Game Recap: LAK 1, WSH 2, November 17, 2025

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

LAK1

FinalMon, Nov 17, 2025Every game that night

WSH2

WSH beat LAK 2-1, with the chances close: 2.68 expected goals to 3.15. Q. Byfield had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 2.1. C. Lindgren stopped 30 of 31.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
LAK	0	1	0	1
WSH	1	1	0	2

1st 3:41WSHM. Roy0.06 xG
2nd 1:51WSHA. Ovechkin0.27 xG
2nd 13:27LAKA. KopitarPP0.20 xG

Team Stats

LAKWSH

31Shots on goal25

3.15Expected goals2.68

66Shot attempts52

235v5 shots on goal21

1/3Power play0/2

18Hits17

16Blocked shots21

4Penalty minutes6

12Giveaways12

4Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

LAK 3.15 xGWSH 2.68 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

LAK31 on goal, 1 scored

WSH24 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
K. Fiala	LW	0	1	1	3	1	1	-2	0	20:48	3:35
A. Kopitar	C	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	19:43	4:11
C. Perry	RW	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	15:46	4:09
A. Kempe	RW	0	0	0	4	4	1	-1	2	21:44	4:06
Q. Byfield	RW	0	0	0	7	0	1	-2	0	19:38	3:36
P. Danault	C	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	0	16:53	1:35
W. Foegele	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	16:32	1:01
T. Moore	LW	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	16:18	1:04
A. Laferriere	RW	0	0	0	4	3	1	-1	0	13:52	0:52
J. Armia	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	13:18	0:01
A. Turcotte	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	9:28	0:00
J. Malott	LW	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	9:12	0:00
B. Clarke	D	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	22:53	1:35
J. Edmundson	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	19:16	0:10
C. Ceci	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	18:06	0:00
B. Dumoulin	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	17:57	0:00
M. Anderson	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	17:35	0:00
J. Moverare	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	-1	0	10:19	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	25	23	2	.920	58:07	Loss
A. Forsberg	0	0	0	–	0:00

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Wilson	RW	0	1	1	5	1	2	+1	0	20:07	1:47
C. McMichael	LW	0	1	1	3	1	0	+1	0	18:12	0:48
A. Protas	LW	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	0	17:05	0:00
A. Ovechkin	LW	1	0	1	1	2	1	+1	0	15:00	1:47
N. Dowd	C	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	19:21	0:00
D. Strome	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	2	18:36	1:47
A. Beauvillier	RW	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	15:17	0:48
R. Leonard	RW	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	13:40	0:48
J. Sourdif	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1	0	12:40	0:00
B. Duhaime	LW	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	9:55	0:00
E. Frank	RW	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	8:51	0:48
H. Lapierre	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	6:44	0:00
M. Roy	D	1	0	1	1	0	2	+2	0	22:46	0:00
J. Chychrun	D	0	1	1	3	1	0	+2	0	21:30	1:47
J. Carlson	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	23:06	1:47
M. Fehérváry	D	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	20:28	0:00
R. Sandin	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	16:21	0:48
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	15:10	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Lindgren	31	30	1	.968	60:00	Win
L. Thompson	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

LAK

Line 1P. Danault14:43W. Foegele13:52T. Moore14:18

Line 2K. Fiala15:15Q. Byfield12:53A. Kempe16:07

Line 3A. Kopitar13:39J. Armia13:17A. Laferriere12:03

Line 4C. Perry10:06A. Turcotte9:28J. Malott9:12

Pair 1B. Dumoulin17:57M. Anderson16:23

Pair 2B. Clarke19:47J. Edmundson17:33

Pair 3C. Ceci16:43J. Moverare10:19

WSH

Line 1D. Strome16:38C. McMichael15:01A. Ovechkin13:13

Line 2N. Dowd16:12A. Beauvillier14:17R. Leonard12:52

Line 3T. Wilson14:09A. Protas13:46J. Sourdif11:09

Line 4B. Duhaime9:55E. Frank8:03H. Lapierre6:44

Pair 1M. Roy19:38J. Chychrun19:42

Pair 2J. Carlson17:19M. Fehérváry16:54

Pair 3R. Sandin14:14T. Riemsdyk13:49

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamDarcy Kuemper LAK Faces WSH, his team until Apr 202423 saves on 25

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	LAK 2.9, WSH 3.0	LAK 1, WSH 2
Total goals	5.9	3
Shots on goal	LAK 26.8, WSH 27.2	LAK 31, WSH 25
Win chance	WSH 52%	WSH won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
LAK K. Fiala	2.9	3	0.78	1	30%	0
WSH A. Ovechkin	2.9	1	0.86	1	36%	1
LAK A. Kempe	2.7	4	0.83	0	31%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	2.6	3	0.56	1	16%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	2.2	4	0.48	0	19%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	2.1	7	0.70	0	22%	0
WSH A. Beauvillier	2.0	2	0.37	0	16%	0
WSH T. Wilson	2.0	5	0.69	1	28%	0
LAK T. Moore	1.9	2	0.45	0	19%	0
WSH J. Carlson	1.9	1	0.57	0	11%	0
WSH C. McMichael	1.8	3	0.50	1	21%	0
WSH D. Strome	1.8	0	0.85	0	26%	0
WSH A. Protas	1.8	1	0.62	1	21%	0
LAK W. Foegele	1.8	0	0.37	0	17%	0
LAK B. Clarke	1.7	1	0.40	0	9%	0
LAK C. Perry	1.7	0	0.49	1	23%	0
WSH R. Leonard	1.7	2	0.32	0	12%	0
LAK P. Danault	1.4	3	0.48	0	15%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.3	1	0.28	1	5%	1
LAK A. Kopitar	1.2	2	0.69	1	20%	1
LAK J. Armia	1.1	1	0.31	0	13%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.0	0	0.21	0	5%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	1.0	0	0.26	0	6%	0
WSH J. Sourdif	1.0	0	0.19	0	12%	0
WSH R. Sandin	1.0	1	0.34	0	6%	0
WSH N. Dowd	1.0	2	0.30	0	14%	0
WSH E. Frank	0.9	3	0.28	0	11%	0
LAK C. Ceci	0.9	1	0.21	0	4%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	0.8	0	0.23	0	11%	0
LAK A. Turcotte	0.8	0	0.20	0	7%	0
LAK B. Dumoulin	0.8	1	0.20	0	4%	0
LAK M. Anderson	0.8	0	0.22	0	5%	0
WSH H. Lapierre	0.8	0	0.25	0	8%	0
LAK J. Malott	0.7	2	0.11	0	7%	0
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.7	0	0.18	0	3%	0
LAK J. Moverare	0.4	0	0.08	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.