Game Recap: CHI 4, UTA 0, March 1, 2026

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Game Recap

CHI4

FinalSun, Mar 1, 2026Every game that night

UTA0

CHI beat UTA 4-0, with the chances close: 2.32 expected goals to 1.94. T. Teravainen led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). T. Teravainen had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.2. A. Soderblom stopped 22 of 22.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CHI	1	2	1	4
UTA	0	0	0	0

1st 19:05CHIT. TeravainenPP0.15 xG
2nd 11:38CHIN. Foligno0.19 xG
2nd 13:07CHIL. Slaggert0.05 xG
3rd 1:25CHIT. TeravainenSH0.17 xG

Team Stats

CHIUTA

28Shots on goal22

2.32Expected goals1.94

48Shot attempts51

205v5 shots on goal18

1/3Power play0/2

10Hits21

13Blocked shots10

6Penalty minutes18

12Giveaways19

9Takeaways2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CHI 2.32 xGUTA 1.94 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CHI28 on goal, 4 scored

UTA22 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Teravainen	C	2	0	2	4	0	2	+1	0	17:53	3:18
T. Bertuzzi	LW	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	2	17:36	2:23
N. Foligno	LW	1	0	1	1	1	0	+2	2	11:07	2:07
O. Moore	C	0	1	1	2	1	0	+2	0	10:50	1:21
L. Slaggert	LW	1	0	1	1	1	1	+2	0	10:19	0:00
C. Bedard	C	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	18:57	3:21
F. Nazar	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	16:48	3:23
I. Mikheyev	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	16:34	0:00
A. Burakovsky	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	16:04	1:11
J. Dickinson	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	15:39	0:00
R. Greene	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	+1	0	15:38	1:20
R. Donato	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	12:13	0:00
A. Vlasic	D	0	1	1	1	0	2	+1	0	24:24	0:00
C. Murphy	D	0	1	1	1	0	2	+2	0	21:38	0:00
A. Levshunov	D	0	1	1	3	2	2	+1	0	17:04	2:35
M. Grzelcyk	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	0	20:42	0:47
L. Crevier	D	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	2	20:07	0:13
K. Korchinski	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	10:27	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Soderblom	22	22	0	1.000	60:00	Win
S. Knight	0	0	0	–	0:00

UTA Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
N. Schmaltz	C	0	0	0	-1	0	19:27	1:35
J. Peterka	RW	3	0	0	0	0	18:10	1:57
C. Keller	RW	2	0	0	-1	2	17:41	1:35
L. Crouse	LW	2	2	0	0	2	15:15	1:34
L. Cooley	C	1	2	1	-1	0	15:09	1:43
K. Stenlund	C	2	1	0	-1	0	14:04	0:49
K. Yamamoto	RW	0	2	0	0	0	14:01	0:00
A. Kerfoot	C	0	0	1	-1	0	13:38	0:51
D. Guenther	RW	2	2	3	-2	0	13:37	1:14
B. Hayton	C	0	1	0	-1	0	12:32	1:35
J. McBain	C	1	5	1	-1	0	12:08	0:42
M. Carcone	LW	2	1	0	-1	0	10:27	1:28
M. Sergachev	D	2	3	1	-1	0	24:02	1:35
S. Durzi	D	2	0	1	0	10	22:41	1:42
J. Marino	D	1	0	0	-1	0	20:17	0:52
N. Schmidt	D	1	2	1	-1	2	19:12	0:48
I. Cole	D	0	0	1	-1	2	15:45	0:00
O. Määttä	D	1	0	0	-1	0	15:11	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
K. Vejmelka	28	24	4	.857	60:00	Loss
V. Vanecek	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CHI

Line 1C. Bedard15:12A. Burakovsky14:53R. Greene13:34

Line 2T. Bertuzzi15:13I. Mikheyev14:20J. Dickinson13:28

Line 3R. Donato12:13F. Nazar13:11T. Teravainen12:44

Line 4N. Foligno9:00O. Moore9:29L. Slaggert9:09

Pair 1A. Vlasic21:49L. Crevier18:49

Pair 2M. Grzelcyk18:06A. Levshunov14:11

Pair 3C. Murphy18:37K. Korchinski10:27

UTA

Line 1N. Schmaltz16:14C. Keller16:00L. Crouse11:56

Line 2K. Yamamoto14:01J. Peterka16:13B. Hayton10:57

Line 3A. Kerfoot11:03K. Stenlund10:59M. Carcone8:59

Line 4D. Guenther12:23L. Cooley13:00J. McBain10:42

Pair 1S. Durzi20:05M. Sergachev18:41

Pair 2N. Schmidt16:34J. Marino17:42

Pair 3I. Cole13:45O. Määttä15:11

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CHI 2.4, UTA 3.6	CHI 4, UTA 0
Total goals	6.1	4
Shots on goal	CHI 22.3, UTA 29.6	CHI 28, UTA 22
Win chance	UTA 69%	CHI won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
UTA D. Guenther	3.3	2	0.95	0	35%	0
UTA C. Keller	2.7	2	1.09	0	32%	0
CHI C. Bedard	2.7	4	0.87	0	28%	0
UTA N. Schmaltz	2.5	0	0.99	0	31%	0
UTA B. Hayton	2.2	0	0.58	0	20%	0
UTA M. Sergachev	2.1	2	0.80	0	17%	0
UTA L. Crouse	2.0	2	0.58	0	26%	0
UTA J. Peterka	2.0	3	0.71	0	27%	0
UTA L. Cooley	2.0	1	0.76	0	28%	0
CHI F. Nazar	2.0	0	0.54	0	19%	0
CHI T. Bertuzzi	2.0	2	0.64	1	27%	0
UTA M. Carcone	1.9	2	0.46	0	21%	0
UTA S. Durzi	1.6	2	0.51	0	12%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.5	1	0.39	0	19%	0
UTA J. McBain	1.4	1	0.44	0	15%	0
CHI L. Crevier	1.4	1	0.19	0	6%	0
CHI R. Donato	1.2	2	0.38	0	17%	0
CHI A. Levshunov	1.2	3	0.34	1	5%	0
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.2	0	0.42	0	15%	0
CHI T. Teravainen	1.2	4	0.55	2	19%	2
CHI R. Greene	1.1	3	0.30	0	12%	0
UTA K. Stenlund	1.1	2	0.31	0	14%	0
UTA K. Yamamoto	1.1	0	0.38	0	16%	0
UTA N. Schmidt	1.1	1	0.35	0	9%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	1.1	1	0.21	1	3%	0
CHI J. Dickinson	1.1	0	0.28	0	13%	0
CHI C. Murphy	1.0	1	0.18	1	5%	0
CHI O. Moore	1.0	2	0.29	1	10%	0
CHI M. Grzelcyk	1.0	1	0.23	0	2%	0
UTA A. Kerfoot	1.0	0	0.31	0	11%	0
UTA I. Cole	0.8	0	0.25	0	4%	0
UTA J. Marino	0.8	1	0.44	0	6%	0
CHI N. Foligno	0.8	1	0.27	1	10%	1
CHI L. Slaggert	0.8	1	0.16	1	7%	1
CHI K. Korchinski	0.8	1	0.11	0	4%	0
UTA O. Määttä	0.6	1	0.18	0	4%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.