Game Recap: NYI 3, PHI 0, January 30, 2025

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

NYI3

FinalThu, Jan 30, 2025Every game that night

PHI0

NYI beat PHI 3-0, with the chances close: 2.10 expected goals to 2.31. I. Sorokin stopped 23 of 23.

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYI	0	2	1	3
PHI	0	0	0	0

NYIPHI

28Shots on goal23

2.10Expected goals2.31

47Shot attempts67

225v5 shots on goal21

0/2Power play0/3

18Hits20

25Blocked shots9

13Penalty minutes11

14Giveaways23

6Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

NYI 2.10 xGPHI 2.31 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

NYI28 on goal, 3 scored

PHI23 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
K. Palmieri	C	1	0	1	4	0	0	+1	0	16:23	0:28
J. Pageau	C	0	1	1	1	4	2	+1	0	14:01	0:28
S. Holmstrom	RW	1	0	1	1	0	0	+1	0	13:41	0:28
C. Cizikas	C	0	1	1	0	1	5	+2	0	13:29	0:00
K. MacLean	C	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	0	11:10	0:00
M. Tsyplakov	RW	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	5	11:05	0:00
M. Gatcomb	C	1	0	1	2	5	0	+1	0	10:44	0:00
B. Horvat	C	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	20:29	3:32
B. Nelson	C	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	2	18:52	3:31
M. Barzal	C	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	17:19	3:32
A. Lee	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16:02	3:32
A. Duclair	LW	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	11:55	0:15
A. Pelech	D	0	1	1	4	2	1	+1	4	21:44	0:00
S. Perunovich	D	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	2	17:53	0:29
T. DeAngelo	D	0	0	0	2	0	5	+1	0	28:14	3:32
A. Romanov	D	0	0	0	1	0	5	+2	0	27:24	0:00
S. Mayfield	D	0	0	0	0	0	3	+1	0	17:32	0:13
I. George	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4:03	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
I. Sorokin	23	23	0	1.000	60:00	Win
J. Skarek	0	0	0	–	0:00

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Konecny	RW	1	1	0	-1	0	23:45	4:30
B. Brink	RW	3	3	0	-1	2	18:19	4:31
T. Foerster	RW	3	0	0	0	2	17:50	2:53
J. Farabee	LW	0	0	0	-1	2	17:19	0:30
S. Laughton	C	0	0	0	0	5	16:51	1:30
N. Cates	LW	1	0	1	-1	0	14:53	1:25
S. Couturier	C	1	1	2	-1	0	14:03	0:00
G. Hathaway	RW	1	10	1	0	0	13:52	0:00
A. Richard	C	2	1	0	-2	0	12:22	1:30
M. Frost	C	2	0	0	0	0	11:28	2:51
R. Abols	C	1	1	0	0	0	9:24	0:00
M. Michkov	RW	1	0	0	-1	0	8:30	2:51
R. Ristolainen	D	1	0	2	0	0	22:36	4:25
T. Sanheim	D	0	0	1	0	0	22:18	1:29
C. York	D	2	0	0	-1	0	20:50	0:00
J. Drysdale	D	1	0	0	-3	0	18:45	1:35
N. Seeler	D	3	2	1	-1	0	18:21	0:00
A. Ginning	D	0	1	1	-1	0	12:48	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
I. Fedotov	28	25	3	.893	59:46	Loss
S. Ersson	0	0	0	–	0:00

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NYI B. Horvat	2.8	3	0.82	0	34%	0
NYI M. Barzal	2.5	4	0.89	0	24%	0
NYI A. Lee	2.5	0	0.68	0	30%	0
PHI T. Konecny	2.4	1	0.86	0	29%	0
NYI B. Nelson	2.4	3	0.83	0	34%	0
PHI M. Frost	1.9	2	0.54	0	18%	0
NYI K. Palmieri	1.8	4	0.64	1	26%	1
PHI T. Sanheim	1.8	0	0.44	0	9%	0
PHI S. Laughton	1.8	0	0.46	0	16%	0
NYI T. DeAngelo	1.8	2	0.58	0	12%	0
PHI J. Farabee	1.8	0	0.40	0	17%	0
PHI T. Foerster	1.8	3	0.46	0	22%	0
PHI M. Michkov	1.8	1	0.51	0	18%	0
PHI S. Couturier	1.7	1	0.38	0	13%	0
PHI N. Cates	1.7	1	0.48	0	18%	0
NYI A. Pelech	1.6	4	0.41	1	6%	0
PHI R. Ristolainen	1.5	1	0.28	0	4%	0
NYI A. Duclair	1.5	1	0.55	0	24%	0
PHI B. Brink	1.5	3	0.42	0	15%	0
NYI A. Romanov	1.4	1	0.39	0	7%	0
NYI J. Pageau	1.4	1	0.48	1	17%	0
PHI C. York	1.4	2	0.32	0	7%	0
PHI J. Drysdale	1.3	1	0.29	0	5%	0
PHI N. Seeler	1.2	3	0.21	0	4%	0
NYI M. Tsyplakov	1.2	0	0.40	1	15%	0
PHI G. Hathaway	1.2	1	0.26	0	12%	0
PHI A. Richard	1.2	2	0.40	0	15%	0
NYI C. Cizikas	1.1	0	0.28	1	12%	0
NYI S. Holmstrom	1.1	1	0.47	1	21%	1
NYI M. Gatcomb	0.9	2	0.15	1	8%	1
NYI S. Mayfield	0.9	0	0.23	0	5%	0
PHI A. Ginning	0.7	0	0.15	0	5%	0
NYI I. George	0.7	0	0.17	0	4%	0
NYI K. MacLean	0.7	1	0.15	1	8%	0
NYI S. Perunovich	0.5	1	0.34	1	3%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.