Game Recap: LAK 7, PHI 3, December 19, 2024

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Game Recap

LAK7

FinalThu, Dec 19, 2024Every game that night

PHI3

LAK beat PHI 7-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.40 expected goals to 1.81. T. Foerster led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). T. Foerster had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.5. D. Kuemper stopped 23 of 26.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
LAK	1	2	4	7
PHI	1	2	0	3

1st 10:53LAKK. Fiala0.13 xG
1st 14:11PHIN. Cates0.13 xG
2nd 1:31LAKT. Jeannot0.67 xG
2nd 11:30PHIT. Foerster0.19 xG
2nd 15:04PHIT. Foerster0.19 xG
2nd 19:16LAKA. Kopitar0.21 xG
3rd 1:54LAKW. Foegele0.09 xG
3rd 10:39LAKA. Kopitar0.25 xG
3rd 16:23LAKQ. ByfieldEN0.85 xG
3rd 17:34LAKK. Fiala0.20 xG

Team Stats

LAKPHI

27Shots on goal26

4.40Expected goals1.81

59Shot attempts52

225v5 shots on goal24

0/1Power play0/2

13Hits14

17Blocked shots18

4Penalty minutes2

7Giveaways9

4Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

LAK 4.40 xGPHI 1.81 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

LAK26 on goal, 7 scored

PHI26 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Kopitar	C	2	0	2	2	0	0	+2	0	18:20	1:30
K. Fiala	LW	2	0	2	3	0	0	+1	0	17:56	2:00
A. Laferriere	RW	0	2	2	2	0	0	+2	0	17:46	0:00
W. Foegele	LW	1	1	2	3	0	0	+2	0	17:43	0:00
P. Danault	C	0	1	1	0	2	0	-1	0	18:07	0:30
Q. Byfield	RW	1	0	1	4	1	2	+2	0	17:30	2:00
A. Turcotte	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	16:03	0:10
T. Jeannot	LW	1	0	1	1	2	2	+2	2	15:22	0:00
A. Kempe	RW	0	0	0	4	1	0	+2	0	18:25	1:50
A. Thomas	C	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	10:19	0:00
S. Helenius	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	10:09	0:00
V. Gavrikov	D	0	2	2	1	0	4	+1	0	22:42	0:00
J. Spence	D	0	2	2	1	0	4	+2	0	15:28	0:26
B. Clarke	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	0	16:04	1:34
J. Moverare	D	0	1	1	0	1	1	+3	2	13:35	0:00
M. Anderson	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	+1	0	20:38	0:00
J. Edmundson	D	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	19:56	0:00
K. Burroughs	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	0	9:57	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	26	23	3	.885	60:00	Win
D. Rittich	0	0	0	–	0:00

PHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Foerster	RW	2	1	3	5	1	0	+3	2	17:01	1:52
B. Brink	RW	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	17:01	2:08
S. Laughton	C	0	1	1	2	2	0	-2	0	15:24	0:01
N. Cates	LW	1	0	1	2	2	0	+1	0	15:20	0:02
O. Tippett	RW	0	1	1	1	0	3	-3	0	12:39	1:50
M. Frost	C	0	1	1	0	0	1	-3	0	11:43	1:50
J. Farabee	LW	0	0	0	2	1	3	-1	0	18:35	1:50
T. Konecny	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	18:32	2:06
S. Couturier	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	17:08	1:53
R. Poehling	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	-2	0	14:03	0:00
G. Hathaway	RW	0	0	0	1	6	0	-2	0	12:52	0:00
M. Michkov	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-4	0	12:19	2:24
T. Sanheim	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	-4	0	22:46	0:09
J. Drysdale	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-3	0	22:44	1:57
N. Seeler	D	0	0	0	3	1	4	0	0	19:35	0:00
R. Ristolainen	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	19:26	0:00
E. Andrae	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	16:45	1:54
E. Zamula	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	15:08	0:04

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Kolosov	26	20	6	.769	58:59	Loss
S. Ersson	0	0	0	–	0:00

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamScott Laughton LAK Faces PHI, his team until Mar 20251 A, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	LAK 3.1, PHI 2.6	LAK 7, PHI 3
Total goals	5.7	10
Shots on goal	LAK 26.5, PHI 26.7	LAK 27, PHI 26
Win chance	LAK 59%	LAK won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
LAK A. Kempe	2.8	4	1.02	0	38%	0
LAK K. Fiala	2.7	3	0.97	2	32%	2
PHI T. Konecny	2.6	2	0.86	0	31%	0
PHI O. Tippett	2.4	1	0.49	1	23%	0
LAK W. Foegele	2.4	3	0.58	2	24%	1
PHI S. Couturier	2.0	1	0.45	0	15%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	1.9	2	0.55	2	23%	0
PHI J. Farabee	1.9	2	0.44	0	18%	0
PHI M. Michkov	1.9	1	0.69	0	22%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	1.7	4	0.62	1	18%	1
LAK P. Danault	1.7	0	0.62	1	22%	0
PHI T. Sanheim	1.6	1	0.44	0	9%	0
LAK B. Clarke	1.6	1	0.44	1	8%	0
PHI T. Foerster	1.5	5	0.34	3	18%	2
PHI M. Frost	1.5	0	0.42	1	14%	0
PHI S. Laughton	1.5	2	0.36	1	14%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.4	2	0.95	2	26%	2
LAK V. Gavrikov	1.3	1	0.41	2	8%	0
PHI B. Brink	1.2	1	0.34	1	13%	0
PHI J. Drysdale	1.2	0	0.28	0	5%	0
PHI R. Ristolainen	1.2	1	0.22	0	3%	0
LAK M. Anderson	1.1	0	0.32	0	7%	0
PHI G. Hathaway	1.1	1	0.24	0	11%	0
LAK A. Turcotte	1.1	1	0.39	1	13%	0
LAK T. Jeannot	1.1	1	0.31	1	15%	1
PHI N. Cates	1.0	2	0.30	1	12%	1
LAK J. Edmundson	1.0	2	0.26	0	7%	0
LAK A. Thomas	1.0	1	0.35	0	14%	0
LAK J. Spence	1.0	1	0.33	2	5%	0
PHI N. Seeler	1.0	3	0.20	0	3%	0
PHI E. Andrae	1.0	2	0.23	0	5%	0
PHI R. Poehling	1.0	1	0.28	0	12%	0
PHI E. Zamula	0.7	0	0.26	0	5%	0
LAK J. Moverare	0.6	0	0.07	1	3%	0
LAK S. Helenius	0.5	1	0.17	0	7%	0
LAK K. Burroughs	0.4	0	0.07	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 26 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.