Game Recap: DAL 4, CHI 0, October 17, 2026

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Game Recap

DAL4

FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026Every game that night

CHI0

DAL beat CHI 4-0, with the chances close: 3.18 expected goals to 2.48. DAL outshot CHI 32 to 19. A. Hyry led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Hyry had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.3. J. Oettinger stopped 19 of 19.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DAL	0	2	2	4
CHI	0	0	0	0

2nd 4:58DALJ. RobertsonPP0.13 xG
2nd 14:10DALA. Hyry0.14 xG
3rd 1:27DALA. Hyry0.06 xG
3rd 9:40DALR. Hintz0.06 xG

Team Stats

DALCHI

32Shots on goal19

3.18Expected goals2.48

55Shot attempts48

205v5 shots on goal14

1/4Power play0/4

20Hits23

14Blocked shots11

8Penalty minutes10

19Giveaways17

4Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DAL 3.18 xGCHI 2.48 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DAL31 on goal, 4 scored

CHI19 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DAL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Robertson	LW	1	1	2	7	0	0	+2	0	19:35	5:45
A. Hyry	RW	2	0	2	5	4	0	+2	0	12:00	0:00
M. Rantanen	RW	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	18:46	5:23
T. Seguin	C	0	1	1	2	0	0	+1	0	17:04	1:10
R. Hintz	C	1	0	1	3	2	1	+1	2	16:53	4:37
S. Steel	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	+1	0	13:42	0:00
W. Johnston	C	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	20:25	5:30
J. Kiviranta	LW	0	0	0	1	3	1	+1	0	12:55	0:00
J. Hryckowian	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	12:49	2:03
J. Benn	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	12:04	0:55
R. Faksa	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	10:48	0:00
C. Blackwell	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	10:36	0:00
T. Harley	D	0	1	1	0	1	1	+2	0	24:47	1:31
N. Lundkvist	D	0	1	1	1	0	2	+2	2	18:04	0:00
M. Heiskanen	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	24:09	5:09
E. Lindell	D	0	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	19:58	1:17
T. Myers	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	2	14:09	0:00
L. Bichsel	D	0	0	0	0	2	3	+1	0	13:26	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Oettinger	19	19	0	1.000	59:50	Win
C. DeSmith	0	0	0	–	0:00

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Bedard	C	2	0	1	-1	0	20:44	4:28
P. Kane	RW	3	0	0	-3	2	19:26	4:28
R. Kantserov	RW	0	4	1	-1	2	18:42	4:33
F. Nazar	C	2	1	1	-1	0	17:24	0:33
T. Bertuzzi	LW	1	0	0	-2	0	17:22	4:21
T. Teravainen	C	0	0	0	0	0	17:03	3:58
R. Donato	C	0	1	0	0	0	13:18	0:33
A. Frondell	C	1	0	0	-1	0	12:40	0:00
O. Moore	C	2	0	1	0	2	11:16	0:33
J. Greenway	LW	1	2	1	0	0	11:05	0:00
C. Smith	RW	1	2	0	0	0	10:44	0:00
R. Greene	C	1	0	0	0	0	9:45	0:00
W. Kaiser	D	0	1	0	-2	0	21:33	0:07
A. Levshunov	D	1	5	0	-2	2	21:28	0:10
A. Vlasic	D	1	0	0	0	0	19:29	0:02
I. Cole	D	0	3	3	0	0	18:09	0:00
S. Rinzel	D	1	1	2	-1	2	15:26	0:53
E. Del Mastro	D	2	3	1	-1	0	15:07	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Knight	32	28	4	.875	59:40	Loss
A. Soderblom	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

DAL

Line 1R. Hintz12:14J. Robertson13:42T. Seguin14:59

Line 2W. Johnston13:15M. Rantanen12:11S. Steel10:39

Line 3R. Faksa8:38C. Blackwell9:06J. Kiviranta10:01

Line 4J. Benn11:09A. Hyry10:06J. Hryckowian10:16

Pair 1T. Harley19:50N. Lundkvist16:15

Pair 2E. Lindell14:17M. Heiskanen14:57

Pair 3T. Myers13:05L. Bichsel12:30

CHI

Line 1C. Bedard15:01R. Kantserov14:09P. Kane14:11

Line 2T. Bertuzzi13:01T. Teravainen11:32A. Frondell11:47

Line 3R. Donato11:24O. Moore10:01F. Nazar11:13

Line 4J. Greenway7:57C. Smith8:02R. Greene7:48

Pair 1W. Kaiser17:13A. Levshunov17:13

Pair 2E. Mastro14:59S. Rinzel13:57

Pair 3I. Cole13:46A. Vlasic13:56

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Prop Results

6 of 16 overs hit (38%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	SOG	Result
DAL J. Robertson	3.5	+120	-140	7	Over
CHI C. Bedard	2.5	-114	-105	2	Under
DAL M. Rantanen	2.5	+130	-155	1	Under
DAL R. Hintz	2.5	+130	-165	3	Over
DAL W. Johnston	2.5	-125	+110	5	Over
CHI A. Frondell	1.5	-150	+134	1	Under
CHI F. Nazar	1.5	+100	-115	2	Over
DAL J. Benn	1.5	+125	-160	1	Under
DAL M. Heiskanen	1.5	-155	+125	1	Under
DAL N. Lundkvist	1.5	+135	-155	1	Under
CHI P. Kane	1.5	-170	+150	3	Over
CHI R. Donato	1.5	+104	–	0	Under
CHI T. Bertuzzi	1.5	-120	+100	1	Under
DAL T. Harley	1.5	-120	-110	0	Under
DAL T. Seguin	1.5	-170	+140	2	Over
CHI T. Teravainen	1.5	+130	-200	0	Under

3 of 34 overs hit (9%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	G	Result
CHI A. Frondell	0.5	+400	-475	0	Under
DAL A. Hyry	0.5	+575	-900	2	Over
CHI A. Levshunov	0.5	+1700	-2500	0	Under
CHI A. Vlasic	0.5	+1700	-5000	0	Under
CHI C. Bedard	0.5	+230	-250	0	Under
DAL C. Blackwell	0.5	+1000	-4000	0	Under
CHI C. Smith	0.5	+1300	-1600	0	Under
DAL E. Lindell	0.5	+1200	-2000	0	Under
CHI F. Nazar	0.5	+440	-500	0	Under
CHI I. Cole	0.5	+2500	-5000	0	Under
DAL J. Benn	0.5	+380	-650	0	Under
CHI J. Greenway	0.5	+1400	-10000	0	Under
DAL J. Hryckowian	0.5	+340	-550	0	Under
DAL J. Kiviranta	0.5	+800	-1000	0	Under
DAL J. Robertson	0.5	+135	-175	1	Over
DAL L. Bichsel	0.5	+1900	-4000	0	Under
DAL M. Heiskanen	0.5	+500	-700	0	Under
DAL M. Rantanen	0.5	+170	-190	0	Under
DAL N. Lundkvist	0.5	+1500	-3500	0	Under
CHI O. Moore	0.5	+700	-1400	0	Under
CHI P. Kane	0.5	+300	-400	0	Under
CHI R. Donato	0.5	+550	-900	0	Under
DAL R. Faksa	0.5	+950	-3500	0	Under
CHI R. Greene	0.5	+850	-1400	0	Under
DAL R. Hintz	0.5	+200	-250	1	Over
CHI S. Rinzel	0.5	+900	-2800	0	Under
DAL S. Steel	0.5	+410	-650	0	Under
CHI T. Bertuzzi	0.5	+280	-390	0	Under
DAL T. Harley	0.5	+700	-1400	0	Under
DAL T. Myers	0.5	+1900	-4000	0	Under
DAL T. Seguin	0.5	+270	-300	0	Under
CHI T. Teravainen	0.5	+500	-600	0	Under
DAL W. Johnston	0.5	+155	-190	0	Under
CHI W. Kaiser	0.5	+1600	-2800	0	Under

5 of 19 overs hit (26%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	A	Result
CHI A. Frondell	0.5	+235	-300	0	Under
CHI C. Bedard	0.5	+124	-135	0	Under
DAL E. Lindell	0.5	+230	-400	0	Under
CHI F. Nazar	0.5	+245	-330	0	Under
DAL J. Benn	0.5	+240	-275	0	Under
DAL J. Hryckowian	0.5	+265	-370	0	Under
DAL J. Robertson	0.5	+105	-115	1	Over
DAL M. Heiskanen	0.5	-120	-105	0	Under
DAL M. Rantanen	0.5	-120	+100	1	Over
CHI O. Moore	0.5	+320	-650	0	Under
CHI P. Kane	0.5	+152	-175	0	Under
CHI R. Donato	0.5	+360	-750	0	Under
DAL R. Hintz	0.5	+146	-165	0	Under
DAL S. Steel	0.5	+240	-270	1	Over
CHI T. Bertuzzi	0.5	+240	-320	0	Under
DAL T. Harley	0.5	+170	-215	1	Over
DAL T. Seguin	0.5	+210	-275	1	Over
CHI T. Teravainen	0.5	+200	-240	0	Under
DAL W. Johnston	0.5	+125	-165	0	Under

5 of 19 overs hit (26%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	P	Result
DAL J. Robertson	1.5	+175	-220	2	Over
DAL M. Rantanen	1.5	+188	-220	1	Under
CHI A. Frondell	0.5	+135	-155	0	Under
CHI C. Bedard	0.5	-165	+135	0	Under
DAL E. Lindell	0.5	+180	-250	0	Under
CHI F. Nazar	0.5	+135	-170	0	Under
DAL J. Benn	0.5	+145	-160	0	Under
DAL J. Hryckowian	0.5	+135	-175	0	Under
DAL M. Heiskanen	0.5	-155	+125	0	Under
CHI O. Moore	0.5	+235	-340	0	Under
CHI P. Kane	0.5	-118	+105	0	Under
CHI R. Donato	0.5	+210	-300	0	Under
DAL R. Hintz	0.5	-156	+135	1	Over
DAL S. Steel	0.5	+145	-170	1	Over
CHI T. Bertuzzi	0.5	+112	-132	0	Under
DAL T. Harley	0.5	+130	-160	1	Over
DAL T. Seguin	0.5	+100	-120	1	Over
CHI T. Teravainen	0.5	+130	-155	0	Under
DAL W. Johnston	0.5	-200	+160	0	Under

2 of 12 overs hit (17%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	PPP	Result
CHI A. Frondell	0.5	+350	-450	0	Under
CHI C. Bedard	0.5	+160	-210	0	Under
CHI F. Nazar	0.5	+310	-650	0	Under
DAL J. Robertson	0.5	+150	-190	1	Over
DAL M. Heiskanen	0.5	+155	-200	0	Under
DAL M. Rantanen	0.5	+150	-190	1	Over
CHI P. Kane	0.5	+225	-275	0	Under
DAL R. Hintz	0.5	+210	-290	0	Under
CHI T. Bertuzzi	0.5	+300	-450	0	Under
DAL T. Seguin	0.5	+500	-1600	0	Under
CHI T. Teravainen	0.5	+240	-350	0	Under
DAL W. Johnston	0.5	+180	-225	0	Under

Player	Line	Over	Under	SV	Result
CHI S. Knight	25.5	-108	-105	28	Over
DAL J. Oettinger	20.5	-108	-110	19	Under

Each player's main line (the one most books posted) at the last price before puck drop, the best price on each side there, and what he did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	DAL 3.3, CHI 2.4	DAL 4, CHI 0
Total goals	5.7	4
Shots on goal	DAL 27.0, CHI 23.2	DAL 32, CHI 19
Win chance	DAL 63%	DAL won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DAL J. Robertson	3.5	7	1.19	2	40%	1
CHI C. Bedard	2.8	2	0.91	0	29%	0
DAL R. Hintz	2.5	3	0.93	1	32%	1
DAL M. Rantanen	2.4	1	1.24	1	36%	0
CHI P. Kane	2.4	3	0.84	0	25%	0
CHI A. Frondell	2.3	1	0.66	0	21%	0
DAL M. Heiskanen	2.1	1	0.85	0	15%	0
DAL T. Seguin	2.0	2	0.66	1	25%	0
CHI R. Kantserov	1.8	0	0.66	0	26%	0
DAL T. Harley	1.8	0	0.54	1	12%	0
CHI T. Bertuzzi	1.8	1	0.68	0	27%	0
CHI F. Nazar	1.6	2	0.48	0	18%	0
CHI S. Rinzel	1.5	1	0.27	0	6%	0
CHI R. Donato	1.4	0	0.40	0	17%	0
DAL A. Hyry	1.3	5	0.29	2	14%	2
DAL J. Kiviranta	1.3	1	0.25	0	12%	0
DAL J. Benn	1.3	1	0.49	0	17%	0
DAL S. Steel	1.2	1	0.44	1	15%	0
CHI A. Levshunov	1.2	1	0.30	0	4%	0
DAL J. Hryckowian	1.2	1	0.40	0	17%	0
CHI T. Teravainen	1.1	0	0.49	0	18%	0
CHI O. Moore	1.1	2	0.34	0	11%	0
DAL E. Lindell	1.1	1	0.35	0	8%	0
DAL N. Lundkvist	1.1	1	0.27	1	6%	0
CHI R. Greene	1.0	1	0.29	0	12%	0
CHI W. Kaiser	1.0	0	0.24	0	6%	0
DAL T. Myers	1.0	0	0.18	0	4%	0
CHI J. Greenway	1.0	1	0.22	0	10%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	1.0	1	0.24	0	4%	0
DAL C. Blackwell	0.9	1	0.20	0	9%	0
CHI C. Smith	0.9	1	0.21	0	10%	0
DAL R. Faksa	0.8	1	0.24	0	8%	0
CHI E. Mastro	0.8	2	0.14	0	4%	0
CHI I. Cole	0.7	0	0.20	0	3%	0
DAL L. Bichsel	0.7	0	0.17	0	6%	0

Shots on goal: 24 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.