Game Recap: NJD 6, VAN 0, October 30, 2024

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Game Recap

NJD6

FinalWed, Oct 30, 2024Every game that night

VAN0

NJD beat VAN 6-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.56 expected goals to 1.81. N. Hischier led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). O. Palat had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.1. J. Markstrom stopped 20 of 20.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NJD	1	3	2	6
VAN	0	0	0	0

1st 0:53NJDN. Hischier0.10 xG
2nd 1:35NJDD. MercerSH0.22 xG
2nd 3:07NJDT. Meier0.11 xG
2nd 14:04NJDO. Palat0.44 xG
3rd 9:22NJDJ. HughesPP0.19 xG
3rd 14:06NJDT. Tatar0.19 xG

Team Stats

NJDVAN

22Shots on goal20

3.56Expected goals1.81

53Shot attempts55

175v5 shots on goal15

1/2Power play0/4

20Hits43

15Blocked shots14

15Penalty minutes11

14Giveaways7

8Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NJD 3.56 xGVAN 1.81 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NJD20 on goal, 6 scored

VAN20 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NJD Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
N. Hischier	C	1	2	3	2	1	3	+3	0	20:29	2:03
D. Mercer	C	1	1	2	3	0	2	+3	0	17:21	0:47
J. Hughes	C	1	1	2	2	0	0	+1	0	15:56	1:59
T. Meier	RW	1	0	1	3	1	0	+2	0	15:17	1:00
J. Bratt	LW	0	1	1	1	1	0	+1	4	14:50	2:01
S. Noesen	RW	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	13:46	1:48
N. Bastian	RW	0	1	1	0	5	0	+1	0	13:06	0:00
T. Tatar	LW	1	0	1	1	1	1	+1	0	12:27	0:45
J. Dowling	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	11:46	0:00
O. Palat	LW	1	0	1	5	0	1	+1	0	11:24	0:00
P. Cotter	LW	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	13:37	0:00
E. Haula	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	7	12:50	0:49
D. Hamilton	D	0	1	1	0	1	1	+3	0	16:55	2:07
B. Pesce	D	0	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	22:30	0:00
J. Kovacevic	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	+2	0	21:17	0:00
J. Siegenthaler	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	+1	2	20:17	0:00
L. Hughes	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	19:08	0:41
B. Dillon	D	0	0	0	0	3	1	+4	0	17:29	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Markstrom	20	20	0	1.000	59:35	Win
J. Allen	0	0	0	–	0:00

VAN Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
E. Pettersson	C	2	2	0	-2	0	19:37	5:09
B. Boeser	RW	0	5	1	-1	0	18:41	4:59
J. Miller	C	1	2	0	-1	0	17:51	5:08
P. Suter	C	2	1	0	-2	0	15:36	0:53
D. Sprong	RW	1	1	0	-2	0	15:19	2:47
C. Garland	RW	2	2	1	-1	7	15:05	5:04
D. Heinen	LW	0	4	0	-1	2	14:41	2:04
J. DeBrusk	LW	0	0	1	0	0	14:29	1:51
T. Blueger	C	1	2	1	-1	2	13:31	0:22
K. Sherwood	LW	2	5	0	-1	0	13:00	0:36
N. Hoglander	LW	1	2	0	-2	0	12:59	1:20
A. Bains	LW	0	2	2	-2	0	11:39	1:01
Q. Hughes	D	3	0	0	-1	0	26:23	5:29
F. Hronek	D	1	2	0	0	0	22:23	2:18
C. Soucy	D	1	2	4	-2	0	17:24	0:15
T. Myers	D	1	2	1	-3	0	16:43	0:24
E. Brannstrom	D	1	2	3	-2	0	16:07	0:20
N. Juulsen	D	1	7	0	-1	0	13:46	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Silovs	22	16	6	.727	59:58	Loss
K. Lankinen	0	0	0	–	0:00

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamPaul Cotter VAN Faces NJD, his team until Apr 20260 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	NJD 3.1, VAN 3.4	NJD 6, VAN 0
Total goals	6.5	6
Shots on goal	NJD 27.8, VAN 27.7	NJD 22, VAN 20
Win chance	VAN 56%	NJD won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NJD J. Hughes	3.6	2	1.03	2	33%	1
NJD T. Meier	2.8	3	0.69	1	29%	1
NJD D. Hamilton	2.7	0	0.61	1	17%	0
NJD N. Hischier	2.6	2	0.88	3	28%	1
VAN C. Garland	2.6	2	0.73	0	26%	0
NJD J. Bratt	2.5	1	0.82	1	24%	0
VAN J. Miller	2.4	1	1.16	0	34%	0
VAN B. Boeser	2.4	0	0.87	0	33%	0
VAN Q. Hughes	2.3	3	1.03	0	12%	0
VAN E. Pettersson	2.2	2	0.96	0	32%	0
VAN J. DeBrusk	2.1	0	0.64	0	28%	0
VAN D. Sprong	1.8	1	0.51	0	21%	0
NJD E. Haula	1.7	2	0.43	0	17%	0
VAN K. Sherwood	1.6	2	0.44	0	17%	0
VAN N. Hoglander	1.6	1	0.46	0	23%	0
NJD D. Mercer	1.6	3	0.47	2	21%	1
NJD S. Noesen	1.6	0	0.52	1	19%	0
VAN F. Hronek	1.5	1	0.51	0	7%	0
NJD L. Hughes	1.5	1	0.49	0	9%	0
VAN D. Heinen	1.4	0	0.47	0	20%	0
NJD B. Pesce	1.4	1	0.24	0	6%	0
VAN P. Suter	1.4	2	0.35	0	16%	0
NJD P. Cotter	1.3	0	0.36	0	15%	0
VAN T. Blueger	1.2	1	0.39	0	11%	0
VAN T. Myers	1.1	1	0.30	0	3%	0
NJD O. Palat	1.1	5	0.37	1	14%	1
NJD J. Siegenthaler	1.1	0	0.22	0	4%	0
NJD J. Kovacevic	1.0	1	0.28	0	8%	0
NJD N. Bastian	1.0	0	0.25	1	11%	0
NJD T. Tatar	1.0	1	0.32	1	13%	1
VAN E. Brannstrom	0.9	1	0.27	0	3%	0
VAN C. Soucy	0.9	1	0.25	0	7%	0
VAN A. Bains	0.8	0	0.19	0	12%	0
NJD B. Dillon	0.8	0	0.26	0	6%	0
NJD J. Dowling	0.8	0	0.21	1	10%	0
VAN N. Juulsen	0.7	1	0.15	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.5 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.