Game Recap: NSH 5, ANA 0, April 7, 2026

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Game Recap

NSH5

FinalTue, Apr 7, 2026Every game that night

ANA0

NSH beat ANA 5-0 despite fewer good chances: 3.08 expected goals to 4.40. ANA outshot NSH 43 to 25. E. Haula led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). T. Terry had 9 shots on goal against our projection of 2.6. J. Annunen stopped 43 of 43.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NSH	0	3	2	5
ANA	0	0	0	0

2nd 7:07NSHE. Haula0.16 xG
2nd 11:26NSHF. ForsbergPP0.09 xG
2nd 19:00NSHB. SkjeiSH0.20 xG
3rd 9:51NSHZ. L'Heureux0.28 xG
3rd 15:07NSHF. Svechkov0.24 xG

Team Stats

NSHANA

25Shots on goal43

3.08Expected goals4.40

46Shot attempts84

155v5 shots on goal37

1/4Power play0/6

11Hits19

16Blocked shots9

10Penalty minutes8

16Giveaways16

3Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NSH 3.08 xGANA 4.40 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NSH24 on goal, 5 scored

ANA43 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
R. O'Reilly	C	0	2	2	2	1	1	+1	0	20:55	4:22
E. Haula	LW	1	1	2	2	0	3	+2	0	15:24	2:58
J. Kemell	RW	0	2	2	0	2	2	+4	0	12:24	0:07
F. Forsberg	LW	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	2	16:21	3:46
T. Jost	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	+1	2	15:50	0:05
Z. L'Heureux	LW	1	0	1	1	0	0	+2	0	13:44	0:00
F. Svechkov	C	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	10:55	0:08
S. Stamkos	C	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	16:03	4:35
J. Marchessault	RW	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	14:52	3:58
M. Wood	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	14:44	3:17
L. Evangelista	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	12:59	3:18
R. Schaefer	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	8:09	0:00
B. Skjei	D	1	0	1	1	0	2	+2	2	23:19	3:10
N. Perbix	D	0	1	1	2	0	3	+2	0	22:12	0:00
A. Wilsby	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	+2	0	21:47	0:19
R. Ufko	D	0	1	1	1	3	1	0	2	15:35	3:06
R. Josi	D	0	1	1	2	0	0	+1	0	15:31	2:58
J. Barron	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	+1	0	17:33	0:58

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Annunen	43	43	0	1.000	59:43	Win
J. Saros	0	0	0	–	0:00

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Granlund	C	3	1	2	0	0	23:35	7:08
L. Carlsson	C	2	0	1	0	0	21:45	6:44
T. Terry	RW	9	0	0	-1	0	20:44	7:04
B. Sennecke	RW	6	0	0	-2	2	20:14	5:40
R. Poehling	C	0	0	0	-2	0	17:26	3:25
A. Killorn	LW	2	0	0	-3	0	15:29	3:04
C. Kreider	LW	2	0	0	0	2	13:31	4:30
M. McTavish	C	1	0	0	-3	0	12:09	3:07
T. Washe	C	1	2	0	-1	0	11:31	0:01
J. Viel	LW	3	6	0	-1	4	8:49	0:00
J. Carlson	D	0	0	1	-3	0	25:04	5:32
J. LaCombe	D	1	1	0	-2	0	21:56	4:41
J. Trouba	D	3	3	1	0	0	19:15	0:00
P. Mintyukov	D	2	0	2	-2	0	18:31	0:05
T. Hinds	D	2	1	1	0	0	13:13	0:00
D. Helleson	D	3	1	1	0	0	11:46	0:00
O. Zellweger	D	1	1	0	0	0	8:58	0:04
I. Moore	D	2	3	0	0	0	8:39	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Dostal	25	20	5	.800	60:00	Loss
V. Husso	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

NSH

Line 1S. Stamkos11:11R. O'Reilly12:12T. Jost11:44

Line 2J. Marchessault10:37F. Forsberg12:18M. Wood11:10

Line 3E. Haula8:41Z. L'Heureux8:53J. Kemell11:13

Line 4R. Schaefer8:07F. Svechkov10:12L. Evangelista9:41

Pair 1A. Wilsby16:34J. Barron16:13

Pair 2N. Perbix14:54R. Ufko12:29

Pair 3R. Josi10:03B. Skjei14:13

ANA

Line 1M. Granlund14:14B. Sennecke14:34L. Carlsson13:57

Line 2C. Kreider8:44R. Poehling9:59T. Terry12:18

Line 3A. Killorn9:17M. McTavish9:02J. Viel8:49

Pair 1J. LaCombe15:56J. Trouba14:50

Pair 2J. Carlson16:08P. Mintyukov14:29

Pair 3T. Hinds11:32D. Helleson11:03

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	NSH 3.0, ANA 3.7	NSH 5, ANA 0
Total goals	6.7	5
Shots on goal	NSH 26.9, ANA 32.7	NSH 25, ANA 43
Win chance	ANA 61%	NSH won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NSH F. Forsberg	2.9	2	0.94	1	35%	1
ANA T. Terry	2.6	9	0.91	0	29%	0
ANA L. Carlsson	2.6	2	0.90	0	29%	0
NSH R. Josi	2.5	2	0.87	1	20%	0
ANA B. Sennecke	2.5	6	0.75	0	24%	0
ANA J. Carlson	2.2	0	0.80	0	15%	0
ANA C. Kreider	2.2	2	0.78	0	36%	0
NSH S. Stamkos	2.2	3	0.78	0	33%	0
NSH J. Marchessault	2.2	2	0.70	0	27%	0
ANA M. Granlund	2.2	3	0.83	0	24%	0
ANA A. Killorn	2.0	2	0.57	0	24%	0
ANA J. Trouba	1.9	3	0.38	0	9%	0
NSH R. O'Reilly	1.9	2	0.83	2	26%	0
NSH L. Evangelista	1.8	1	0.50	0	14%	0
ANA M. McTavish	1.8	1	0.51	0	20%	0
ANA J. LaCombe	1.6	1	0.66	0	12%	0
NSH T. Jost	1.6	1	0.31	1	13%	0
ANA R. Poehling	1.5	0	0.53	0	18%	0
NSH M. Wood	1.5	2	0.43	0	19%	0
NSH E. Haula	1.5	2	0.39	2	16%	1
ANA J. Viel	1.4	3	0.25	0	11%	0
NSH B. Skjei	1.4	1	0.42	1	10%	1
NSH Z. L'Heureux	1.4	1	0.26	1	12%	1
ANA O. Zellweger	1.2	1	0.25	0	7%	0
ANA P. Mintyukov	1.2	2	0.35	0	9%	0
NSH J. Kemell	1.1	0	0.15	2	9%	0
ANA T. Washe	1.1	1	0.22	0	11%	0
NSH A. Wilsby	1.1	1	0.29	1	4%	0
ANA I. Moore	0.9	2	0.19	0	5%	0
NSH N. Perbix	0.9	2	0.21	1	5%	0
NSH F. Svechkov	0.8	2	0.25	1	9%	1
NSH J. Barron	0.8	0	0.23	0	7%	0
NSH R. Schaefer	0.8	0	0.18	0	11%	0
ANA D. Helleson	0.7	3	0.24	0	5%	0
NSH R. Ufko	0.5	1	0.36	1	7%	0

Shots on goal: 24 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.