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Game Recap
CGY7
FinalSat, Feb 11, 2023Every game that night
BUF2

CGY beat BUF 7-2, and the chances backed it up: 4.01 expected goals to 3.14. CGY outshot BUF 40 to 23. D. Dube led the way with 4 points (1 G, 3 A). J. Markstrom stopped 21 of 23.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CGY0437
BUF2002
  1. 1st 7:56BUFT. ThompsonPP0.06 xG
  2. 1st 12:34BUFC. Mittelstadt0.03 xG
  3. 2nd 2:17CGYJ. Pelletier0.24 xG
  4. 2nd 2:37CGYM. Backlund0.09 xG
  5. 2nd 4:04CGYD. Gilbert0.03 xG
  6. 2nd 7:39CGYN. Kadri0.07 xG
  7. 3rd 1:57CGYT. Toffoli0.09 xG
  8. 3rd 13:05CGYT. ToffoliPP0.05 xG
  9. 3rd 17:11CGYD. Dube0.10 xG

Team Stats

CGYBUF
40Shots on goal23
4.01Expected goals3.14
66Shot attempts53
345v5 shots on goal12
1/3Power play1/3
25Hits8
22Blocked shots11
8Penalty minutes10
4Giveaways3
7Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CGY 4.01 xGBUF 3.14 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdBUF goal, 7:56BUF goal, 12:34CGY goal, 2:17CGY goal, 2:37CGY goal, 4:04CGY goal, 7:39CGY goal, 1:57CGY goal, 13:05CGY goal, 17:11

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CGY40 on goal, 7 scored
BUF23 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CGY Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. DubeC134311+2016:063:02
T. ToffoliC213510+2014:252:59
N. KadriC112413+2017:212:50
J. HuberdeauLW022000+2016:342:42
E. LindholmC022110+2015:562:54
M. BacklundC101511+1018:593:09
J. PelletierLW101410+2014:582:27
B. ColemanLW011110+1014:230:00
A. MangiapaneLW000211+1016:312:55
T. LewisC0001200011:560:09
M. LucicLW0000200210:470:05
B. RitchieRW0002100210:010:00
C. TanevD022015+1023:240:15
D. GilbertD112111+2011:150:00
N. HanifinD000502+1024:592:34
N. ZadorovD000322+2020:490:11
M. WeegarD000152+3220:203:18
M. StoneD000234+1213:590:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Markstrom23212.91360:00Win
D. Vladar000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC101102-2018:293:21
D. CozensC0111010016:363:06
C. MittelstadtC101110-2014:111:34
T. JostC011202-2013:040:00
V. OlofssonLW011100-2012:451:49
A. TuchRW000010-1018:513:06
J. SkinnerLW000500-2016:423:21
J. QuinnRW0001010214:021:49
K. OkposoRW000600-2213:270:22
Z. GirgensonsC000120-1013:070:22
P. KrebsC000110-1212:550:22
J. PeterkaRW0001000012:551:34
R. DahlinD011011-2223:173:21
O. PowerD000100-1020:571:46
M. SamuelssonD000011-2019:580:00
H. JokiharjuD000100-1018:410:12
I. LyubushkinD000011-2216:220:10
J. BrysonD000002-2016:020:10
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen40337.82559:45Loss
E. Comrie000–0:00