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Game Recap
PIT4
Final/OTFri, Dec 9, 2022Every game that night
BUF3

PIT beat BUF 4-3 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.73 expected goals to 2.93. C. Mittelstadt led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). T. Jarry stopped 28 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
PIT01214
BUF02103
  1. 2nd 15:36PITJ. GuentzelPP0.12 xG
  2. 2nd 18:08BUFV. Olofsson0.25 xG
  3. 2nd 19:15BUFJ. Skinner0.14 xG
  4. 3rd 2:53PITR. Rakell0.38 xG
  5. 3rd 16:30PITB. McGinn0.02 xG
  6. 3rd 18:30BUFK. OkposoPP0.13 xG
  7. OT 1:36PITJ. CarterPP0.13 xG

Team Stats

PITBUF
33Shots on goal31
3.73Expected goals2.93
56Shot attempts47
215v5 shots on goal28
2/5Power play1/4
19Hits13
11Blocked shots13
10Penalty minutes25
5Giveaways4
11Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

PIT 3.73 xGBUF 2.93 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTPIT goal, 15:36BUF goal, 18:08BUF goal, 19:15PIT goal, 2:53PIT goal, 16:30BUF goal, 18:30PIT goal, 1:36

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

PIT33 on goal, 4 scored
BUF30 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

PIT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
R. RakellRW112220-1023:447:20
E. MalkinC0225010218:527:06
J. GuentzelC101400-1220:175:28
B. McGinnLW1011000015:290:00
J. CarterC1013110013:322:26
K. KapanenRW011120+1012:491:42
D. HeinenLW011101+107:360:00
S. CrosbyC0002100221:386:34
B. RustRW0001000014:532:06
J. ZuckerLW0001000214:421:52
T. BluegerC0001200012:510:00
J. ArchibaldRW000021008:130:00
J. PetryD0112200026:326:28
J. RuttaD011311+1021:140:00
B. DumoulinD0000150023:020:00
M. PetterssonD0000310020:460:00
P. JosephD0005200214:042:52
C. RuhwedelD000100-108:470:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
T. Jarry31283.90361:27Win
C. DeSmith000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC033100+2210:312:20
T. ThompsonC0113000023:034:38
J. SkinnerLW10121001719:495:08
J. QuinnRW011000-1016:332:18
K. OkposoRW1012400013:370:07
T. JostC011000+1211:340:00
V. OlofssonLW101300+1011:032:35
A. TuchRW000411-1020:515:01
D. CozensC000200-1016:314:47
J. PeterkaRW000300-1014:592:34
Z. GirgensonsC0002210013:100:00
P. KrebsC000012009:460:00
R. DahlinD000300+2026:264:58
M. SamuelssonD000234+1026:040:00
O. PowerD000202-1024:132:26
H. JokiharjuD000211-2223:590:10
J. BrysonD000001028:200:05
C. FitzgeraldD000001006:480:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson33294.87961:29OT loss
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamJason Zucker BUF Faces PIT, his team until Apr 20231 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.