Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
MTL3
FinalSat, Mar 18, 2023Every game that night
TBL5

TBL beat MTL 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.26 expected goals to 1.58. TBL outshot MTL 41 to 21. B. Hagel scored three for TBL. B. Elliott stopped 18 of 21.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
MTL1203
TBL1135
  1. 1st 5:12MTLM. Hoffman0.09 xG
  2. 1st 11:31TBLV. Hedman0.10 xG
  3. 2nd 4:50TBLB. Hagel0.01 xG
  4. 2nd 6:29MTLD. Gurianov0.07 xG
  5. 2nd 12:23MTLJ. YlonenPP0.05 xG
  6. 3rd 3:14TBLS. StamkosPP0.11 xG
  7. 3rd 5:58TBLB. Hagel0.08 xG
  8. 3rd 19:16TBLB. HagelEN0.29 xG

Team Stats

MTLTBL
21Shots on goal41
1.58Expected goals3.26
36Shot attempts75
175v5 shots on goal35
1/2Power play1/2
37Hits20
20Blocked shots7
4Penalty minutes4
10Giveaways13
12Takeaways19

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MTL 1.58 xGTBL 3.26 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdMTL goal, 5:12TBL goal, 11:31TBL goal, 4:50MTL goal, 6:29MTL goal, 12:23TBL goal, 3:14TBL goal, 5:58TBL goal, 19:16

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MTL21 on goal, 3 scored
TBL40 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MTL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. SuzukiC0221200025:322:37
M. HoffmanC1126010218:181:14
D. GurianovRW101220-2018:392:13
J. AndersonRW011133-1018:090:57
J. YlonenRW101110-2015:131:58
C. TierneyC0001110018:140:00
R. Harvey-PinardLW0000440017:571:44
R. PitlickC0000000016:431:47
A. BelzileRW000233-2016:361:45
A. RichardC000210-109:341:07
M. PezzettaLW000040027:320:00
J. DrouinLW000000000:000:00
D. SavardD011143-1022:010:06
J. BarronD0112210015:571:57
M. MathesonD000210-1025:011:59
J. EdmundsonD0000530022:360:21
J. KovacevicD000011-1018:060:00
C. WidemanD0000300012:130:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Montembeault40364.90059:16Loss
J. Allen000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. HagelLW303700+3219:200:29
N. KucherovRW022220+2019:131:56
B. PointC011002+2019:542:08
S. StamkosC1014000018:081:54
N. PaulLW0111100015:550:15
A. KillornLW0111010014:171:33
R. ColtonC000332-1015:320:27
A. CirelliC0001100015:060:24
T. JeannotLW0004400012:560:00
P. BellemareLW0000000010:320:00
C. PerryRW000010009:000:26
M. EyssimontC000010008:280:00
M. SergachevD022320+1221:562:05
V. HedmanD1014010022:210:18
Z. BogosianD011210+1017:010:00
E. CernakD0003100021:050:00
I. ColeD000411+1019:470:00
D. RaddyshD000220+1015:320:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
B. Elliott21183.85760:00Win
A. Vasilevskiy000–0:00