Game Recap: LAK 4, ANA 5 (SO), November 28, 2025

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Game Recap

LAK4

Final/SOFri, Nov 28, 2025Every game that night

ANA5

ANA beat LAK 5-4 in a shootout, and the chances backed it up: 3.66 expected goals to 2.42. L. Carlsson led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). J. Edmundson had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.2. V. Husso stopped 23 of 27.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	SO	T
LAK	1	1	2	0	4
ANA	0	2	2	1	5

1st 17:48LAKA. Laferriere0.08 xG
2nd 9:00ANAC. KreiderPP0.11 xG
2nd 10:03LAKK. Fiala0.11 xG
2nd 11:02ANAO. Zellweger0.10 xG
3rd 3:23LAKA. Turcotte0.08 xG
3rd 6:53LAKJ. Edmundson0.02 xG
3rd 10:42ANAP. Mintyukov0.18 xG
3rd 18:29ANAL. Carlsson0.17 xG

Team Stats

LAKANA

27Shots on goal31

2.42Expected goals3.66

59Shot attempts75

235v5 shots on goal25

0/1Power play1/2

14Hits18

24Blocked shots21

4Penalty minutes2

13Giveaways19

3Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

LAK 2.42 xGANA 3.66 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

LAK26 on goal, 4 scored

ANA30 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Moore	LW	0	2	2	1	0	1	+1	0	17:47	0:36
K. Fiala	LW	1	0	1	3	2	1	0	0	21:50	1:10
Q. Byfield	RW	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	20:35	1:10
A. Laferriere	RW	1	0	1	3	3	1	0	0	18:50	0:46
A. Turcotte	C	1	0	1	3	0	2	+1	2	13:27	0:00
A. Kempe	RW	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	20:40	1:10
A. Kopitar	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	20:33	1:14
C. Perry	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	+2	0	14:18	0:46
J. Armia	RW	0	0	0	0	1	2	-1	0	13:18	0:04
A. Kuzmenko	LW	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	0	10:45	1:10
P. Danault	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	10:27	0:46
J. Malott	LW	0	0	0	2	3	0	+1	0	9:15	0:00
B. Dumoulin	D	0	2	2	1	0	3	+2	0	25:02	0:00
B. Clarke	D	0	2	2	2	0	2	+1	2	21:23	0:46
M. Anderson	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	20:55	0:04
J. Edmundson	D	1	0	1	4	2	1	0	0	20:53	0:18
C. Ceci	D	0	0	0	1	1	5	0	0	19:41	0:00
J. Moverare	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	13:16	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	31	27	4	.871	64:55	OT loss
A. Forsberg	0	0	0	–	0:00

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
L. Carlsson	C	1	2	3	2	0	0	+1	0	24:06	2:10
M. McTavish	C	0	2	2	2	0	2	+1	0	14:59	0:00
T. Terry	RW	0	1	1	4	0	1	0	0	22:47	2:10
C. Kreider	LW	1	0	1	1	0	1	+2	0	18:28	2:10
B. Sennecke	RW	0	1	1	3	0	1	0	0	16:29	0:00
A. Killorn	LW	0	1	1	2	1	1	+1	0	15:34	0:00
C. Gauthier	LW	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	20:41	2:07
R. Poehling	C	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	14:23	0:00
N. Nesterenko	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	14:03	0:00
R. Strome	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-2	0	10:53	0:00
F. Vatrano	RW	0	0	0	1	5	0	-2	0	9:57	0:00
R. Johnston	LW	0	0	0	1	3	1	-2	0	9:22	0:00
J. LaCombe	D	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	29:17	2:10
P. Mintyukov	D	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	17:18	0:00
O. Zellweger	D	1	0	1	2	1	1	-1	0	16:57	0:00
J. Trouba	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	-1	0	20:11	0:03
R. Gudas	D	0	0	0	2	2	4	-1	2	20:03	0:00
D. Helleson	D	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	18:21	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
V. Husso	27	23	4	.852	64:11	Win
P. Mrazek	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

LAK

Line 1K. Fiala18:17A. Kempe17:45Q. Byfield16:27

Line 2T. Moore15:43A. Kopitar15:57A. Laferriere13:43

Line 3C. Perry13:32A. Turcotte12:49J. Malott9:15

Line 4J. Armia12:02P. Danault9:41A. Kuzmenko9:35

Pair 1J. Edmundson18:48M. Anderson18:19

Pair 2B. Dumoulin22:50B. Clarke18:16

Pair 3C. Ceci18:25J. Moverare13:16

ANA

Line 1T. Terry17:03L. Carlsson17:24C. Kreider14:50

Line 2M. McTavish13:35B. Sennecke14:30C. Gauthier15:43

Line 3A. Killorn14:34R. Poehling12:55N. Nesterenko13:58

Line 4R. Strome10:53F. Vatrano9:57R. Johnston9:22

Pair 1R. Gudas19:58J. LaCombe21:45

Pair 2P. Mintyukov17:05D. Helleson18:06

Pair 3O. Zellweger16:06J. Trouba16:56

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownTrevor Moore LAK Plays near home (born in Thousand Oaks)2 A, 1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	LAK 3.2, ANA 2.9	LAK 4, ANA 5
Total goals	6.1	9
Shots on goal	LAK 30.3, ANA 28.1	LAK 27, ANA 31
Win chance	LAK 55%	ANA won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
ANA C. Gauthier	3.3	3	0.83	0	29%	0
LAK K. Fiala	3.3	3	0.91	1	34%	1
LAK A. Kempe	3.2	2	0.98	0	36%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	2.5	0	0.79	1	25%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	2.5	3	0.54	1	21%	1
ANA T. Terry	2.4	4	0.80	1	27%	0
ANA L. Carlsson	2.2	2	0.82	3	27%	1
LAK B. Clarke	2.2	2	0.52	2	10%	0
ANA C. Kreider	2.2	1	0.65	1	33%	1
LAK T. Moore	2.2	1	0.53	2	22%	0
ANA O. Zellweger	1.8	2	0.30	1	8%	1
ANA M. McTavish	1.8	2	0.55	2	20%	0
ANA F. Vatrano	1.8	1	0.35	0	18%	0
ANA J. LaCombe	1.8	1	0.52	1	11%	0
ANA B. Sennecke	1.7	3	0.64	1	21%	0
LAK C. Perry	1.6	2	0.50	0	22%	0
LAK P. Danault	1.6	1	0.55	0	17%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.6	2	0.47	1	20%	0
ANA J. Trouba	1.5	2	0.30	0	6%	0
LAK A. Kuzmenko	1.5	0	0.60	0	24%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.4	1	0.80	0	24%	0
ANA R. Strome	1.3	1	0.41	0	13%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.2	4	0.27	1	5%	1
LAK J. Armia	1.2	0	0.36	0	15%	0
ANA N. Nesterenko	1.1	1	0.26	0	11%	0
ANA R. Poehling	1.0	1	0.36	0	14%	0
ANA D. Helleson	1.0	0	0.25	0	6%	0
LAK C. Ceci	1.0	1	0.25	0	4%	0
ANA R. Gudas	1.0	2	0.17	0	3%	0
LAK B. Dumoulin	0.9	1	0.25	2	4%	0
LAK M. Anderson	0.9	1	0.26	1	5%	0
LAK J. Malott	0.9	2	0.12	0	8%	0
ANA P. Mintyukov	0.8	2	0.22	1	4%	1
LAK A. Turcotte	0.8	3	0.20	1	7%	1
LAK J. Moverare	0.6	0	0.11	0	2%	0
ANA R. Johnston	0.4	1	0.12	0	4%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.