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Game Recap
OTT3
FinalThu, Jan 11, 2024Every game that night
BUF5

BUF beat OTT 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 2.76 expected goals to 1.23. T. Thompson led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 25 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
OTT1023
BUF3115
  1. 1st 9:14BUFJ. Peterka0.13 xG
  2. 1st 15:06OTTV. Tarasenko0.01 xG
  3. 1st 17:28BUFT. Thompson0.04 xG
  4. 1st 19:32BUFT. ThompsonPP0.05 xG
  5. 2nd 4:52BUFP. Krebs0.16 xG
  6. 3rd 0:43OTTC. Giroux0.14 xG
  7. 3rd 11:15OTTC. Giroux0.04 xG
  8. 3rd 19:57BUFD. CozensEN0.83 xG

Team Stats

OTTBUF
28Shots on goal32
1.23Expected goals2.76
67Shot attempts49
225v5 shots on goal28
0/4Power play1/3
27Hits28
14Blocked shots27
6Penalty minutes8
4Giveaways6
4Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

OTT 1.23 xGBUF 2.76 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdBUF goal, 9:14OTT goal, 15:06BUF goal, 17:28BUF goal, 19:32BUF goal, 4:52OTT goal, 0:43OTT goal, 11:15BUF goal, 19:57

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

OTT28 on goal, 3 scored
BUF31 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. GirouxRW202320-1022:164:34
R. GreigC011240+2018:053:34
V. TarasenkoRW101200+1014:153:30
T. StützleC000130-2025:034:21
B. TkachukLW000430-2022:184:18
D. BathersonRW000211-1021:014:04
P. KellyC0002610016:290:00
M. JosephRW000000-2215:130:17
D. KubalikLW0000010214:223:23
Z. MacEwenRW000000+106:150:00
M. KastelicC000140026:120:00
T. ChabotD0002010023:354:14
J. SandersonD0000100020:413:33
J. ChychrunD000517-1019:593:51
A. ZubD0001110016:550:00
E. BrannstromD000002-1014:560:10
T. HamonicD0001100012:000:00
J. Bernard-DockerD000200007:540:11
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Forsberg761.85715:56
J. Korpisalo24213.87542:11Loss

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. CozensC1122010018:021:41
T. ThompsonC2025100012:272:43
J. QuinnRW011312-2019:162:44
J. PeterkaRW101100-1014:061:43
E. RobinsonLW011530+1010:160:00
P. KrebsC101210+1010:020:00
J. GreenwayLW000131+1019:380:00
A. TuchRW0003020019:172:26
C. MittelstadtC000100+1015:562:43
Z. BensonLW0003000013:401:33
K. OkposoRW000101+1011:371:58
Z. GirgensonsC000132+1211:190:00
R. DahlinD0221620424:402:54
O. PowerD011012-1019:521:29
M. SamuelssonD000123+2025:180:06
C. CliftonD000143+1017:180:00
R. JohnsonD000106+1215:100:00
E. JohnsonD000032-1014:060:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen28253.89360:00Win
D. Levi000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamDylan Cozens OTT Faces BUF, his team until Mar 20251 G, 1 A, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.