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Game Recap
CBJ2
LAK5
LAK beat CBJ 5-2, with the chances close: 3.56 expected goals to 2.81. W. Foegele led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). D. Rittich stopped 24 of 26.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| LAK | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
- 1st 13:26CBJD. Voronkov0.11 xG
- 2nd 4:16LAKV. Gavrikov0.03 xG
- 2nd 6:12LAKW. Foegele0.06 xG
- 3rd 0:30LAKT. MooreSH0.02 xG
- 3rd 0:49CBJI. ProvorovPP0.42 xG
- 3rd 7:05LAKA. Laferriere0.07 xG
- 3rd 19:29LAKB. ClarkeEN0.21 xG
Team Stats
CBJLAK
26Shots on goal23
2.81Expected goals3.56
60Shot attempts52
205v5 shots on goal15
1/3Power play1/4
16Hits8
12Blocked shots22
13Penalty minutes9
10Giveaways14
4Takeaways5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
CBJ 2.81 xGLAK 3.56 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
CBJ Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Danforth | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:37 | 1:23 |
| A. Fantilli | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 18:23 | 1:27 |
| D. Voronkov | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:24 | 1:52 |
| C. Sillinger | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 22:12 | 2:45 |
| K. Marchenko | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 18:05 | 2:09 |
| S. Monahan | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 16:45 | 2:49 |
| E. Chinakhov | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 16:30 | 2:46 |
| M. Pyyhtia | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:31 | 0:00 |
| M. Olivier | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11:15 | 0:00 |
| Z. Aston-Reese | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 11:13 | 0:00 |
| K. Labanc | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 9:15 | 0:00 |
| S. Kuraly | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 8:59 | 0:00 |
| I. Provorov | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27:30 | 1:34 |
| Z. Werenski | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 27:21 | 2:38 |
| D. Severson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 24:24 | 1:37 |
| J. Christiansen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:40 | 0:00 |
| J. Johnson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 11:43 | 0:00 |
| D.Jiricek | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 8:50 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Merzlikins | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 58:36 | Loss |
| D. Tarasov | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:14 | 4:44 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:44 | 4:03 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:42 | 0:49 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:57 | 2:09 |
| T. Moore | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:24 | 2:00 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:17 | 3:55 |
| S. Helenius | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:13 | 0:00 |
| A. Thomas | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:11 | 0:00 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:36 | 4:24 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:24 | 2:49 |
| T. Lewis | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:31 | 0:17 |
| A. Lee | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:35 | 0:00 |
| B. Clarke | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 0 | 22:52 | 5:42 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 22:50 | 0:11 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 21:42 | 0:59 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 0 | 22:20 | 0:58 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16:34 | 1:10 |
| A. Englund | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9:05 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rittich | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 59:40 | Win |
| D. Kuemper | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CBJ 2.8, LAK 3.7 | CBJ 2, LAK 5 |
| Total goals | 6.5 | 7 |
| Shots on goal | CBJ 27.0, LAK 34.2 | CBJ 26, LAK 23 |
| Win chance | LAK 64% | LAK won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK A. Kempe | 3.3 | 1 | 1.03 | 2 | 39% | 0 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 3.0 | 1 | 1.04 | 0 | 34% | 0 |
| CBJ Z. Werenski | 2.7 | 4 | 0.72 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.7 | 5 | 0.65 | 1 | 25% | 1 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.5 | 1 | 0.56 | 2 | 24% | 1 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 2.3 | 4 | 0.64 | 1 | 8% | 1 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.3 | 3 | 0.57 | 1 | 25% | 1 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 2.2 | 1 | 0.71 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| CBJ K. Marchenko | 2.1 | 2 | 0.54 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| CBJ S. Monahan | 2.1 | 3 | 0.62 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| CBJ A. Fantilli | 2.1 | 0 | 0.48 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| CBJ E. Chinakhov | 2.1 | 2 | 0.50 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| CBJ C. Sillinger | 2.0 | 3 | 0.42 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 2.0 | 0 | 0.66 | 1 | 23% | 0 |
| CBJ D. Voronkov | 1.8 | 2 | 0.38 | 1 | 18% | 1 |
| LAK A. Thomas | 1.7 | 0 | 0.42 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.6 | 1 | 0.41 | 1 | 8% | 1 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.6 | 2 | 0.95 | 2 | 29% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 1.6 | 0 | 0.41 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK T. Lewis | 1.5 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Danforth | 1.4 | 2 | 0.38 | 2 | 17% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.4 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| CBJ D. Severson | 1.3 | 1 | 0.42 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| CBJ I. Provorov | 1.3 | 1 | 0.35 | 1 | 6% | 1 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.3 | 0 | 0.27 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| CBJ K. Labanc | 1.3 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| CBJ Z. Aston-Reese | 1.2 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CBJ M. Olivier | 1.1 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| LAK A. Lee | 1.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| CBJ S. Kuraly | 1.0 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Christiansen | 1.0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| CBJ M. Pyyhtia | 0.9 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| CBJ D.Jiricek | 0.7 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Johnson | 0.7 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| LAK A. Englund | 0.5 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 20 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.