105	3	Over

4 of 33 overs hit (12%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	G	Result
DAL A. Hyry	0.5	+700	-900	1	Over
DAL C. Blackwell	0.5	+1100	-2000	0	Under
CBJ C. Coyle	0.5	+370	-500	0	Under
CBJ C. Garland	0.5	+650	-900	0	Under
CBJ C. Sillinger	0.5	+700	-1400	0	Under
CBJ D. Fabbro	0.5	+2100	-5000	0	Under
CBJ D. Heinen	0.5	+1100	-2000	0	Under
CBJ D. Mateychuk	0.5	+1100	-2000	0	Under
CBJ D. Severson	0.5	+1100	-3500	1	Over
CBJ E. Gudbranson	0.5	+2200	-4000	0	Under
DAL E. Lindell	0.5	+1400	-2000	0	Under
CBJ I. Provorov	0.5	+1300	-2000	0	Under
DAL J. Benn	0.5	+500	-800	0	Under
CBJ J. Christiansen	0.5	+3000	–	0	Under
DAL J. Hryckowian	0.5	+600	-1400	0	Under
DAL J. Kiviranta	0.5	+850	-1200	0	Under
DAL J. Robertson	0.5	+135	-160	0	Under
CBJ K. Johnson	0.5	+330	-490	0	Under
DAL L. Bichsel	0.5	+1600	-4000	0	Under
DAL M. Heiskanen	0.5	+550	-1000	0	Under
CBJ M. Olivier	0.5	+650	-800	0	Under
DAL M. Rantanen	0.5	+195	-250	1	Over
DAL N. Lundkvist	0.5	+1500	-2500	0	Under
DAL R. Hintz	0.5	+210	-270	0	Under
CBJ R. Lomberg	0.5	+1900	-3500	0	Under
CBJ S. Monahan	0.5	+550	-900	0	Under
DAL S. Steel	0.5	+550	-1100	0	Under
DAL T. Harley	0.5	+800	-900	1	Over
DAL T. Myers	0.5	+2200	-4000	0	Under
DAL T. Seguin	0.5	+330	-390	0	Under
CBJ V. Nichushkin	0.5	+430	-650	0	Under
DAL W. Johnston	0.5	+165	-210	0	Under
CBJ Z. Werenski	0.5	+410	-700	0	Under

7 of 22 overs hit (32%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	A	Result
DAL A. Hyry	0.5	+330	-475	1	Over
CBJ C. Coyle	0.5	+200	-220	0	Under
CBJ C. Garland	0.5	+350	-525	0	Under
CBJ C. Sillinger	0.5	+390	-575	0	Under
CBJ D. Mateychuk	0.5	+235	-330	0	Under
CBJ D. Severson	0.5	+260	-285	0	Under
DAL J. Benn	0.5	+245	-350	1	Over
CBJ J. Christiansen	0.5	+600	-1000	0	Under
DAL J. Robertson	0.5	+100	-125	1	Over
CBJ K. Johnson	0.5	+210	-235	1	Over
DAL M. Heiskanen	0.5	+115	-115	2	Over
CBJ M. Olivier	0.5	+400	-600	0	Under
DAL M. Rantanen	0.5	-120	+100	0	Under
DAL N. Lundkvist	0.5	+425	-650	0	Under
DAL R. Hintz	0.5	+140	-165	0	Under
CBJ S. Monahan	0.5	+300	-450	0	Under
DAL S. Steel	0.5	+295	-425	0	Under
DAL T. Harley	0.5	+195	-200	0	Under
DAL T. Seguin	0.5	+230	-275	0	Under
CBJ V. Nichushkin	0.5	+215	-260	0	Under
DAL W. Johnston	0.5	+130	-155	1	Over
CBJ Z. Werenski	0.5	-110	-105	1	Over

9 of 22 overs hit (41%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	P	Result
DAL J. Robertson	1.5	+190	-235	1	Under
DAL A. Hyry	0.5	+200	-275	2	Over
CBJ C. Coyle	0.5	+115	-135	0	Under
CBJ C. Garland	0.5	+215	-300	0	Under
CBJ C. Sillinger	0.5	+245	-350	0	Under
CBJ D. Mateychuk	0.5	+180	-250	0	Under
CBJ D. Severson	0.5	+170	-215	1	Over
DAL J. Benn	0.5	+150	-205	1	Over
CBJ J. Christiansen	0.5	+500	-800	0	Under
CBJ K. Johnson	0.5	+105	-125	1	Over
DAL M. Heiskanen	0.5	-115	+115	2	Over
CBJ M. Olivier	0.5	+235	-250	0	Under
DAL M. Rantanen	0.5	-225	+190	1	Over
DAL N. Lundkvist	0.5	+330	-475	0	Under
DAL R. Hintz	0.5	-150	+120	0	Under
CBJ S. Monahan	0.5	+175	-235	0	Under
DAL S. Steel	0.5	+195	-240	0	Under
DAL T. Harley	0.5	+135	-160	1	Over
DAL T. Seguin	0.5	+120	-135	0	Under
CBJ V. Nichushkin	0.5	+125	-150	0	Under
DAL W. Johnston	0.5	-185	+150	1	Over
CBJ Z. Werenski	0.5	-150	+130	1	Over

3 of 10 overs hit (30%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	PPP	Result
CBJ C. Coyle	0.5	+340	-525	0	Under
DAL J. Robertson	0.5	+165	-190	1	Over
CBJ K. Johnson	0.5	+300	-400	0	Under
DAL M. Heiskanen	0.5	+220	-250	0	Under
DAL M. Rantanen	0.5	+180	-200	1	Over
DAL R. Hintz	0.5	+333	-375	0	Under
DAL T. Harley	0.5	+500	-1600	0	Under
DAL T. Seguin	0.5	+500	-1600	0	Under
DAL W. Johnston	0.5	+210	-275	1	Over
CBJ Z. Werenski	0.5	+210	-295	0	Under

Player	Line	Over	Under	SV	Result
CBJ J. Greaves	24.5	-110	-118	14	Under
DAL J. Oettinger	21.5	-115	-108	24	Over

Player	Line	Over	Under	BLK	Result
DAL T. Harley	2.5	+125	-175	1	Under
CBJ Z. Werenski	1.5	-185	+130	2	Over

Each player's main line (the one most books posted) at the last price before puck drop, the best price on each side there, and what he did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CBJ 2.6, DAL 3.2	CBJ 1, DAL 3
Total goals	5.8	4
Shots on goal	CBJ 24.2, DAL 26.7	CBJ 25, DAL 17
Win chance	DAL 60%	DAL won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DAL J. Robertson	3.3	1	1.13	1	38%	0
CBJ Z. Werenski	3.2	4	0.97	1	19%	0
CBJ A. Fantilli	2.6	3	0.72	0	29%	0
DAL W. Johnston	2.5	3	0.95	1	36%	0
DAL M. Rantanen	2.2	3	1.16	1	35%	1
DAL M. Heiskanen	2.2	1	0.79	2	15%	0
DAL R. Hintz	2.1	0	0.83	0	30%	0
DAL T. Seguin	1.8	0	0.59	0	23%	0
CBJ K. Johnson	1.8	1	0.58	1	21%	0
CBJ V. Nichushkin	1.8	3	0.56	0	24%	0
CBJ C. Coyle	1.7	2	0.63	0	21%	0
DAL T. Harley	1.7	2	0.46	1	12%	1
DAL D. Perron	1.7	0	0.51	0	22%	0
CBJ M. Olivier	1.6	1	0.39	0	18%	0
CBJ M. Knies	1.5	0	0.64	0	23%	0
DAL A. Hyry	1.5	4	0.31	2	16%	1
CBJ C. Sillinger	1.5	2	0.36	0	13%	0
CBJ D. Mateychuk	1.4	2	0.40	0	13%	0
CBJ S. Monahan	1.4	0	0.46	0	17%	0
CBJ C. Garland	1.4	2	0.34	0	14%	0
DAL S. Steel	1.3	0	0.44	0	15%	0
CBJ D. Severson	1.2	1	0.43	1	10%	1
DAL J. Kiviranta	1.2	1	0.22	0	11%	0
DAL J. Benn	1.1	0	0.43	1	16%	0
DAL N. Lundkvist	1.1	0	0.26	0	6%	0
DAL E. Lindell	1.1	1	0.32	0	8%	0
DAL T. Myers	1.1	1	0.19	0	4%	0
DAL J. Hryckowian	1.0	0	0.32	0	14%	0
CBJ R. Lomberg	0.9	0	0.13	0	6%	0
DAL C. Blackwell	0.9	0	0.19	0	8%	0
CBJ D. Fabbro	0.9	1	0.20	0	6%	0
CBJ E. Gudbranson	0.8	0	0.16	0	4%	0
CBJ J. Christiansen	0.8	1	0.15	0	3%	0
CBJ D. Heinen	0.8	1	0.22	0	10%	0
DAL L. Bichsel	0.8	0	0.18	0	7%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.