Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
PIT4
Final/OTWed, Jan 18, 2023Every game that night
OTT5

OTT beat PIT 5-4 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.80 expected goals to 2.60. OTT outshot PIT 40 to 19. B. Tkachuk led the way with 4 points (1 G, 3 A). C. Talbot stopped 15 of 19.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
PIT21104
OTT21115
  1. 1st 6:36PITJ. Zucker0.35 xG
  2. 1st 7:44OTTA. DeBrincatPP0.10 xG
  3. 1st 9:44OTTT. StützlePP0.13 xG
  4. 1st 15:23PITE. MalkinPP0.14 xG
  5. 2nd 3:07PITM. Friedman0.03 xG
  6. 2nd 9:19OTTD. BathersonPP0.31 xG
  7. 3rd 10:58OTTS. PintoPP0.15 xG
  8. 3rd 12:33PITR. RakellPP0.17 xG
  9. OT 0:25OTTB. Tkachuk0.11 xG

Team Stats

PITOTT
19Shots on goal40
2.60Expected goals4.80
41Shot attempts68
95v5 shots on goal25
2/5Power play4/9
34Hits23
9Blocked shots8
18Penalty minutes8
10Giveaways17
4Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

PIT 2.60 xGOTT 4.80 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTPIT goal, 6:36OTT goal, 7:44OTT goal, 9:44PIT goal, 15:23PIT goal, 3:07OTT goal, 9:19OTT goal, 10:58PIT goal, 12:33OTT goal, 0:25

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

PIT19 on goal, 4 scored
OTT40 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

PIT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. CrosbyC0330010019:405:19
E. MalkinC123410+1218:125:21
R. RakellRW101210+1016:344:03
J. ZuckerLW101160+1214:581:39
J. GuentzelC0001100018:055:15
B. RustRW000110+1417:122:51
J. CarterC0000110416:421:25
T. BluegerC0001200014:560:08
B. McGinnLW0000100011:280:00
K. KapanenRW0003200210:161:26
D. O'ConnorLW0000100010:030:00
J. GrudenLW000020003:200:00
M. PetterssonD022242+1021:440:09
M. FriedmanD101213+1217:310:00
T. SmithD0111200016:515:15
B. DumoulinD0000110024:130:00
C. RuhwedelD0001610021:270:00
P. JosephD000010+1212:161:39
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. DeSmith40355.87560:25OT loss
D. Tokarski000–0:00

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. TkachukLW1344400022:3210:14
T. StützleC1124200026:299:34
D. BathersonRW112330-1020:029:08
C. GirouxRW0111100023:277:15
A. DeBrincatRW1014100022:348:11
S. PintoC1014000012:545:48
J. NorrisC0002010219:145:49
D. BrassardC0000200011:555:26
D. GambrellC000100028:550:00
P. KellyC000130-108:390:02
A. WatsonLW000100-126:260:00
M. KastelicC000020-105:360:04
T. ChabotD0334100026:209:50
J. SandersonD000311-1023:245:40
T. HamonicD000414-1018:340:00
J. Bernard-DockerD000210-1214:360:05
N. HoldenD0001000011:320:00
E. BrannstromD0001120010:350:04
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Talbot19154.78959:34Win
A. Forsberg000–0:00