Game Recap: CGY 5, ANA 3, April 4, 2026

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Game Recap

CGY5

FinalSat, Apr 4, 2026Every game that night

ANA3

CGY beat ANA 5-3, with the chances close: 3.69 expected goals to 3.45. ANA outshot CGY 39 to 20. M. Frost led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). J. Carlson had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.2. D. Cooley stopped 36 of 39.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CGY	1	3	1	5
ANA	1	0	2	3

1st 10:11ANAB. Sennecke0.09 xG
1st 13:24CGYJ. Farabee0.12 xG
2nd 1:20CGYR. Strome0.15 xG
2nd 7:49CGYM. Gridin0.14 xG
2nd 18:44CGYM. Frost0.27 xG
3rd 7:49ANAL. Carlsson0.07 xG
3rd 9:51ANAM. McTavishPP0.10 xG
3rd 18:49CGYM. FrostEN0.93 xG

Team Stats

CGYANA

20Shots on goal39

3.69Expected goals3.45

47Shot attempts78

185v5 shots on goal34

0/1Power play1/3

27Hits21

16Blocked shots13

6Penalty minutes2

20Giveaways12

3Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CGY 3.69 xGANA 3.45 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CGY20 on goal, 5 scored

ANA36 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Farabee	LW	1	1	2	2	0	1	+2	0	15:42	0:00
M. Frost	C	2	0	2	5	2	1	+4	2	15:32	0:40
M. Gridin	RW	1	1	2	3	0	1	+2	0	14:02	0:40
B. Coleman	LW	0	1	1	1	4	2	+1	2	18:51	0:40
M. Coronato	RW	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	15:11	0:40
R. Strome	C	1	0	1	2	2	1	0	0	14:18	1:20
V. Olofsson	LW	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	13:08	1:20
M. Pospisil	C	0	1	1	0	7	1	0	0	12:46	0:00
M. Backlund	C	0	0	0	2	1	1	-1	0	21:40	1:20
Y. Sharangovich	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13:25	0:00
C. Zary	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	11:47	1:20
A. Klapka	RW	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	10:19	0:00
K. Bahl	D	0	1	1	0	0	2	+2	0	24:17	0:00
O. Määttä	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	19:55	0:00
H. Brzustewicz	D	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	15:16	0:12
Z. Whitecloud	D	0	0	0	1	3	3	+2	2	25:45	0:00
Y. Kuznetsov	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	17:20	0:00
Z. Parekh	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	15:49	1:48

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Cooley	39	36	3	.923	60:00	Win
D. Wolf	0	0	0	–	0:00

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
B. Sennecke	RW	1	0	1	3	1	0	+1	2	21:22	2:49
L. Carlsson	C	1	0	1	3	0	1	+1	0	20:06	2:10
A. Killorn	LW	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	18:14	2:48
M. McTavish	C	1	0	1	3	1	0	-3	0	14:50	2:49
M. Granlund	C	0	0	0	3	0	2	-1	0	20:54	2:07
C. Kreider	LW	0	0	0	2	2	0	-2	0	19:35	2:09
T. Terry	RW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-2	0	19:10	2:10
R. Poehling	C	0	0	0	4	1	1	-3	0	15:04	2:46
T. Washe	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	10:19	0:00
J. Viel	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-2	0	10:08	0:00
N. Gaucher	C	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	7:51	0:00
J. Trouba	D	0	1	1	4	4	1	-2	0	21:18	0:00
J. LaCombe	D	0	1	1	1	1	1	-3	0	20:46	2:44
J. Carlson	D	0	0	0	6	0	2	0	0	23:52	2:13
T. Hinds	D	0	0	0	4	1	1	0	0	23:22	0:00
D. Helleson	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	13:33	0:00
O. Zellweger	D	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	10:52	0:00
I. Moore	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	8:16	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
V. Husso	19	15	4	.789	58:28	Loss
L. Dostal	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CGY

Line 1M. Backlund16:32B. Coleman15:11M. Coronato13:55

Line 2M. Gridin13:22M. Frost13:55J. Farabee12:20

Line 3V. Olofsson11:48M. Pospisil12:46R. Strome12:14

Line 4Y. Sharangovich11:24A. Klapka10:19C. Zary10:27

Pair 1Z. Whitecloud22:21K. Bahl19:54

Pair 2O. Määttä17:09H. Brzustewicz15:04

Pair 3Y. Kuznetsov15:13Z. Parekh13:41

ANA

Line 1L. Carlsson16:44B. Sennecke17:12A. Killorn14:03

Line 2C. Kreider16:14T. Terry16:49M. Granlund16:38

Line 3J. Viel9:48M. McTavish10:49R. Poehling10:35

Line 4T. Washe9:42N. Gaucher7:51

Pair 1J. Carlson19:13T. Hinds23:22

Pair 2J. LaCombe17:51J. Trouba19:42

Pair 3D. Helleson12:58O. Zellweger9:48

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamRyan Strome CGY Faces ANA, his team until Mar 20261 G, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CGY 3.1, ANA 3.3	CGY 5, ANA 3
Total goals	6.5	8
Shots on goal	CGY 28.3, ANA 32.1	CGY 20, ANA 39
Win chance	ANA 54%	CGY won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
CGY B. Coleman	2.5	1	0.60	1	25%	0
ANA T. Terry	2.5	3	0.84	0	27%	0
ANA L. Carlsson	2.5	3	0.82	1	27%	1
ANA J. Carlson	2.2	6	0.70	0	12%	0
ANA B. Sennecke	2.2	3	0.63	1	21%	1
CGY M. Backlund	2.2	2	0.55	0	20%	0
CGY M. Coronato	2.2	1	0.55	1	21%	0
ANA C. Kreider	2.1	2	0.73	0	33%	0
ANA M. Granlund	2.1	3	0.77	0	23%	0
CGY M. Gridin	1.9	3	0.54	2	17%	1
ANA J. Trouba	1.9	4	0.32	1	7%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.9	0	0.52	1	22%	0
CGY V. Olofsson	1.8	2	0.46	1	21%	0
CGY Y. Sharangovich	1.8	0	0.48	0	22%	0
ANA J. LaCombe	1.7	1	0.56	1	9%	0
CGY J. Farabee	1.6	2	0.45	2	19%	1
ANA M. McTavish	1.6	3	0.45	1	17%	1
CGY M. Frost	1.6	5	0.51	2	19%	2
ANA J. Viel	1.4	2	0.24	0	11%	0
ANA R. Poehling	1.4	4	0.48	0	16%	0
ANA O. Zellweger	1.3	1	0.22	0	6%	0
CGY C. Zary	1.3	0	0.37	0	16%	0
CGY R. Strome	1.3	2	0.48	1	15%	1
CGY H. Brzustewicz	1.3	0	0.29	1	6%	0
ANA T. Washe	1.2	0	0.22	0	11%	0
CGY Z. Parekh	1.2	0	0.32	0	9%	0
CGY Z. Whitecloud	1.1	1	0.28	0	7%	0
CGY O. Määttä	1.0	1	0.35	1	6%	0
CGY Y. Kuznetsov	1.0	0	0.24	0	7%	0
ANA I. Moore	1.0	0	0.18	0	5%	0
CGY M. Pospisil	1.0	0	0.21	1	7%	0
CGY A. Klapka	1.0	0	0.24	0	11%	0
CGY K. Bahl	0.9	0	0.27	1	5%	0
ANA D. Helleson	0.7	0	0.21	0	4%	0

Shots on goal: 19 of 34 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.