Game Recap: CGY 3, WSH 7, March 9, 2026

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Game Recap

CGY3

FinalMon, Mar 9, 2026Every game that night

WSH7

WSH beat CGY 7-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.67 expected goals to 3.34. J. Sourdif led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). B. Coleman had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.2. L. Thompson stopped 23 of 26.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CGY	0	3	0	3
WSH	3	0	4	7

1st 2:46WSHH. Lapierre0.48 xG
1st 9:13WSHT. Wilson0.04 xG
1st 17:43WSHC. McMichael0.26 xG
2nd 16:08CGYM. Gridin0.17 xG
2nd 17:39CGYB. ColemanSH0.19 xG
2nd 18:55CGYY. SharangovichSH0.30 xG
3rd 10:52WSHC. McMichaelPP0.15 xG
3rd 11:15WSHJ. Sourdif0.05 xG
3rd 17:14WSHE. FrankEN0.54 xG
3rd 19:44WSHR. Leonard0.24 xG

Team Stats

CGYWSH

26Shots on goal29

3.34Expected goals4.67

66Shot attempts57

215v5 shots on goal24

0/0Power play1/3

15Hits20

13Blocked shots22

6Penalty minutes0

14Giveaways19

5Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CGY 3.34 xGWSH 4.67 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CGY24 on goal, 3 scored

WSH29 on goal, 7 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Backlund	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	18:26	0:00
B. Coleman	LW	1	0	1	6	2	2	0	0	18:19	0:00
J. Farabee	LW	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	17:53	0:00
Y. Sharangovich	C	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	15:13	0:00
R. Strome	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	-2	0	14:06	0:00
M. Gridin	RW	1	0	1	3	1	0	-1	0	12:46	0:00
V. Olofsson	LW	0	0	0	0	2	1	-1	0	15:43	0:00
M. Frost	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	15:25	0:00
C. Zary	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	13:33	0:00
M. Coronato	RW	0	0	0	3	1	0	-2	0	13:30	0:00
A. Klapka	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	-2	0	11:21	0:00
R. Lomberg	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-2	0	8:39	0:00
Y. Kuznetsov	D	0	1	1	0	3	2	-1	0	22:38	0:00
O. Määttä	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	0	20:22	0:00
K. Bahl	D	0	0	0	3	2	3	-3	2	21:17	0:00
Z. Parekh	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	4	19:04	0:00
J. Hanley	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	18:44	0:00
B. Pachal	D	0	0	0	1	2	2	-1	0	18:08	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Cooley	28	22	6	.786	59:23	Loss
D. Wolf	0	0	0	–	0:00

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	TOI	PP TOI
J. Sourdif	C	1	2	3	4	0	0	+3	17:09	0:37
C. McMichael	LW	2	0	2	3	0	2	+1	14:53	2:05
H. Lapierre	C	1	1	2	1	1	0	+2	11:57	0:00
T. Wilson	RW	1	0	1	2	1	2	-2	18:12	2:49
A. Protas	LW	0	1	1	0	2	0	+1	17:20	0:57
D. Strome	C	0	1	1	5	0	1	-2	17:04	2:48
A. Beauvillier	RW	0	1	1	1	2	1	+2	16:33	0:37
R. Leonard	RW	1	0	1	3	4	0	-1	14:24	1:39
E. Frank	RW	1	0	1	3	0	1	+2	14:18	2:10
B. Duhaime	LW	0	1	1	1	2	3	+2	11:07	0:00
A. Ovechkin	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	17:20	4:53
P. Dubois	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	14:31	2:48
M. Fehérváry	D	0	1	1	1	4	2	+2	19:06	0:00
D. Chisholm	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	+2	13:59	0:00
J. Chychrun	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	24:12	3:12
R. Sandin	D	0	0	0	1	3	3	+3	20:10	2:18
M. Roy	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	+1	19:34	0:37
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	+1	18:11	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Thompson	26	23	3	.885	60:00	Win
C. Lindgren	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CGY

Line 1B. Coleman14:29J. Farabee14:59M. Frost14:48

Line 2M. Backlund14:58V. Olofsson15:43M. Coronato13:30

Line 3R. Strome14:06M. Gridin12:46C. Zary13:33

Line 4Y. Sharangovich13:10A. Klapka10:44R. Lomberg8:39

Pair 1Y. Kuznetsov19:08K. Bahl18:05

Pair 2O. Määttä18:05B. Pachal17:14

Pair 3Z. Parekh18:27J. Hanley17:01

WSH

Line 1A. Beauvillier15:56J. Sourdif16:32A. Ovechkin12:27

Line 2D. Strome14:16A. Protas16:23T. Wilson15:23

Line 3C. McMichael12:48P. Dubois11:43R. Leonard12:45

Line 4E. Frank11:31B. Duhaime10:30H. Lapierre11:20

Pair 1T. Riemsdyk18:11J. Chychrun21:00

Pair 2M. Roy18:57R. Sandin17:15

Pair 3M. Fehérváry18:29D. Chisholm13:59

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CGY 2.8, WSH 3.4	CGY 3, WSH 7
Total goals	6.1	10
Shots on goal	CGY 27.5, WSH 30.4	CGY 26, WSH 29
Win chance	WSH 61%	WSH won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
WSH A. Ovechkin	3.1	2	0.88	0	36%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	3.1	1	0.70	0	21%	0
CGY M. Backlund	2.5	0	0.51	1	18%	0
CGY M. Coronato	2.4	3	0.49	0	20%	0
WSH T. Wilson	2.3	2	0.84	1	32%	1
CGY B. Coleman	2.2	6	0.46	1	20%	1
WSH A. Protas	2.2	0	0.74	1	25%	0
WSH A. Beauvillier	2.1	1	0.38	1	17%	0
WSH R. Leonard	2.1	3	0.55	1	17%	1
WSH P. Dubois	2.0	0	0.68	0	23%	0
WSH C. McMichael	2.0	3	0.57	2	21%	2
WSH D. Strome	2.0	5	0.84	1	26%	0
CGY J. Farabee	1.9	1	0.45	1	19%	0
CGY M. Gridin	1.8	3	0.38	1	15%	1
CGY Y. Sharangovich	1.8	3	0.43	1	20%	1
CGY C. Zary	1.8	2	0.43	0	17%	0
CGY M. Frost	1.6	1	0.41	0	15%	0
CGY V. Olofsson	1.6	0	0.35	0	17%	0
WSH E. Frank	1.5	3	0.40	1	17%	1
WSH J. Sourdif	1.5	4	0.44	3	17%	1
WSH R. Sandin	1.3	1	0.36	0	6%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.3	1	0.28	0	5%	0
CGY R. Strome	1.2	1	0.35	1	11%	0
CGY Y. Kuznetsov	1.1	0	0.21	1	7%	0
CGY A. Klapka	1.1	0	0.25	0	11%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	1.0	1	0.31	1	7%	0
CGY R. Lomberg	1.0	2	0.18	0	8%	0
CGY K. Bahl	1.0	3	0.27	0	6%	0
CGY Z. Parekh	0.9	0	0.21	0	6%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	0.9	1	0.17	1	9%	0
CGY B. Pachal	0.8	1	0.14	0	3%	0
WSH D. Chisholm	0.8	0	0.15	1	3%	0
WSH H. Lapierre	0.7	1	0.21	2	6%	1
CGY O. Määttä	0.7	0	0.18	1	4%	0
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.7	0	0.18	0	3%	0
CGY J. Hanley	0.6	0	0.12	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.