Game Recap: DAL 1, PHI 2 (OT), March 29, 2026

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Game Recap

DAL1

Final/OTSun, Mar 29, 2026Every game that night

PHI2

PHI beat DAL 2-1 in overtime, with the chances close: 2.75 expected goals to 2.30. PHI outshot DAL 30 to 18. T. Konecny had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.1. S. Ersson stopped 17 of 18.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
DAL	0	1	0	0	1
PHI	0	1	0	1	2

2nd 9:48PHIT. KonecnyPP0.24 xG
2nd 17:53DALA. HyrySH0.10 xG
OT 3:27PHIT. Zegras0.16 xG

Team Stats

DALPHI

18Shots on goal30

2.30Expected goals2.75

42Shot attempts51

155v5 shots on goal22

0/2Power play1/3

14Hits31

5Blocked shots10

6Penalty minutes4

9Giveaways12

4Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DAL 2.30 xGPHI 2.75 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DAL18 on goal, 1 scored

PHI29 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DAL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Hyry	RW	1	1	2	2	1	+1	0	12:20	0:00
W. Johnston	C	0	0	2	0	0	-1	4	23:00	2:49
M. Rantanen	RW	0	0	2	2	0	-1	2	21:24	2:51
J. Robertson	LW	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	20:55	2:53
M. Bourque	C	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	18:02	1:11
M. Duchene	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	17:20	2:52
J. Hryckowian	C	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	14:37	1:09
J. Benn	LW	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	14:14	1:08
O. Bäck	C	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	14:12	0:00
C. Blackwell	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13:25	0:00
A. Erne	LW	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	10:39	0:00
M. Bunting	LW	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3:46	0:00
T. Harley	D	0	0	1	0	1	+1	0	25:09	1:12
M. Heiskanen	D	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	24:07	2:48
E. Lindell	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	23:01	1:07
N. Lundkvist	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	17:56	0:00
T. Myers	D	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	15:33	0:00
L. Bichsel	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	14:53	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. DeSmith	30	28	2	.933	63:27	OT loss
J. Oettinger	0	0	0	–	0:00

PHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Konecny	RW	1	0	1	5	2	0	0	0	21:24	4:12
T. Zegras	C	1	0	1	2	1	2	+1	2	20:17	4:30
M. Michkov	RW	0	1	1	4	1	0	0	0	15:16	4:32
C. Dvorak	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	19:58	2:17
O. Tippett	RW	0	0	0	2	2	0	-1	0	18:03	1:15
N. Cates	LW	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	16:45	3:26
D. Barkey	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	14:42	1:35
S. Couturier	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	14:31	0:03
L. Glendening	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	12:27	0:00
C. Grundstrom	RW	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	12:18	0:00
G. Hathaway	RW	0	0	0	1	10	2	0	0	11:41	0:03
A. Bump	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9:46	0:00
C. York	D	0	1	1	0	1	0	+1	0	24:12	0:07
R. Ristolainen	D	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	0	22:12	4:36
T. Sanheim	D	0	0	0	1	1	3	-1	0	23:19	1:16
J. Drysdale	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	22:10	1:07
N. Seeler	D	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	16:08	0:01
E. Andrae	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	11:12	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Ersson	18	17	1	.944	63:27	Win
D. Vladar	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

DAL

Line 1M. Rantanen16:59W. Johnston18:35J. Robertson16:37

Line 2M. Duchene13:26M. Bourque16:16J. Benn13:06

Line 3O. Bäck11:10A. Hyry9:10A. Erne10:39

Line 4C. Blackwell10:56J. Hryckowian9:55

Pair 1N. Lundkvist17:52T. Harley20:36

Pair 2E. Lindell17:39M. Heiskanen15:47

Pair 3T. Myers13:45L. Bichsel14:47

PHI

Line 1T. Konecny16:15C. Dvorak14:25C. Grundstrom12:18

Line 2O. Tippett15:36D. Barkey13:07T. Zegras14:28

Line 3S. Couturier13:17G. Hathaway10:55L. Glendening10:40

Line 4N. Cates9:57M. Michkov9:37A. Bump9:46

Pair 1C. York20:27J. Drysdale19:51

Pair 2R. Ristolainen16:04T. Sanheim18:33

Pair 3N. Seeler14:32E. Andrae11:12

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

BirthdayTravis Sanheim PHI Turns 30 that day1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	DAL 3.0, PHI 2.5	DAL 1, PHI 2
Total goals	5.6	3
Shots on goal	DAL 23.6, PHI 24.1	DAL 18, PHI 30
Win chance	DAL 58%	PHI won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DAL J. Robertson	3.2	5	1.12	0	39%	0
PHI O. Tippett	2.9	2	0.63	0	27%	0
DAL W. Johnston	2.2	2	0.87	0	34%	0
DAL M. Rantanen	2.2	2	1.09	0	34%	0
PHI T. Konecny	2.1	5	0.81	1	27%	1
PHI T. Zegras	2.0	2	0.69	1	23%	1
PHI M. Michkov	1.9	4	0.61	1	21%	0
DAL M. Heiskanen	1.9	0	0.68	0	11%	0
DAL M. Bourque	1.8	1	0.53	0	21%	0
PHI C. Dvorak	1.8	2	0.57	0	19%	0
PHI R. Ristolainen	1.7	1	0.33	1	6%	0
DAL M. Duchene	1.6	0	0.81	0	27%	0
DAL T. Harley	1.6	1	0.51	0	12%	0
PHI S. Couturier	1.5	1	0.41	0	13%	0
DAL M. Bunting	1.4	1	0.41	0	17%	0
DAL J. Benn	1.4	1	0.64	0	21%	0
PHI N. Cates	1.4	1	0.48	0	17%	0
PHI A. Bump	1.4	0	0.43	0	15%	0
PHI J. Drysdale	1.4	1	0.37	0	9%	0
PHI C. Grundstrom	1.4	4	0.24	0	13%	0
PHI T. Sanheim	1.3	1	0.41	0	10%	0
PHI C. York	1.3	0	0.30	1	7%	0
DAL J. Hryckowian	1.1	0	0.42	0	17%	0
DAL C. Blackwell	1.1	0	0.26	0	11%	0
DAL N. Lundkvist	1.1	0	0.22	0	5%	0
DAL A. Hyry	1.0	2	0.18	1	8%	1
PHI N. Seeler	1.0	3	0.14	0	3%	0
PHI D. Barkey	1.0	0	0.34	0	12%	0
DAL T. Myers	1.0	0	0.18	0	3%	0
DAL E. Lindell	0.9	0	0.31	0	7%	0
PHI L. Glendening	0.8	1	0.15	0	7%	0
DAL A. Erne	0.8	2	0.18	0	9%	0
PHI G. Hathaway	0.8	1	0.18	0	9%	0
DAL L. Bichsel	0.7	0	0.17	0	7%	0
DAL O. Bäck	0.6	1	0.19	0	8%	0
PHI E. Andrae	0.5	1	0.13	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.