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Game Recap
FLA5
FinalThu, Apr 25, 2024PlayoffsEvery game that night
TBL3

FLA beat TBL 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.06 expected goals to 1.95. M. Tkachuk led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). S. Bobrovsky stopped 26 of 29.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
FLA1225
TBL0213
  1. 1st 10:39FLAM. Tkachuk0.16 xG
  2. 2nd 0:44TBLS. Stamkos0.12 xG
  3. 2nd 2:56TBLT. Motte0.08 xG
  4. 2nd 9:58FLAS. Reinhart0.08 xG
  5. 2nd 16:30FLAB. Montour0.04 xG
  6. 3rd 9:41FLAS. Lorentz0.14 xG
  7. 3rd 14:50TBLN. Paul0.18 xG
  8. 3rd 19:28FLAM. TkachukEN0.84 xG

Team Stats

FLATBL
31Shots on goal29
3.06Expected goals1.95
56Shot attempts63
265v5 shots on goal24
0/0Power play0/4
54Hits69
17Blocked shots15
10Penalty minutes2
4Giveaways13
8Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 3.06 xGTBL 1.95 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdFLA goal, 10:39TBL goal, 0:44TBL goal, 2:56FLA goal, 9:58FLA goal, 16:30FLA goal, 9:41TBL goal, 14:50FLA goal, 19:28

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA30 on goal, 5 scored
TBL28 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. VerhaegheC022331+1018:550:00
M. TkachukLW202552+1016:160:00
S. LorentzC112140005:500:00
S. ReinhartC1013510021:340:00
A. LundellC011021+2017:170:00
V. TarasenkoRW011012+1014:170:00
N. CousinsC011000+107:120:00
K. OkposoRW011130+126:410:00
A. BarkovC0002020021:450:00
E. LuostarinenC0003310214:150:00
K. StenlundC0005410014:080:00
E. RodriguesC0000300011:150:00
G. ForslingD022322+1425:570:00
B. MontourD112262+2220:460:00
A. EkbladD000141+2025:400:00
N. MikkolaD000111+1020:310:00
D. KulikovD000160-2014:230:00
O. Ekman-LarssonD000020-1013:180:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky29263.89760:00Win
A. Stolarz000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. StamkosC101262-2022:566:59
N. KucherovRW0114200022:316:54
N. PaulLW101351+1018:525:59
A. DuclairLW011111-1017:261:50
T. JeannotLW011060-107:470:00
T. MotteC101140007:030:00
B. PointC0000100023:036:33
B. HagelLW000130-2219:441:27
A. CirelliC000085-3018:521:11
M. ChaffeeRW0000400012:320:00
M. EyssimontC0005200011:220:55
L. GlendeningC000130006:190:00
V. HedmanD011320-1026:466:38
E. CernakD0111510020:280:05
N. PerbixD000241-1019:530:07
M. DumbaD000253-1016:010:00
E. LillebergD0002500014:260:00
D. RaddyshD0001310013:111:22
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy30264.86758:48Loss
M. Tomkins000–0:00