Game Recap: SEA 0, OTT 3, November 2, 2024

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

SEA0

FinalSat, Nov 2, 2024Every game that night

OTT3

OTT beat SEA 3-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.62 expected goals to 2.17. T. Stützle led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Forsberg stopped 22 of 22.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SEA	0	0	0	0
OTT	1	1	1	3

1st 5:28OTTA. Gaudette0.43 xG
2nd 11:11OTTB. Tkachuk0.05 xG
3rd 17:46OTTT. StützleEN0.69 xG

Team Stats

SEAOTT

22Shots on goal23

2.17Expected goals3.62

55Shot attempts53

165v5 shots on goal15

0/4Power play0/3

14Hits25

15Blocked shots14

4Penalty minutes8

16Giveaways11

5Takeaways2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

SEA 2.17 xGOTT 3.62 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

SEA22 on goal, 0 scored

OTT22 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

SEA Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Stephenson	C	1	1	0	0	0	19:50	2:52
M. Beniers	C	2	1	1	-2	0	18:51	3:07
J. McCann	LW	3	0	0	-1	0	18:28	3:04
J. Eberle	RW	1	0	0	-2	0	17:17	3:00
J. Schwartz	LW	0	1	0	-1	0	16:13	2:49
Y. Gourde	C	2	1	0	-1	2	15:23	0:27
B. Tanev	LW	1	3	1	-1	0	14:09	0:14
A. Burakovsky	LW	1	0	1	-1	0	14:03	0:18
O. Bjorkstrand	RW	2	0	0	0	0	13:40	2:49
E. Tolvanen	RW	0	2	0	-1	0	12:26	2:59
T. Kartye	LW	1	2	1	0	2	11:27	0:05
S. Wright	C	0	1	0	-1	0	11:26	2:38
R. Evans	D	0	0	2	-1	0	22:53	2:59
B. Montour	D	4	2	2	0	0	22:39	3:04
J. Oleksiak	D	1	0	2	-1	0	18:43	0:00
A. Larsson	D	3	0	5	-1	0	18:34	0:20
W. Borgen	D	0	0	0	-1	0	16:29	0:18
J. Mahura	D	0	0	0	-1	0	13:31	0:10

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
P. Grubauer	22	20	2	.909	58:06	Loss
J. Daccord	0	0	0	–	0:00

OTT Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Stützle	C	1	1	2	2	2	0	+2	0	18:29	2:21
B. Tkachuk	LW	1	0	1	2	7	0	+2	0	16:27	2:00
M. Amadio	RW	0	1	1	1	1	0	+1	2	16:22	1:34
A. Gaudette	RW	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	2	11:40	1:42
Z. MacEwen	RW	0	1	1	1	5	0	+1	0	9:29	0:00
N. Cousins	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	8:30	0:00
C. Giroux	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	20:05	2:15
J. Norris	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	19:41	2:06
D. Batherson	RW	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	2	18:16	2:24
N. Gregor	LW	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	13:55	0:00
R. Greig	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	+1	0	12:47	1:43
Z. Ostapchuk	C	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	10:07	0:00
J. Bernard-Docker	D	0	1	1	1	1	2	+1	0	14:45	0:07
J. Sanderson	D	0	0	0	3	1	1	+1	0	23:59	2:32
T. Chabot	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	+1	0	22:20	2:05
N. Jensen	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1	0	21:32	0:07
T. Hamonic	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	+1	0	18:36	0:00
T. Kleven	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1	0	15:32	0:09

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Forsberg	22	22	0	1.000	59:28	Win
L. Ullmark	0	0	0	–	0:00

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamAndre Burakovsky OTT Faces SEA, his team until Apr 20251 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	SEA 3.2, OTT 3.1	SEA 0, OTT 3
Total goals	6.3	3
Shots on goal	SEA 27.2, OTT 30.5	SEA 22, OTT 23
Win chance	SEA 50%	OTT won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
OTT B. Tkachuk	3.9	2	0.88	1	32%	1
SEA J. McCann	2.6	3	0.85	0	33%	0
OTT D. Batherson	2.3	3	0.77	0	26%	0
SEA B. Montour	2.2	4	0.67	0	17%	0
OTT T. Stützle	2.2	2	0.89	2	27%	1
OTT C. Giroux	2.1	2	0.79	0	26%	0
OTT J. Norris	2.1	1	0.65	0	30%	0
OTT T. Chabot	2.1	1	0.50	0	11%	0
SEA J. Eberle	2.0	1	0.63	0	23%	0
SEA O. Bjorkstrand	2.0	2	0.57	0	21%	0
OTT J. Sanderson	1.8	3	0.45	0	9%	0
OTT N. Gregor	1.8	0	0.26	0	13%	0
SEA J. Schwartz	1.8	0	0.52	0	21%	0
SEA M. Beniers	1.7	2	0.57	0	22%	0
SEA A. Burakovsky	1.6	1	0.52	0	18%	0
OTT M. Amadio	1.6	1	0.40	1	20%	0
SEA E. Tolvanen	1.5	0	0.44	0	19%	0
SEA Y. Gourde	1.5	2	0.45	0	16%	0
OTT A. Gaudette	1.4	2	0.26	1	12%	1
OTT T. Hamonic	1.4	1	0.18	0	6%	0
SEA A. Larsson	1.3	3	0.30	0	8%	0
SEA B. Tanev	1.3	1	0.34	0	16%	0
OTT R. Greig	1.3	2	0.35	0	16%	0
SEA R. Evans	1.3	0	0.42	0	9%	0
SEA C. Stephenson	1.3	1	0.76	0	22%	0
OTT N. Cousins	1.3	1	0.24	1	10%	0
SEA J. Oleksiak	1.3	1	0.29	0	6%	0
SEA T. Kartye	1.2	1	0.25	0	14%	0
SEA S. Wright	1.1	0	0.37	0	18%	0
OTT T. Kleven	1.1	0	0.16	0	3%	0
OTT N. Jensen	1.1	0	0.26	0	4%	0
SEA W. Borgen	1.0	0	0.29	0	5%	0
OTT Z. Ostapchuk	0.8	0	0.21	0	10%	0
OTT Z. MacEwen	0.8	1	0.13	1	6%	0
SEA J. Mahura	0.8	0	0.23	0	4%	0
OTT J. Bernard-Docker	0.7	1	0.14	1	3%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.