Game Recap: LAK 3, UTA 4 (OT), March 22, 2026

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Game Recap

LAK3

Final/OTSun, Mar 22, 2026Every game that night

UTA4

UTA beat LAK 4-3 in overtime, with the chances close: 3.22 expected goals to 3.03. L. Crouse led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). N. Schmaltz had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 2.4. K. Vejmelka stopped 33 of 36.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
LAK	2	0	1	0	3
UTA	2	1	0	1	4

1st 7:04UTAL. Crouse0.23 xG
1st 7:40LAKA. Laferriere0.11 xG
1st 9:19UTAL. Crouse0.10 xG
1st 9:47LAKQ. Byfield0.07 xG
2nd 16:11UTAN. Schmaltz0.02 xG
3rd 16:30LAKA. Panarin0.02 xG
OT 1:46UTAN. Schmaltz0.11 xG

Team Stats

LAKUTA

36Shots on goal34

3.03Expected goals3.22

78Shot attempts60

335v5 shots on goal29

0/1Power play0/1

30Hits31

14Blocked shots20

2Penalty minutes2

16Giveaways13

5Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

LAK 3.03 xGUTA 3.22 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

LAK35 on goal, 3 scored

UTA32 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
Q. Byfield	RW	1	1	2	3	1	0	0	0	21:01	0:48
A. Panarin	LW	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0	20:58	2:00
A. Laferriere	RW	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	20:48	1:15
A. Kopitar	C	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	0	20:10	1:29
T. Moore	LW	0	0	0	5	1	0	+2	0	20:04	0:31
A. Kempe	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	18:21	1:12
S. Laughton	C	0	0	0	4	1	2	0	0	14:53	0:45
J. Wright	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	13:14	0:00
M. Joseph	RW	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	12:17	0:00
J. Armia	RW	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	8:15	0:00
A. Turcotte	C	0	0	0	1	3	1	-1	0	6:51	0:00
S. Helenius	C	0	0	0	0	4	1	-1	0	6:30	0:00
D. Doughty	D	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	27:51	0:34
M. Anderson	D	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	2	24:18	0:00
B. Clarke	D	0	0	0	6	0	3	+2	0	20:44	1:26
J. Edmundson	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	+3	0	20:08	0:00
C. Ceci	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-3	0	13:56	0:00
B. Dumoulin	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-3	0	12:59	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	34	30	4	.882	61:46	OT loss
A. Forsberg	0	0	0	–	0:00

UTA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
L. Crouse	LW	2	1	3	5	3	2	+1	0	17:41	0:41
N. Schmaltz	C	2	0	2	7	2	1	+1	0	15:59	1:19
K. Stenlund	C	0	2	2	1	1	2	+2	0	15:11	0:00
C. Keller	RW	0	1	1	4	0	0	+1	0	16:44	1:18
A. Kerfoot	C	0	1	1	1	2	1	+1	0	12:30	0:00
B. Hayton	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	17:29	1:22
L. Cooley	C	0	0	0	0	3	1	-1	0	16:22	0:40
D. Guenther	RW	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	15:29	1:16
M. Carcone	LW	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	14:38	0:42
J. McBain	C	0	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	14:31	0:00
J. Peterka	RW	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	14:20	0:38
K. Yamamoto	RW	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	12:12	0:00
M. Sergachev	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	0	23:35	1:19
J. Marino	D	0	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	23:17	0:04
M. Weegar	D	0	0	0	2	1	4	0	0	21:20	0:41
S. Durzi	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	20:12	0:00
I. Cole	D	0	0	0	3	0	1	-1	2	19:22	0:00
N. Schmidt	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	12:26	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
K. Vejmelka	36	33	3	.917	61:46	Win
V. Vanecek	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

LAK

Line 1T. Moore18:39Q. Byfield18:32A. Laferriere18:33

Line 2A. Kopitar17:42A. Panarin17:57A. Kempe16:16

Line 3S. Laughton13:11J. Wright13:14M. Joseph12:17

Line 4A. Turcotte6:51S. Helenius6:30J. Armia8:10

Pair 1D. Doughty25:23M. Anderson24:18

Pair 2B. Clarke18:46J. Edmundson18:47

Pair 3B. Dumoulin12:17C. Ceci12:37

UTA

Line 1L. Cooley14:44J. Peterka13:42D. Guenther13:42

Line 2B. Hayton15:09M. Carcone13:56J. McBain14:09

Line 3L. Crouse15:56C. Keller14:59N. Schmaltz13:56

Line 4K. Stenlund13:45K. Yamamoto12:12A. Kerfoot11:32

Pair 1I. Cole19:22S. Durzi19:49

Pair 2M. Weegar18:04M. Sergachev20:08

Pair 3J. Marino22:29N. Schmidt12:26

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	LAK 2.6, UTA 3.1	LAK 3, UTA 4
Total goals	5.7	7
Shots on goal	LAK 24.6, UTA 27.4	LAK 36, UTA 34
Win chance	UTA 59%	UTA won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
UTA D. Guenther	2.9	1	0.87	0	33%	0
LAK A. Panarin	2.7	4	1.11	1	33%	1
UTA C. Keller	2.7	4	1.03	1	30%	0
LAK A. Kempe	2.6	1	0.85	0	32%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	2.5	1	0.53	1	22%	1
UTA N. Schmaltz	2.4	7	0.90	2	27%	2
LAK T. Moore	2.1	5	0.47	0	20%	0
UTA B. Hayton	1.9	0	0.52	0	18%	0
LAK B. Clarke	1.9	6	0.46	0	9%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	1.8	3	0.53	2	20%	1
UTA L. Cooley	1.8	0	0.67	0	25%	0
UTA L. Crouse	1.8	5	0.52	3	23%	2
UTA M. Sergachev	1.8	0	0.64	1	12%	0
UTA M. Carcone	1.7	2	0.43	0	19%	0
UTA M. Weegar	1.7	2	0.38	0	7%	0
UTA J. Peterka	1.6	1	0.55	0	22%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.4	3	0.70	0	22%	0
LAK S. Laughton	1.3	4	0.35	0	15%	0
LAK D. Doughty	1.3	1	0.37	1	9%	0
LAK J. Wright	1.3	1	0.18	0	9%	0
UTA J. McBain	1.2	3	0.33	0	12%	0
UTA S. Durzi	1.1	0	0.39	0	8%	0
UTA N. Schmidt	1.0	1	0.30	0	6%	0
LAK J. Armia	1.0	1	0.27	0	12%	0
LAK A. Turcotte	1.0	1	0.24	0	8%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.0	1	0.17	0	3%	0
UTA K. Stenlund	0.9	1	0.28	2	12%	0
UTA A. Kerfoot	0.9	1	0.32	1	11%	0
UTA K. Yamamoto	0.9	2	0.28	0	12%	0
LAK M. Joseph	0.8	1	0.25	0	8%	0
LAK M. Anderson	0.8	1	0.21	0	4%	0
LAK C. Ceci	0.8	1	0.15	0	3%	0
LAK S. Helenius	0.7	0	0.18	0	9%	0
LAK B. Dumoulin	0.7	1	0.17	0	3%	0
UTA I. Cole	0.7	3	0.21	0	3%	0
UTA J. Marino	0.7	1	0.35	1	4%	0

Shots on goal: 17 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.5 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.