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Game Recap
CGY4
FinalThu, Oct 19, 2023Every game that night
BUF3

CGY beat BUF 4-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.29 expected goals to 2.15. CGY outshot BUF 36 to 27. R. Dahlin led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). D. Vladar stopped 24 of 27.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CGY2024
BUF2013
  1. 1st 0:49CGYJ. Huberdeau0.18 xG
  2. 1st 6:06BUFE. Johnson0.01 xG
  3. 1st 10:15CGYW. Duehr0.20 xG
  4. 1st 14:28BUFT. ThompsonPP0.07 xG
  5. 3rd 1:52CGYB. Coleman0.13 xG
  6. 3rd 3:14BUFJ. Peterka0.09 xG
  7. 3rd 4:35CGYA. Ruzicka0.05 xG

Team Stats

CGYBUF
36Shots on goal27
3.29Expected goals2.15
62Shot attempts54
275v5 shots on goal19
0/5Power play1/5
12Hits22
17Blocked shots12
12Penalty minutes10
3Giveaways12
10Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CGY 3.29 xGBUF 2.15 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdCGY goal, 0:49BUF goal, 6:06CGY goal, 10:15BUF goal, 14:28CGY goal, 1:52BUF goal, 3:14CGY goal, 4:35

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CGY34 on goal, 4 scored
BUF26 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CGY Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
E. LindholmC011310+1022:475:44
J. HuberdeauLW101201+1018:226:22
N. KadriC011201+1017:526:30
A. RuzickaC101200+1015:214:57
D. DubeC011101+1214:012:37
B. ColemanLW1011110013:530:00
Y. SharangovichC0112000012:130:49
M. CoronatoRW0112000011:091:38
A. GreerLW0111200010:320:33
W. DuehrRW1012100210:010:26
M. BacklundC0005010019:243:03
A. MangiapaneLW000011+1412:331:30
R. AnderssonD011314+2023:526:12
D. GilbertD011120+2011:500:00
N. HanifinD000203+2022:383:45
M. WeegarD000504-2221:121:12
C. TanevD000100+2018:110:00
N. ZadorovD000130-2215:340:17
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Vladar27243.88960:00Win
J. Markstrom000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. CozensC022030+2017:385:43
T. ThompsonC101200-1021:165:11
K. OkposoRW011011+1013:000:02
J. PeterkaRW101300+1012:582:50
A. TuchRW000102-1020:255:48
J. SkinnerLW000400-1019:075:31
C. MittelstadtC000300-3214:573:19
J. GreenwayLW000020-3013:290:04
P. KrebsC000110+2012:452:55
Z. BensonLW000000-3012:082:41
Z. GirgensonsC0000410011:340:00
T. JostC0000010210:400:04
R. DahlinD022442-1223:254:03
H. JokiharjuD011011+1014:350:25
E. JohnsonD101312-2013:460:00
O. PowerD000400+1026:004:13
M. SamuelssonD000121-1019:120:06
C. CliftonD000131-2415:010:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi36324.88958:58Loss
U. Luukkonen000–0:00