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Game Recap
CBJ4
WPG1
CBJ beat WPG 4-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.68 expected goals to 2.30. K. Johnson led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). E. Merzlikins stopped 24 of 25.
Team Stats
CBJWPG
28Shots on goal25
3.68Expected goals2.30
53Shot attempts70
225v5 shots on goal15
1/2Power play1/4
28Hits13
24Blocked shots16
10Penalty minutes6
17Giveaways17
5Takeaways7
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
CBJ 3.68 xGWPG 2.30 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
CBJ Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnson | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:31 | 2:19 |
| J. van Riemsdyk | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 11:51 | 0:11 |
| S. Monahan | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 19:09 | 2:28 |
| D. Voronkov | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 18:36 | 2:30 |
| K. Marchenko | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:35 | 2:20 |
| S. Kuraly | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:21 | 0:00 |
| A. Fantilli | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:36 | 0:21 |
| M. Olivier | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:38 | 0:00 |
| Z. Aston-Reese | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 | 0:00 |
| J. Danforth | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:54 | 0:00 |
| C. Sillinger | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:44 | 0:22 |
| K. Labanc | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:13 | 0:13 |
| Z. Werenski | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26:16 | 2:35 |
| I. Provorov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 23:07 | 0:06 |
| D. Fabbro | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:29 | 0:00 |
| D. Severson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 22:25 | 0:00 |
| J. Christiansen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:43 | 0:00 |
| J. Harris | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:10 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Merzlikins | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 60:00 | Win |
| D. Tarasov | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
WPG Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Connor | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 0 | 23:25 | 5:09 |
| M. Scheifele | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 22:44 | 5:22 |
| G. Vilardi | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | 22:16 | 5:15 |
| C. Perfetti | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:17 | 5:31 |
| N. Niederreiter | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:16 | 2:03 |
| A. Lowry | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:57 | 0:00 |
| B. Lambert | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:42 | 2:12 |
| M. Appleton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 | 0:00 |
| V. Namestnikov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:56 | 2:27 |
| A. Iafallo | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:18 | 1:52 |
| M. Barron | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:53 | 0:03 |
| R. Kupari | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:23 | 0:00 |
| J. Morrissey | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 25:05 | 5:31 |
| N. Pionk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 19:59 | 1:31 |
| D. DeMelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17:14 | 0:15 |
| H. Fleury | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17:14 | 0:00 |
| L. Stanley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 | 0:00 |
| C. Miller | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:11 | 0:39 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Comrie | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 57:42 | Loss |
| C. Hellebuyck | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CBJ 2.9, WPG 3.4 | CBJ 4, WPG 1 |
| Total goals | 6.4 | 5 |
| Shots on goal | CBJ 30.7, WPG 30.9 | CBJ 28, WPG 25 |
| Win chance | WPG 58% | CBJ won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG K. Connor | 3.4 | 5 | 1.15 | 1 | 41% | 1 |
| CBJ Z. Werenski | 3.2 | 1 | 0.77 | 1 | 14% | 0 |
| WPG J. Morrissey | 2.5 | 2 | 0.92 | 1 | 15% | 0 |
| CBJ K. Marchenko | 2.3 | 3 | 0.57 | 1 | 25% | 0 |
| WPG M. Scheifele | 2.3 | 1 | 1.11 | 1 | 38% | 0 |
| WPG G. Vilardi | 2.3 | 2 | 0.85 | 0 | 36% | 0 |
| CBJ C. Sillinger | 2.3 | 0 | 0.45 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| CBJ S. Monahan | 2.2 | 4 | 0.63 | 1 | 22% | 0 |
| WPG N. Niederreiter | 2.1 | 2 | 0.55 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| CBJ A. Fantilli | 2.1 | 2 | 0.48 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| WPG C. Perfetti | 2.1 | 4 | 0.67 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| CBJ D. Voronkov | 2.0 | 2 | 0.47 | 1 | 21% | 1 |
| CBJ K. Johnson | 2.0 | 4 | 0.55 | 2 | 20% | 2 |
| WPG N. Pionk | 2.0 | 3 | 0.59 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| WPG M. Appleton | 1.6 | 0 | 0.45 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| CBJ D. Severson | 1.6 | 2 | 0.45 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Danforth | 1.5 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| WPG A. Lowry | 1.5 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| CBJ D. Fabbro | 1.5 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| WPG H. Fleury | 1.4 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Riemsdyk | 1.4 | 2 | 0.34 | 2 | 14% | 0 |
| CBJ Z. Aston-Reese | 1.4 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| WPG C. Miller | 1.3 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| WPG V. Namestnikov | 1.2 | 0 | 0.51 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| CBJ K. Labanc | 1.2 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| CBJ M. Olivier | 1.2 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| CBJ I. Provorov | 1.2 | 0 | 0.29 | 1 | 6% | 0 |
| WPG A. Iafallo | 1.2 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| WPG M. Barron | 1.1 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| WPG D. DeMelo | 1.1 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CBJ S. Kuraly | 1.0 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 10% | 1 |
| WPG L. Stanley | 1.0 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| WPG R. Kupari | 0.9 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Christiansen | 0.9 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Harris | 0.5 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 17 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.