Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
FLA3
FinalWed, May 7, 2025PlayoffsEvery game that night
TOR4

TOR beat FLA 4-3 despite fewer good chances: 2.22 expected goals to 3.02. FLA outshot TOR 28 to 20. A. Lundell led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). J. Woll stopped 25 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
FLA1113
TOR1214
  1. 1st 10:58FLAA. BarkovPP0.05 xG
  2. 1st 18:19TORM. PaciorettyPP0.10 xG
  3. 2nd 0:15FLAB. Marchand0.15 xG
  4. 2nd 4:18TORW. Nylander0.22 xG
  5. 2nd 17:09TORM. Domi0.15 xG
  6. 3rd 5:33FLAA. Lundell0.33 xG
  7. 3rd 5:50TORM. Marner0.01 xG

Team Stats

FLATOR
28Shots on goal20
3.02Expected goals2.22
76Shot attempts40
255v5 shots on goal17
1/2Power play1/3
39Hits41
8Blocked shots25
10Penalty minutes8
5Giveaways14
4Takeaways1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 3.02 xGTOR 2.22 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdFLA goal, 10:58TOR goal, 18:19FLA goal, 0:15TOR goal, 4:18TOR goal, 17:09FLA goal, 5:33TOR goal, 5:50

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA27 on goal, 3 scored
TOR19 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
E. LuostarinenC022250+2016:200:00
A. LundellC112310+2014:070:08
A. BarkovC101132-1021:361:00
B. MarchandLW101211+2215:280:07
S. ReinhartC000241-1023:061:57
C. VerhaegheC000150-1021:531:58
M. TkachukLW000331-2018:301:58
S. BennettC000140-2017:011:05
N. SturmC000000009:350:00
M. SamoskevichRW000240009:270:00
E. RodriguesC000200-228:480:00
J. BoqvistC000021005:480:00
S. JonesD011011-2027:112:05
A. EkbladD011320+2019:590:07
N. MikkolaD000310-2022:580:00
G. ForslingD000311+2020:210:00
D. KulikovD000020-1413:470:00
N. SchmidtD000000-1211:260:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky20164.80057:05Loss
V. Vanecek000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. PaciorettyLW1121710012:031:26
M. DomiC1121110010:071:22
A. MatthewsC011321+1023:324:06
M. MarnerRW101131+1022:434:24
W. NylanderRW1012000017:374:10
S. LorentzC0111410013:140:03
M. KniesLW000212+1022:484:07
J. TavaresC0002100019:224:10
S. LaughtonC000052+1412:480:03
C. JarnkrokC0001010012:330:03
P. HolmbergRW000130-129:520:00
B. McMannC000120029:421:21
M. RiellyD022134+1019:001:07
J. McCabeD011020+1021:000:03
O. Ekman-LarssonD011020-1016:191:22
C. TanevD000035+1019:280:03
S. BenoitD000025-1018:000:00
B. CarloD000301+1017:470:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Woll28253.89360:00Win
M. Murray000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamSergei Bobrovsky TOR First game against FLA since he left (his team until Apr 2026)16 saves on 20
  • HometownCarter Verhaeghe FLA Plays in his hometown1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.