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Game Recap
MIN3
CBJ1
MIN beat CBJ 3-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.08 expected goals to 1.78. MIN outshot CBJ 34 to 24. K. Kaprizov led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). F. Gustavsson stopped 23 of 24.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| CBJ | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
- 1st 12:40MINM. Rossi0.24 xG
- 3rd 2:52MINK. KaprizovPP0.12 xG
- 3rd 8:26MINM. Zuccarello0.04 xG
- 3rd 18:35CBJE. Chinakhov0.08 xG
Team Stats
MINCBJ
34Shots on goal24
3.08Expected goals1.78
60Shot attempts58
255v5 shots on goal12
1/3Power play0/3
13Hits27
20Blocked shots11
6Penalty minutes6
22Giveaways18
4Takeaways10
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
MIN 3.08 xGCBJ 1.78 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
MIN Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kaprizov | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:06 | 2:47 |
| M. Zuccarello | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:51 | 2:48 |
| M. Rossi | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:04 | 1:39 |
| M. Boldy | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:16 | 2:46 |
| M. Foligno | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:13 | 0:00 |
| Y. Trenin | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 10:44 | 0:00 |
| J. Eriksson Ek | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 20:04 | 2:54 |
| F. Gaudreau | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:44 | 1:38 |
| M. Johansson | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:18 | 1:40 |
| M. Khusnutdinov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0:00 |
| J. Lauko | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:38 | 0:00 |
| L. Ohgren | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:02 | 1:25 |
| B. Faber | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26:21 | 2:44 |
| J. Merrill | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:17 | 0:00 |
| J. Brodin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 0 | 22:57 | 0:07 |
| J. Middleton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:57 | 0:00 |
| Z. Bogosian | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:19 | 0:00 |
| D. Chisholm | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:50 | 1:42 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Gustavsson | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 60:00 | Win |
| M. Fleury | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
CBJ Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Monahan | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 21:32 | 4:08 |
| E. Chinakhov | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:11 | 2:29 |
| A. Fantilli | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:04 | 2:33 |
| K. Marchenko | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:53 | 4:16 |
| C. Sillinger | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:43 | 4:10 |
| J. Danforth | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:13 | 1:12 |
| M. Pyyhtia | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:43 | 1:45 |
| M. Olivier | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | -1 | 2 | 14:37 | 0:00 |
| Z. Aston-Reese | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 13:58 | 0:02 |
| J. van Riemsdyk | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:09 | 1:31 |
| S. Kuraly | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:37 | 0:00 |
| D.Jiricek | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:23 | 0:00 |
| Z. Werenski | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 26:12 | 4:15 |
| I. Provorov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 21:35 | 1:46 |
| D. Severson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 19:50 | 1:53 |
| J. Johnson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:04 | 0:00 |
| J. Christiansen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 10:59 | 0:00 |
| J. Harris | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:15 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tarasov | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 58:30 | Loss |
| J. Greaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MIN 3.7, CBJ 3.1 | MIN 3, CBJ 1 |
| Total goals | 6.7 | 4 |
| Shots on goal | MIN 33.2, CBJ 30.5 | MIN 34, CBJ 24 |
| Win chance | MIN 58% | MIN won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN K. Kaprizov | 4.0 | 6 | 1.47 | 2 | 50% | 1 |
| MIN M. Boldy | 3.3 | 0 | 1.04 | 1 | 35% | 0 |
| CBJ Z. Werenski | 3.0 | 2 | 0.80 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| MIN J. Ek | 2.9 | 5 | 0.77 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| MIN M. Zuccarello | 2.6 | 2 | 1.01 | 1 | 26% | 1 |
| CBJ K. Marchenko | 2.4 | 1 | 0.59 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| CBJ A. Fantilli | 2.2 | 0 | 0.55 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| CBJ S. Monahan | 2.2 | 4 | 0.71 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| CBJ C. Sillinger | 2.1 | 4 | 0.46 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| CBJ E. Chinakhov | 2.1 | 4 | 0.55 | 1 | 21% | 1 |
| MIN M. Rossi | 2.0 | 3 | 0.52 | 1 | 22% | 1 |
| MIN B. Faber | 1.8 | 1 | 0.60 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| MIN L. Ohgren | 1.8 | 3 | 0.39 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| MIN J. Brodin | 1.7 | 4 | 0.39 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| MIN M. Johansson | 1.4 | 3 | 0.47 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Riemsdyk | 1.4 | 0 | 0.38 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| MIN F. Gaudreau | 1.4 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| CBJ I. Provorov | 1.4 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| MIN Z. Bogosian | 1.4 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| CBJ D. Severson | 1.4 | 3 | 0.47 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Danforth | 1.3 | 1 | 0.38 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| MIN Y. Trenin | 1.2 | 0 | 0.23 | 1 | 15% | 0 |
| CBJ M. Pyyhtia | 1.2 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| CBJ S. Kuraly | 1.1 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| MIN J. Middleton | 1.1 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| CBJ M. Olivier | 1.1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| MIN M. Foligno | 1.0 | 0 | 0.39 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| MIN J. Lauko | 1.0 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| MIN D. Chisholm | 0.9 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Christiansen | 0.9 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| CBJ D.Jiricek | 0.9 | 0 | 0.21 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Harris | 0.8 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Johnson | 0.8 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| CBJ Z. Aston-Reese | 0.8 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| MIN M. Khusnutdinov | 0.7 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| MIN J. Merrill | 0.7 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 15 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.