Game Recap: PIT 6, EDM 2, January 22, 2026

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Game Recap

PIT6

FinalThu, Jan 22, 2026Every game that night

EDM2

PIT beat EDM 6-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.61 expected goals to 2.47. EDM outshot PIT 32 to 23. A. Mantha led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Silovs stopped 30 of 32.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
PIT	3	2	1	6
EDM	0	1	1	2

1st 2:20PITA. Mantha0.11 xG
1st 2:42PITA. Mantha0.21 xG
1st 2:57PITS. Crosby0.04 xG
2nd 5:19EDMJ. WalmanSH0.08 xG
2nd 12:29PITR. Rakell0.14 xG
2nd 14:27PITE. Malkin0.11 xG
3rd 2:50PITE. Chinakhov0.08 xG
3rd 13:57EDMM. Savoie0.04 xG

Team Stats

PITEDM

23Shots on goal32

3.61Expected goals2.47

50Shot attempts57

175v5 shots on goal27

0/2Power play0/2

13Hits20

10Blocked shots9

4Penalty minutes4

17Giveaways15

4Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

PIT 3.61 xGEDM 2.47 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

PIT23 on goal, 6 scored

EDM32 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

PIT Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
E. Malkin	C	1	1	2	2	0	0	+3	0	19:02	2:14
A. Mantha	RW	2	0	2	3	0	0	+1	0	13:43	0:19
J. Brazeau	RW	0	2	2	1	0	0	+1	0	13:07	0:17
S. Crosby	C	1	0	1	2	0	0	+2	2	17:03	2:12
R. Rakell	RW	1	0	1	3	2	0	+1	0	16:13	2:11
B. Rust	RW	0	1	1	2	0	1	+1	0	16:01	2:10
T. Novak	C	0	1	1	2	0	0	+2	0	13:58	0:00
E. Chinakhov	RW	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	12:04	0:20
C. Dewar	C	0	0	0	2	3	1	+1	0	15:17	0:00
B. Kindel	C	0	0	0	0	0	2	+1	2	14:31	0:21
N. Acciari	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	14:07	0:00
B. Lizotte	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	13:48	0:00
J. St. Ivany	D	0	2	2	0	2	2	+2	0	18:59	0:00
B. Kulak	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	+2	0	21:15	0:00
C. Clifton	D	0	1	1	1	2	0	+2	0	19:56	0:00
R. Shea	D	0	1	1	1	0	2	+2	0	18:19	0:22
E. Karlsson	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	19:58	2:09
P. Wotherspoon	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	19:13	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Silovs	32	30	2	.938	59:26	Win
S. Skinner	0	0	0	–	0:00

EDM Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Savoie	C	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	13:11	0:00
M. Janmark	C	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	11:40	0:00
C. McDavid	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-2	2	20:56	2:31
L. Draisaitl	C	0	0	0	4	2	0	-1	0	19:17	2:31
R. Nugent-Hopkins	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-2	0	18:35	2:17
Z. Hyman	LW	0	0	0	4	0	0	-2	0	18:27	2:25
J. Roslovic	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	-2	0	16:22	0:00
V. Podkolzin	RW	0	0	0	2	2	0	-1	0	14:25	0:00
I. Howard	LW	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	13:46	0:00
T. Frederic	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	11:19	0:00
A. Mangiapane	LW	0	0	0	1	4	0	-1	0	10:53	0:00
C. Lazar	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	9:39	0:00
E. Bouchard	D	0	1	1	4	0	1	-3	0	24:48	2:31
M. Ekholm	D	0	1	1	3	0	0	-2	0	20:07	0:14
J. Walman	D	1	0	1	3	0	0	-1	0	17:20	0:00
D. Nurse	D	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	21:13	0:00
T. Emberson	D	0	0	0	0	6	1	-1	0	19:11	0:00
S. Stastney	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	-1	2	14:51	0:06

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
T. Jarry	23	17	6	.739	60:00	Loss
C. Ingram	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

PIT

Line 1S. Crosby14:17R. Rakell13:34B. Rust11:41

Line 2C. Dewar13:44B. Lizotte13:05N. Acciari12:37

Line 3A. Mantha13:24B. Kindel13:31J. Brazeau12:50

Line 4E. Malkin15:30T. Novak12:37E. Chinakhov11:44

Pair 1B. Kulak18:50C. Clifton19:05

Pair 2J. Ivany15:58R. Shea15:32

Pair 3E. Karlsson17:23P. Wotherspoon19:13

EDM

Line 1Z. Hyman16:02C. McDavid17:09R. Nugent-Hopkins14:35

Line 2L. Draisaitl16:01V. Podkolzin12:29A. Mangiapane10:53

Line 3I. Howard13:12M. Savoie12:17J. Roslovic15:03

Line 4M. Janmark10:52C. Lazar9:12T. Frederic11:19

Pair 1M. Ekholm18:04E. Bouchard20:29

Pair 2T. Emberson18:28D. Nurse19:44

Pair 3J. Walman15:19S. Stastney13:27

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamTristan Jarry EDM Faces PIT, his team until Dec 202517 saves on 23

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	PIT 3.0, EDM 3.6	PIT 6, EDM 2
Total goals	6.5	8
Shots on goal	PIT 26.8, EDM 29.7	PIT 23, EDM 32
Win chance	EDM 60%	PIT won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
EDM C. McDavid	3.6	1	1.69	0	41%	0
EDM Z. Hyman	3.2	4	0.93	0	42%	0
EDM L. Draisaitl	3.0	4	1.50	0	47%	0
EDM E. Bouchard	2.7	4	1.01	1	19%	0
PIT R. Rakell	2.6	3	0.68	1	26%	1
PIT B. Rust	2.5	2	0.72	1	28%	0
PIT S. Crosby	2.3	2	0.93	1	31%	1
PIT E. Malkin	2.0	2	0.71	2	22%	1
EDM R. Nugent-Hopkins	2.0	0	0.90	0	26%	0
EDM D. Nurse	2.0	2	0.38	0	10%	0
EDM J. Roslovic	1.9	0	0.54	0	22%	0
PIT E. Karlsson	1.8	0	0.60	0	12%	0
EDM J. Walman	1.8	3	0.48	1	12%	1
EDM M. Ekholm	1.7	3	0.49	1	10%	0
PIT B. Kindel	1.7	0	0.33	0	13%	0
PIT E. Chinakhov	1.7	1	0.36	1	16%	1
PIT A. Mantha	1.5	3	0.45	2	18%	2
EDM V. Podkolzin	1.4	2	0.42	0	17%	0
PIT T. Novak	1.4	2	0.41	1	16%	0
PIT J. Brazeau	1.4	1	0.36	2	17%	0
EDM M. Savoie	1.4	1	0.33	1	15%	1
PIT C. Dewar	1.3	2	0.28	0	12%	0
EDM I. Howard	1.3	3	0.28	0	12%	0
PIT B. Kulak	1.2	1	0.22	1	6%	0
PIT N. Acciari	1.0	1	0.19	0	9%	0
EDM T. Frederic	1.0	1	0.21	0	12%	0
PIT B. Lizotte	0.9	1	0.29	0	12%	0
EDM S. Stastney	0.9	2	0.18	0	4%	0
EDM A. Mangiapane	0.9	1	0.28	0	14%	0
PIT P. Wotherspoon	0.8	0	0.20	0	3%	0
EDM T. Emberson	0.8	0	0.23	0	4%	0
PIT C. Clifton	0.8	1	0.18	1	4%	0
PIT J. Ivany	0.7	0	0.15	2	2%	0
EDM M. Janmark	0.7	0	0.23	1	9%	0
PIT R. Shea	0.7	1	0.21	1	4%	0
EDM C. Lazar	0.6	1	0.17	0	8%	0

Shots on goal: 25 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.