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Game Recap
NJD3
FinalSat, Jan 27, 2024Every game that night
TBL6

TBL beat NJD 6-3, and the chances backed it up: 5.70 expected goals to 2.06. TBL outshot NJD 42 to 24. V. Hedman led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). A. Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 24.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
NJD0033
TBL0246
  1. 2nd 1:09TBLN. Paul0.14 xG
  2. 2nd 10:40TBLB. Hagel0.32 xG
  3. 3rd 2:49NJDO. Palat0.22 xG
  4. 3rd 3:49TBLS. Stamkos0.43 xG
  5. 3rd 7:19NJDJ. Bratt0.06 xG
  6. 3rd 13:52TBLB. Point0.18 xG
  7. 3rd 17:22NJDT. Toffoli0.36 xG
  8. 3rd 18:21TBLB. HagelEN0.89 xG
  9. 3rd 19:06TBLB. PointEN0.72 xG

Team Stats

NJDTBL
24Shots on goal42
2.06Expected goals5.70
42Shot attempts74
195v5 shots on goal35
0/1Power play0/3
41Hits38
16Blocked shots8
6Penalty minutes2
5Giveaways5
6Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NJD 2.06 xGTBL 5.70 xGGoal

01234561st2nd3rdTBL goal, 1:09TBL goal, 10:40NJD goal, 2:49TBL goal, 3:49NJD goal, 7:19TBL goal, 13:52NJD goal, 17:22TBL goal, 18:21TBL goal, 19:06

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NJD22 on goal, 3 scored
TBL41 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NJD Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. HischierC0221100016:261:01
O. PalatLW112420+2014:090:48
J. BrattLW1013130016:141:01
T. ToffoliC101500-2015:461:01
D. MercerC000110-3016:260:59
N. BastianRW0000710015:340:50
T. MeierRW000210-2014:281:01
J. DowlingC000010-3014:240:00
C. TierneyC0002210014:210:00
A. HoltzRW000010-2014:090:59
C. LazarC0000810014:020:09
M. WillmanC0001400011:170:00
S. NemecD011001-3021:390:00
S. HatakkaD011031+2016:440:00
L. HughesD000003-2022:321:01
J. MarinoD000121-1220:310:00
C. MillerD000261+1218:470:59
K. BahlD000213-3218:140:11
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
V. Vanecek40364.90058:17Loss
N. Daws000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW022500+3021:595:47
B. PointC202410+3020:234:46
S. StamkosC112510+3020:024:56
N. PaulLW1122300019:504:46
B. HagelLW2024210017:561:13
A. CirelliC0112010018:511:14
T. MotteC0000510012:130:00
M. EyssimontC0004010011:370:02
C. ShearyLW0002100010:530:57
L. GlendeningC0002300010:110:00
M. ChaffeeRW000120009:500:00
W. MerelaC000030009:370:00
V. HedmanD0332510023:144:49
N. PerbixD0112000019:330:21
D. RaddyshD011500+2019:051:00
C. de HaanD000142+2018:240:09
E. LillebergD000160+1217:260:00
M. CrozierD000021+1016:560:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy24213.87560:00Win
J. Johansson000–0:00