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Game Recap
NJD3
Final/OTThu, Jan 11, 2024Every game that night
TBL4

TBL beat NJD 4-3 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.28 expected goals to 3.02. NJD outshot TBL 30 to 20. L. Glendening led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
NJD11103
TBL21014
  1. 1st 7:42NJDD. Mercer0.16 xG
  2. 1st 12:35TBLL. Glendening0.07 xG
  3. 1st 18:22TBLL. GlendeningSH0.11 xG
  4. 2nd 10:34TBLB. Point0.24 xG
  5. 2nd 16:54NJDJ. Bratt0.36 xG
  6. 3rd 3:53NJDN. Bastian0.22 xG
  7. OT 1:52TBLD. Raddysh0.05 xG

Team Stats

NJDTBL
30Shots on goal20
3.02Expected goals2.28
56Shot attempts44
255v5 shots on goal10
0/1Power play0/3
24Hits30
7Blocked shots15
10Penalty minutes6
1Giveaways5
3Takeaways12

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NJD 3.02 xGTBL 2.28 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTNJD goal, 7:42TBL goal, 12:35TBL goal, 18:22TBL goal, 10:34NJD goal, 16:54NJD goal, 3:53TBL goal, 1:52

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NJD29 on goal, 3 scored
TBL20 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NJD Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. MercerC1014200022:221:30
E. HaulaLW0112100221:320:30
J. BrattLW101701-1019:301:30
T. ToffoliC011110-1015:171:30
N. BastianRW101220+129:510:00
N. HischierC0001010018:521:30
M. McLeodC000251-1017:460:00
C. LazarC000020-1013:520:30
C. TierneyC000110-1012:260:30
A. HoltzRW000200-1010:090:30
S. BowersC000000+107:580:00
M. WillmanC000211+107:400:00
J. MarinoD0111000022:130:00
C. MillerD0112420221:240:00
K. BahlD000020+1023:370:00
L. HughesD000211-1020:380:23
S. NemecD000100-1216:241:37
B. SmithD000020+1216:050:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
V. Vanecek20164.80061:52OT loss
N. Daws000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW0223000021:565:47
L. GlendeningC202210+207:430:00
B. PointC1014050022:175:50
A. WatsonLW011030+105:380:00
B. HagelLW000102+1222:440:22
N. PaulLW000110-1021:514:47
S. StamkosC000240-2021:305:39
A. CirelliC0001110021:180:13
T. MotteC000131+1011:110:00
M. EyssimontC000000+1010:190:10
C. ShearyLW0000000010:110:00
G. GoncalvesC000010049:000:00
N. PerbixD022143+1022:350:00
D. RaddyshD1012300025:130:35
V. HedmanD000201-1027:545:36
C. de HaanD0000310017:450:00
E. LillebergD0000400014:560:10
E. CernakD000021007:580:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy30273.90061:29Win
J. Johansson000–0:00