Game Recap: DET 4, PHI 2, April 2, 2026

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Game Recap

DET4

FinalThu, Apr 2, 2026Every game that night

PHI2

DET beat PHI 4-2 despite fewer good chances: 1.99 expected goals to 3.83. PHI outshot DET 34 to 19. P. Kane led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). T. Konecny had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.4. J. Gibson stopped 32 of 34.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DET	1	1	2	4
PHI	0	1	1	2

1st 18:49DETA. DeBrincatPP0.16 xG
2nd 0:31PHIT. Foerster0.15 xG
2nd 18:29DETL. Raymond0.08 xG
3rd 9:37DETP. Kane0.10 xG
3rd 10:29PHIT. Konecny0.42 xG
3rd 10:44DETA. DeBrincat0.15 xG

Team Stats

DETPHI

19Shots on goal34

1.99Expected goals3.83

38Shot attempts72

165v5 shots on goal29

1/2Power play0/1

21Hits31

16Blocked shots9

2Penalty minutes4

12Giveaways13

6Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DET 1.99 xGPHI 3.83 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DET19 on goal, 4 scored

PHI34 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DET Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
P. Kane	RW	1	2	3	1	1	0	+1	0	17:27	2:01
A. DeBrincat	RW	2	0	2	4	0	2	+1	0	18:20	1:57
A. Copp	C	0	2	2	0	0	2	+1	0	16:59	0:18
L. Raymond	LW	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	2	20:14	1:59
J. Compher	LW	0	1	1	3	0	2	0	0	19:06	0:00
D. Larkin	C	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	19:40	2:00
E. Finnie	C	0	0	0	0	2	1	+1	0	17:34	0:17
M. Appleton	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	17:13	0:00
D. Perron	LW	0	0	0	1	3	0	-1	0	16:22	0:20
D. Shine	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	6:00	0:00
M. Kasper	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	5:59	0:00
J. van Riemsdyk	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5:18	0:16
M. Seider	D	0	1	1	1	3	3	+3	0	28:47	2:06
S. Edvinsson	D	0	1	1	0	0	3	+2	0	23:35	0:00
B. Chiarot	D	0	0	0	0	5	1	-1	0	20:44	0:00
A. Johansson	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	17:45	0:00
J. Bernard-Docker	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	16:08	0:00
J. Faulk	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	0	10:49	0:11

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Gibson	34	32	2	.941	60:00	Win
C. Talbot	0	0	0	–	0:00

PHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Zegras	C	0	1	1	2	3	0	0	0	20:00	1:55
C. Dvorak	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	19:25	1:04
T. Konecny	RW	1	0	1	5	3	0	+1	0	19:11	1:55
O. Tippett	RW	0	1	1	2	4	0	0	0	18:21	0:05
P. Martone	RW	0	1	1	9	0	0	+1	2	18:15	0:53
T. Foerster	RW	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	0	16:19	1:02
N. Cates	LW	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	0	15:01	0:56
D. Barkey	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	13:56	0:00
M. Michkov	RW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	13:48	0:05
S. Couturier	C	0	0	0	1	3	1	-1	2	10:05	0:00
C. Grundstrom	RW	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	0	9:49	0:00
L. Glendening	C	0	0	0	2	2	0	-1	0	9:29	0:00
T. Sanheim	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	-1	0	24:57	0:05
J. Drysdale	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	23:35	0:45
R. Ristolainen	D	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	0	22:48	1:15
C. York	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	19:45	0:00
E. Andrae	D	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	12:58	0:00
N. Seeler	D	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	12:38	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Ersson	19	15	4	.789	57:23	Loss
D. Vladar	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

DET

Line 1J. Compher17:09L. Raymond17:30D. Perron15:19

Line 2P. Kane15:26A. Copp15:27A. DeBrincat16:23

Line 3E. Finnie15:05D. Larkin15:26M. Appleton14:50

Line 4D. Shine6:00M. Kasper5:35J. Riemsdyk5:02

Pair 1B. Chiarot18:26J. Bernard-Docker14:56

Pair 2M. Seider22:51A. Johansson17:40

Pair 3J. Faulk10:38S. Edvinsson21:47

PHI

Line 1O. Tippett16:13T. Zegras16:08T. Foerster13:38

Line 2C. Dvorak15:38T. Konecny15:19P. Martone16:41

Line 3N. Cates12:42D. Barkey13:56M. Michkov12:09

Line 4S. Couturier8:49C. Grundstrom9:58L. Glendening7:51

Pair 1R. Ristolainen19:55T. Sanheim23:32

Pair 2C. York17:21J. Drysdale21:18

Pair 3N. Seeler11:24E. Andrae12:58

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	DET 3.0, PHI 2.9	DET 4, PHI 2
Total goals	5.9	6
Shots on goal	DET 25.1, PHI 26.2	DET 19, PHI 34
Win chance	DET 51%	DET won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DET A. DeBrincat	3.4	4	1.01	2	36%	2
PHI O. Tippett	3.0	2	0.66	1	29%	0
DET D. Larkin	2.5	4	0.80	0	31%	0
DET P. Kane	2.5	1	0.87	3	26%	1
PHI T. Konecny	2.4	5	0.93	1	31%	1
PHI T. Zegras	2.1	2	0.78	1	26%	0
DET M. Seider	2.1	1	0.64	1	10%	0
PHI M. Michkov	2.0	3	0.64	0	23%	0
DET L. Raymond	2.0	3	0.89	1	27%	1
PHI C. Dvorak	2.0	0	0.64	1	21%	0
PHI T. Foerster	1.8	4	0.51	1	25%	1
PHI R. Ristolainen	1.7	2	0.39	0	7%	0
PHI N. Cates	1.6	0	0.56	0	20%	0
DET M. Kasper	1.5	1	0.33	0	16%	0
DET J. Faulk	1.5	0	0.42	0	9%	0
DET A. Copp	1.5	0	0.55	2	17%	0
PHI C. Grundstrom	1.5	0	0.26	0	15%	0
PHI S. Couturier	1.5	1	0.41	0	14%	0
DET E. Finnie	1.3	0	0.33	0	15%	0
PHI T. Sanheim	1.3	0	0.42	0	10%	0
PHI J. Drysdale	1.3	1	0.37	0	9%	0
DET J. Compher	1.3	3	0.43	1	17%	0
DET D. Perron	1.2	1	0.42	0	18%	0
PHI C. York	1.2	1	0.31	0	7%	0
DET B. Chiarot	1.1	0	0.17	0	6%	0
PHI D. Barkey	1.1	0	0.39	0	15%	0
DET J. Riemsdyk	1.1	0	0.38	0	15%	0
DET S. Edvinsson	1.1	0	0.33	1	10%	0
PHI N. Seeler	1.0	0	0.15	0	3%	0
DET M. Appleton	0.9	0	0.24	0	10%	0
PHI L. Glendening	0.9	2	0.15	0	8%	0
DET A. Johansson	0.7	0	0.13	0	4%	0
DET D. Shine	0.6	0	0.16	0	9%	0
DET J. Bernard-Docker	0.6	1	0.12	0	3%	0
PHI E. Andrae	0.5	2	0.14	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 14 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.