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Game Recap
FLA4
Final/OTWed, Nov 8, 2023Every game that night
WSH3

FLA beat WSH 4-3 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.11 expected goals to 1.98. A. Mantha led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). S. Bobrovsky stopped 25 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
FLA20114
WSH12003
  1. 1st 10:42WSHA. Mantha0.01 xG
  2. 1st 12:49FLAO. Ekman-Larsson0.05 xG
  3. 1st 16:45FLAA. Barkov0.07 xG
  4. 2nd 6:13WSHC. McMichaelSH0.17 xG
  5. 2nd 15:51WSHA. Mantha0.11 xG
  6. 3rd 3:33FLAE. Rodrigues0.08 xG
  7. OT 0:15FLAS. Reinhart0.47 xG

Team Stats

FLAWSH
25Shots on goal28
3.11Expected goals1.98
48Shot attempts53
225v5 shots on goal23
0/1Power play0/2
26Hits27
15Blocked shots13
4Penalty minutes2
8Giveaways14
5Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

FLA 3.11 xGWSH 1.98 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTWSH goal, 10:42FLA goal, 12:49FLA goal, 16:45WSH goal, 6:13WSH goal, 15:51FLA goal, 3:33FLA goal, 0:15

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

FLA25 on goal, 4 scored
WSH28 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. ReinhartC112200+2019:021:12
A. BarkovC112110+2018:481:12
E. RodriguesC112110+3218:010:35
M. TkachukLW011102-1018:411:12
A. LundellC011000-1016:510:35
C. VerhaegheC000330-1017:491:12
K. StenlundC0001200015:290:48
N. CousinsC000130-1014:410:48
E. LuostarinenC000412-1014:050:13
S. LorentzC0001000010:090:00
W. LockwoodRW000130007:280:00
R. LombergLW000060007:110:00
O. Ekman-LarssonD112143+2023:531:25
G. ForslingD011112+3025:080:48
D. KulikovD0002010021:590:00
N. MikkolaD0000130021:530:00
M. ReillyD000401-2213:460:00
J. MahuraD000101-2011:510:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky28253.89360:15Win
A. Stolarz000–0:00

WSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. McMichaelLW112610+2015:090:12
A. ProtasLW022101+2013:470:00
A. ManthaRW202210+1012:580:00
E. KuznetsovC000300-3022:473:22
A. OvechkinLW000230-1022:314:00
D. StromeC0002000021:013:05
T. OshieRW000141-1019:283:15
T. WilsonRW000261-2217:590:45
S. MilanoLW000001-1015:230:38
B. MalenstynLW000131009:110:00
M. PhillipsRW000000006:090:27
H. LapierreC000000005:510:00
M. FehérváryD011232+1020:120:00
J. CarlsonD000010-2024:543:21
N. JensenD000211+1024:340:16
R. SandinD000303+2024:260:39
H. Haman AktellD000041-1012:590:00
A. AlexeyevD000101-209:260:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Kuemper25214.84060:15OT loss
C. Lindgren000–0:00