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Game Recap
NYI3
Final/OTFri, Nov 14, 2025Every game that night
UTA2

NYI beat UTA 3-2 in overtime, with the chances close: 3.21 expected goals to 3.27. UTA outshot NYI 30 to 21. D. Rittich stopped 28 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
NYI10113
UTA20002
  1. 1st 7:13NYIE. Heineman0.19 xG
  2. 1st 13:02UTAJ. Peterka0.08 xG
  3. 1st 18:35UTAD. GuentherPP0.14 xG
  4. 3rd 13:44NYIJ. Drouin0.57 xG
  5. OT 2:06NYIM. Schaefer0.19 xG

Team Stats

NYIUTA
21Shots on goal30
3.21Expected goals3.27
58Shot attempts56
95v5 shots on goal21
0/4Power play1/6
18Hits13
11Blocked shots20
22Penalty minutes6
18Giveaways13
4Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NYI 3.21 xGUTA 3.27 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTNYI goal, 7:13UTA goal, 13:02UTA goal, 18:35NYI goal, 13:44NYI goal, 2:06

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NYI21 on goal, 3 scored
UTA27 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NYI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. HorvatC011200+2020:533:31
M. BarzalC011210+1020:363:34
J. DrouinLW1010010020:073:32
E. HeinemanLW101130+1014:542:14
S. HolmstromRW0002110219:442:07
K. PalmieriC0003000017:533:34
J. PageauC0001210017:000:32
A. LeeLW0001100014:032:34
A. DuclairLW0000020011:260:23
C. RitchieC000101028:502:19
C. CizikasC000120007:260:07
M. TsyplakovRW000020005:430:00
M. SchaeferD101201+1225:493:31
A. RomanovD0111010022:410:18
T. DeAngeloD011210+21413:102:18
A. PelechD000232+1022:580:19
R. PulockD0000210019:420:32
A. BoqvistD000000-1212:370:05
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Rittich30282.93362:06Win
I. Sorokin000–0:00

UTA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. KellerRW0113010020:195:17
L. CrouseLW011011-1018:490:00
D. GuentherRW1013100017:235:34
J. PeterkaRW101301-2016:253:08
N. SchmaltzC0002110021:015:28
L. CooleyC0002020419:445:11
K. StenlundC0002200015:232:52
B. HaytonC000202-1014:113:03
J. McBainC0002300213:500:01
K. YamamotoRW0000100011:012:56
M. CarconeLW000200009:210:00
B. TanevLW000111007:330:00
M. SergachevD011307-1025:334:59
J. MarinoD0111120019:090:10
N. SchmidtD000200-1021:303:26
I. ColeD0002200021:170:00
D. SimashevD000000-1015:010:00
N. DeSimoneD0000020011:210:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Vejmelka21193.90561:33OT loss
V. Vanecek000–0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

NYI

Line 1J. Drouin15:39M. Barzal15:34S. Holmstrom13:21
Line 2B. Horvat10:39E. Heineman10:33K. Palmieri10:51
Line 3J. Pageau11:07A. Duclair11:03A. Lee11:15
Line 4C. Ritchie6:31M. Tsyplakov5:43C. Cizikas6:28
Pair 1R. Pulock13:30M. Schaefer15:37
Pair 2A. Pelech17:28T. DeAngelo10:38
Pair 3A. Boqvist12:32A. Romanov16:41

UTA

Line 1N. Schmaltz12:56L. Cooley13:34C. Keller12:54
Line 2L. Crouse12:18J. McBain12:43J. Peterka12:09
Line 3B. Hayton9:50D. Guenther9:42M. Carcone9:21
Line 4K. Stenlund8:01K. Yamamoto8:05B. Tanev7:33
Pair 1J. Marino15:38N. Schmidt14:07
Pair 2I. Cole16:31N. DeSimone10:48
Pair 3M. Sergachev15:14D. Simashev13:46

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamAnders Lee UTA First game against NYI since he left (his team until Apr 2026)1 SOG
  • Old teamVitek Vanecek NYI First game back in Salt Lake City, his team until May 20260 saves on 0

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

We projectedIt finished
ScoreNYI 2.8, UTA 3.5NYI 3, UTA 2
Total goals6.35
Shots on goalNYI 25.7, UTA 31.0NYI 21, UTA 30
Win chanceUTA 62%NYI won

Players

PlayerSOG projectedSOGPoints projectedPointsGoal chanceGoals
UTA D. Guenther3.030.84130%1
UTA C. Keller2.831.06133%0
NYI B. Horvat2.720.77132%0
UTA N. Schmaltz2.620.95029%0
NYI M. Schaefer2.520.57113%1
NYI M. Barzal2.420.86124%0
UTA L. Cooley2.320.92031%0
NYI K. Palmieri2.130.61025%0
UTA J. Peterka2.130.71125%1
NYI A. Lee2.110.48021%0
UTA M. Sergachev1.930.75113%0
UTA B. Hayton1.820.46018%0
UTA L. Crouse1.700.37120%0
UTA M. Carcone1.620.40019%0
NYI E. Heineman1.510.40120%1
NYI T. DeAngelo1.420.3618%0
UTA N. Schmidt1.420.3807%0
NYI J. Drouin1.300.66116%1
NYI A. Pelech1.220.2403%0
UTA J. McBain1.220.34014%0
NYI A. Romanov1.210.2115%0
UTA K. Stenlund1.220.31015%0
NYI R. Pulock1.200.3006%0
NYI S. Holmstrom1.220.48020%0
UTA N. DeSimone1.200.2906%0
NYI J. Pageau1.110.44015%0
UTA K. Yamamoto1.100.34015%0
UTA D. Simashev1.000.1303%0
NYI A. Duclair1.000.30016%0
UTA J. Marino1.010.3914%0
NYI M. Tsyplakov0.900.2408%0
NYI C. Ritchie0.910.17010%0
UTA B. Tanev0.810.20010%0
NYI A. Boqvist0.800.2306%0
UTA I. Cole0.820.2303%0
NYI C. Cizikas0.810.1607%0

Shots on goal: 26 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.