Game Recap: DAL 6, TOR 5, April 13, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

DAL6

FinalMon, Apr 13, 2026Every game that night

TOR5

DAL beat TOR 6-5, and the chances backed it up: 4.12 expected goals to 2.36. M. Bourque scored three for DAL. M. Bourque had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 2.0. C. DeSmith stopped 22 of 27.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DAL	0	3	3	6
TOR	3	0	2	5

1st 2:14TORJ. TavaresPP0.14 xG
1st 14:35TORJ. Quillan0.06 xG
1st 15:51TORW. Nylander0.21 xG
2nd 0:52DALM. Bourque0.13 xG
2nd 5:31DALM. Bourque0.40 xG
2nd 9:29DALJ. Robertson0.15 xG
3rd 1:40TORM. Domi0.16 xG
3rd 4:19TORN. Robertson0.14 xG
3rd 8:18DALW. JohnstonPP0.16 xG
3rd 9:38DALA. Hyry0.16 xG
3rd 14:52DALM. Bourque0.36 xG

Team Stats

DALTOR

32Shots on goal27

4.12Expected goals2.36

56Shot attempts51

265v5 shots on goal23

1/3Power play1/2

11Hits27

11Blocked shots10

4Penalty minutes6

18Giveaways12

7Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DAL 4.12 xGTOR 2.36 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DAL32 on goal, 6 scored

TOR27 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DAL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Bourque	C	3	1	4	7	1	0	+1	0	15:56	0:56
M. Duchene	C	0	3	3	2	0	1	+2	0	18:36	4:31
J. Robertson	LW	1	1	2	5	0	0	+2	0	19:26	5:27
M. Rantanen	RW	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	19:23	5:30
W. Johnston	C	1	0	1	3	1	0	-1	0	18:24	4:33
A. Hyry	RW	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	2	12:44	0:11
O. Bäck	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	+1	0	14:27	0:01
M. Bunting	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	14:20	0:00
J. Hryckowian	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	13:04	0:56
R. Faksa	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	+1	0	12:51	0:14
C. Blackwell	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	12:34	0:00
J. Benn	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	2	10:24	0:11
T. Harley	D	0	1	1	2	0	2	+1	0	24:24	4:56
A. Petrovic	D	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	16:29	0:00
E. Lindell	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	21:22	0:13
T. Myers	D	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	20:46	0:00
I. Lyubushkin	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	16:48	0:01
K. Capobianco	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	14:57	0:45

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. DeSmith	27	22	5	.815	60:00	Win
J. Oettinger	0	0	0	–	0:00

TOR Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
W. Nylander	RW	1	2	3	3	1	0	-1	0	22:50	2:38
M. Knies	LW	0	2	2	1	3	0	0	0	19:31	2:39
J. Tavares	C	1	0	1	3	1	0	+1	0	20:03	2:39
M. Domi	C	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	14:40	0:26
N. Robertson	LW	1	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	14:32	0:26
S. Lorentz	C	0	1	1	2	8	0	0	2	13:19	0:00
J. Quillan	C	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	12:26	0:00
E. Cowan	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	20:10	2:41
L. Haymes	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	-2	0	12:02	0:00
M. Maccelli	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	-2	0	11:51	0:27
C. Jarnkrok	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	9:22	0:22
R. Tverberg	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	2	9:04	0:00
J. McCabe	D	0	1	1	1	1	1	-1	0	21:14	0:00
T. Stecher	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	18:41	0:02
S. Benoit	D	0	1	1	2	2	2	-1	0	18:27	0:00
O. Ekman-Larsson	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	22:30	2:53
M. Rielly	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	2	17:57	0:12
W. Villeneuve	D	0	0	0	2	1	3	+1	0	16:35	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Akhtyamov	32	27	6	.844	59:05	Loss
J. Woll	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

DAL

Line 1M. Bunting14:20W. Johnston13:51M. Rantanen13:53

Line 2M. Duchene13:47J. Robertson13:41M. Bourque14:17

Line 3R. Faksa10:45O. Bäck13:03C. Blackwell11:10

Line 4J. Benn9:48J. Hryckowian10:49A. Hyry11:19

Pair 1T. Myers18:05E. Lindell17:51

Pair 2T. Harley18:44I. Lyubushkin15:55

Pair 3A. Petrovic16:05K. Capobianco14:12

TOR

Line 1J. Tavares16:28W. Nylander19:16E. Cowan16:34

Line 2M. Domi13:19N. Robertson13:37M. Knies13:23

Line 3S. Lorentz11:14J. Quillan11:14R. Tverberg9:04

Line 4C. Jarnkrok6:57L. Haymes9:08M. Maccelli11:24

Pair 1S. Benoit16:01J. McCabe17:57

Pair 2O. Ekman-Larsson18:08W. Villeneuve16:35

Pair 3M. Rielly15:50T. Stecher15:26

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownWyatt Johnston DAL Plays in his hometown1 G, 3 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	DAL 3.4, TOR 2.8	DAL 6, TOR 5
Total goals	6.2	11
Shots on goal	DAL 28.1, TOR 24.2	DAL 32, TOR 27
Win chance	DAL 60%	DAL won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DAL J. Robertson	3.6	5	1.21	2	38%	1
DAL W. Johnston	2.5	3	0.95	1	34%	1
TOR W. Nylander	2.5	3	1.00	3	35%	1
DAL M. Rantanen	2.3	2	1.16	1	33%	0
TOR J. Tavares	2.2	3	0.77	1	30%	1
DAL M. Bourque	2.0	7	0.54	4	20%	3
DAL M. Duchene	1.8	2	0.85	3	26%	0
DAL T. Harley	1.8	2	0.60	1	15%	0
TOR M. Rielly	1.6	1	0.50	0	11%	0
TOR M. Knies	1.6	1	0.65	2	24%	0
TOR N. Robertson	1.5	6	0.38	1	18%	1
TOR E. Cowan	1.5	1	0.50	0	18%	0
DAL M. Bunting	1.4	0	0.38	0	15%	0
DAL J. Benn	1.3	1	0.57	0	18%	0
DAL A. Hyry	1.3	1	0.27	1	12%	1
DAL J. Hryckowian	1.3	1	0.45	0	17%	0
TOR M. Domi	1.2	1	0.42	1	13%	1
TOR O. Ekman-Larsson	1.2	0	0.40	0	8%	0
TOR M. Maccelli	1.2	0	0.47	0	15%	0
DAL T. Myers	1.1	1	0.23	0	4%	0
DAL C. Blackwell	1.1	0	0.27	0	10%	0
DAL E. Lindell	1.1	0	0.34	0	7%	0
TOR J. McCabe	1.0	1	0.32	1	6%	0
TOR T. Stecher	1.0	1	0.18	1	5%	0
TOR S. Lorentz	1.0	2	0.24	1	10%	0
TOR C. Jarnkrok	0.9	0	0.27	0	13%	0
TOR S. Benoit	0.9	2	0.11	1	2%	0
DAL A. Petrovic	0.9	1	0.13	1	4%	0
DAL R. Faksa	0.8	2	0.27	0	8%	0
DAL O. Bäck	0.7	2	0.23	0	8%	0
TOR J. Quillan	0.7	2	0.12	1	8%	1
DAL K. Capobianco	0.6	1	0.15	0	5%	0
DAL I. Lyubushkin	0.6	1	0.16	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 33 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.