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Game Recap
DAL1
ANA2
ANA beat DAL 2-1, with the chances close: 3.51 expected goals to 2.98. J. Gibson stopped 26 of 27.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| ANA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
- 1st 17:47ANAC. Gauthier0.16 xG
- 3rd 1:29DALC. Blackwell0.22 xG
- 3rd 4:07ANAT. Zegras0.07 xG
Team Stats
DALANA
27Shots on goal28
2.98Expected goals3.51
56Shot attempts57
215v5 shots on goal24
0/1Power play0/3
28Hits41
12Blocked shots16
6Penalty minutes2
14Giveaways10
3Takeaways6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
DAL 2.98 xGANA 3.51 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
DAL Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Steel | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:09 | 0:00 |
| J. Benn | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:28 | 0:49 |
| C. Blackwell | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:23 | 0:08 |
| W. Johnston | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:18 | 1:03 |
| M. Granlund | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:02 | 0:57 |
| M. Duchene | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 | 1:03 |
| M. Marchment | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 | 0:57 |
| J. Robertson | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:00 | 1:03 |
| R. Hintz | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 | 1:03 |
| E. Dadonov | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 | 0:00 |
| O. Bäck | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 13:11 | 0:00 |
| L. Stankoven | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 10:44 | 0:37 |
| T. Harley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 26:38 | 1:34 |
| E. Lindell | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 25:44 | 0:26 |
| C. Ceci | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 18:24 | 0:20 |
| L. Bichsel | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 | 0:00 |
| M. Dumba | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 17:14 | 0:00 |
| I. Lyubushkin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:47 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Oettinger | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 57:52 | Loss |
| C. DeSmith | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
ANA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Zegras | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:21 | 2:12 |
| A. Killorn | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 | 1:29 |
| R. Fabbri | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:57 | 0:00 |
| C. Gauthier | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:46 | 1:05 |
| T. Terry | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:22 | 4:07 |
| M. McTavish | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:31 | 4:04 |
| F. Vatrano | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:07 | 4:06 |
| R. Strome | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 | 4:05 |
| I. Lundestrom | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:15 | 0:00 |
| L. Carlsson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:16 | 1:30 |
| B. Leason | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 0:00 |
| R. Johnston | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:22 | 0:00 |
| O. Zellweger | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:35 | 1:21 |
| J. Trouba | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21:32 | 0:23 |
| J. LaCombe | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:04 | 3:33 |
| B. Dumoulin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:20 | 0:00 |
| R. Gudas | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:19 | 0:00 |
| D. Helleson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:32 | 0:00 |
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | DAL 3.2, ANA 2.4 | DAL 1, ANA 2 |
| Total goals | 5.6 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | DAL 31.1, ANA 26.8 | DAL 27, ANA 28 |
| Win chance | DAL 63% | ANA won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL W. Johnston | 2.8 | 3 | 0.85 | 0 | 31% | 0 |
| ANA F. Vatrano | 2.7 | 4 | 0.55 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| DAL J. Robertson | 2.7 | 5 | 0.98 | 0 | 33% | 0 |
| DAL L. Stankoven | 2.3 | 3 | 0.48 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| DAL T. Harley | 2.3 | 1 | 0.54 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| ANA T. Terry | 2.1 | 1 | 0.70 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| DAL R. Hintz | 2.1 | 2 | 0.77 | 0 | 32% | 0 |
| DAL M. Granlund | 2.0 | 0 | 0.77 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| DAL J. Benn | 2.0 | 1 | 0.73 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| ANA M. McTavish | 1.9 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| DAL M. Duchene | 1.9 | 1 | 0.81 | 0 | 28% | 0 |
| DAL M. Marchment | 1.9 | 1 | 0.56 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| ANA T. Zegras | 1.9 | 1 | 0.54 | 1 | 19% | 1 |
| ANA J. LaCombe | 1.9 | 3 | 0.38 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| DAL E. Dadonov | 1.8 | 2 | 0.55 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| ANA A. Killorn | 1.7 | 2 | 0.50 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| ANA C. Gauthier | 1.6 | 2 | 0.34 | 1 | 13% | 1 |
| ANA R. Strome | 1.6 | 2 | 0.51 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| ANA O. Zellweger | 1.6 | 1 | 0.23 | 1 | 6% | 0 |
| ANA J. Trouba | 1.5 | 4 | 0.24 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| DAL E. Lindell | 1.5 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| DAL S. Steel | 1.4 | 1 | 0.39 | 1 | 13% | 0 |
| ANA R. Fabbri | 1.4 | 0 | 0.41 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| ANA R. Gudas | 1.4 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| ANA B. Leason | 1.4 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| DAL C. Ceci | 1.3 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| DAL C. Blackwell | 1.3 | 1 | 0.26 | 1 | 12% | 1 |
| ANA L. Carlsson | 1.2 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| ANA D. Helleson | 1.1 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| DAL M. Dumba | 1.0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| ANA B. Dumoulin | 1.0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| ANA I. Lundestrom | 0.8 | 3 | 0.23 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| DAL L. Bichsel | 0.8 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| DAL O. Bäck | 0.7 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| DAL I. Lyubushkin | 0.7 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| ANA R. Johnston | 0.4 | 0 | 0.09 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.