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Game Recap
PHI0
COL2
COL beat PHI 2-0, and the chances backed it up: 2.98 expected goals to 1.87. COL outshot PHI 32 to 24. J. Drouin led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). M. Blackwood stopped 24 of 24.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| COL | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
- 2nd 8:33COLS. Girard0.21 xG
- 2nd 17:28COLN. MacKinnonPP0.06 xG
Team Stats
PHICOL
24Shots on goal32
1.87Expected goals2.98
46Shot attempts61
215v5 shots on goal29
0/1Power play1/2
22Hits15
18Blocked shots12
4Penalty minutes2
14Giveaways11
3Takeaways2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
PHI 1.87 xGCOL 2.98 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
PHI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Konecny | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:16 | 2:00 |
| T. Foerster | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:33 | 1:10 |
| N. Cates | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:31 | 1:10 |
| S. Couturier | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:45 | 0:00 |
| M. Michkov | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:49 | 2:00 |
| B. Brink | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:33 | 0:50 |
| A. Richard | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 | 1:10 |
| S. Laughton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 15:44 | 0:50 |
| R. Abols | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:32 | 0:00 |
| G. Hathaway | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:04 | 0:00 |
| J. Gaucher | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:08 | 0:00 |
| J. Drysdale | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:54 | 1:10 |
| T. Sanheim | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 20:53 | 0:00 |
| E. Andrae | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:01 | 0:50 |
| C. York | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17:34 | 0:00 |
| N. Seeler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 | 0:00 |
| R. Ristolainen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:06 | 0:00 |
| E. Johnson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ersson | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 55:29 | Loss |
| I. Fedotov | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
COL Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Drouin | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:11 | 3:39 |
| N. MacKinnon | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:27 | 3:39 |
| C. Mittelstadt | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:51 | 0:00 |
| M. Necas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:51 | 3:39 |
| A. Lehkonen | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:23 | 3:02 |
| L. O'Connor | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 | 0:00 |
| J. Kiviranta | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:34 | 0:00 |
| J. Drury | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 | 0:00 |
| P. Kelly | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:36 | 0:00 |
| R. Colton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 | 0:37 |
| M. Wood | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:18 | 0:00 |
| J. Parssinen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:22 | 0:00 |
| C. Makar | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26:51 | 3:39 |
| S. Girard | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:22 | 0:00 |
| D. Toews | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25:40 | 0:00 |
| J. Manson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 | 0:00 |
| K. Middleton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0:00 |
| S. Malinski | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:21 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Blackwood | 24 | 24 | 0 | 1.000 | 59:40 | Win |
| T. Miner | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | PHI 2.5, COL 3.3 | PHI 0, COL 2 |
| Total goals | 5.7 | 2 |
| Shots on goal | PHI 25.8, COL 28.0 | PHI 24, COL 32 |
| Win chance | COL 63% | COL won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL N. MacKinnon | 3.9 | 4 | 1.53 | 1 | 40% | 1 |
| COL M. Necas | 2.6 | 4 | 0.99 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| COL C. Makar | 2.6 | 2 | 1.20 | 1 | 28% | 0 |
| PHI T. Konecny | 2.4 | 1 | 0.90 | 0 | 30% | 0 |
| COL A. Lehkonen | 2.0 | 1 | 0.78 | 0 | 32% | 0 |
| COL D. Toews | 1.9 | 3 | 0.69 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| PHI T. Foerster | 1.8 | 2 | 0.46 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| PHI S. Laughton | 1.7 | 4 | 0.47 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| COL M. Wood | 1.7 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| COL R. Colton | 1.7 | 2 | 0.48 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| PHI S. Couturier | 1.6 | 1 | 0.38 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| PHI N. Cates | 1.6 | 4 | 0.47 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| COL J. Drouin | 1.6 | 1 | 0.84 | 2 | 21% | 0 |
| PHI M. Michkov | 1.6 | 0 | 0.47 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| PHI T. Sanheim | 1.5 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| COL J. Drury | 1.5 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| PHI B. Brink | 1.5 | 0 | 0.44 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| COL J. Manson | 1.4 | 3 | 0.41 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| PHI R. Ristolainen | 1.3 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| COL S. Girard | 1.3 | 3 | 0.43 | 1 | 7% | 1 |
| COL L. O'Connor | 1.2 | 1 | 0.35 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| PHI C. York | 1.2 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| PHI G. Hathaway | 1.2 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| PHI R. Abols | 1.2 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| PHI A. Richard | 1.2 | 1 | 0.40 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| COL C. Mittelstadt | 1.2 | 2 | 0.58 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| COL S. Malinski | 1.1 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| PHI N. Seeler | 1.1 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| COL P. Kelly | 1.1 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| PHI J. Drysdale | 1.1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| COL K. Middleton | 1.1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| COL J. Kiviranta | 1.0 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| PHI E. Andrae | 1.0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| PHI E. Johnson | 0.8 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| COL J. Parssinen | 0.7 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 17 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.