Game Recap: SJS 1, ANA 6, April 9, 2026

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Game Recap

SJS1

FinalThu, Apr 9, 2026Every game that night

ANA6

ANA beat SJS 6-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.21 expected goals to 1.03. ANA outshot SJS 30 to 19. J. Carlson scored three for ANA. T. Terry had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.8. L. Dostal stopped 18 of 19.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SJS	0	0	1	1
ANA	2	1	3	6

1st 2:59ANAL. Carlsson0.21 xG
1st 6:20ANAJ. Carlson0.05 xG
2nd 5:15ANAA. Killorn0.48 xG
3rd 10:31ANAJ. CarlsonPP0.06 xG
3rd 12:40SJSS. Mukhamadullin0.08 xG
3rd 14:03ANAJ. CarlsonPP0.11 xG
3rd 17:32ANAF. Vatrano0.16 xG

Team Stats

SJSANA

19Shots on goal30

1.03Expected goals3.21

52Shot attempts51

195v5 shots on goal26

0/0Power play2/3

33Hits19

9Blocked shots22

8Penalty minutes2

20Giveaways14

4Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

SJS 1.03 xGANA 3.21 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

SJS17 on goal, 1 scored

ANA30 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

SJS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Toffoli	C	0	1	1	2	0	0	-1	0	12:11	0:00
M. Celebrini	C	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	22:14	0:00
C. Graf	RW	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	2	19:29	0:00
K. Sherwood	LW	0	0	0	1	12	0	-1	2	18:39	0:00
W. Smith	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	16:58	0:00
W. Eklund	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	16:23	0:00
A. Wennberg	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	15:40	0:00
M. Misa	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	12:44	0:00
T. Dellandrea	C	0	0	0	0	4	0	-1	0	12:07	0:00
P. Regenda	LW	0	0	0	0	4	0	-2	0	11:32	0:00
B. Goodrow	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	10:17	0:00
Z. Ostapchuk	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	8:21	0:00
S. Mukhamadullin	D	1	0	1	2	1	2	+1	0	20:32	0:00
M. Ferraro	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	23:33	0:00
D. Orlov	D	0	0	0	4	0	1	+1	0	22:24	0:00
V. Desharnais	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	20:42	0:00
N. Leddy	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-3	0	17:51	0:00
S. Dickinson	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-4	2	15:11	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
Y. Askarov	30	24	6	.800	60:00	Loss
A. Nedeljkovic	0	0	0	–	0:00

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Terry	RW	0	2	2	6	0	2	0	0	18:15	2:08
B. Sennecke	RW	0	2	2	2	2	0	+2	2	16:08	2:08
M. Granlund	C	0	2	2	0	1	2	+2	0	15:38	2:08
L. Carlsson	C	1	0	1	4	2	1	0	0	15:44	2:08
C. Kreider	LW	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	14:49	0:49
A. Killorn	LW	1	0	1	2	5	0	+2	0	14:22	0:49
M. McTavish	C	0	1	1	3	1	2	+1	0	12:28	0:49
F. Vatrano	RW	1	0	1	1	3	0	+1	0	12:15	0:00
R. Poehling	C	0	0	0	2	1	3	+1	0	17:49	0:37
T. Washe	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	17:45	0:00
J. Viel	LW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	12:43	0:00
J. Carlson	D	3	0	3	3	0	1	+2	0	20:16	2:08
P. Mintyukov	D	0	2	2	2	1	0	+2	0	18:15	0:00
J. LaCombe	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	22:59	0:49
J. Trouba	D	0	0	0	2	1	8	+1	0	22:26	0:12
D. Helleson	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	16:54	0:00
T. Hinds	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16:44	0:00
I. Moore	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	14:30	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Dostal	19	18	1	.947	60:00	Win
V. Husso	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

SJS

Line 1M. Celebrini22:14C. Graf19:11W. Smith16:58

Line 2A. Wennberg14:48K. Sherwood17:43W. Eklund15:46

Line 3T. Toffoli12:11M. Misa12:44P. Regenda11:32

Line 4B. Goodrow9:14Z. Ostapchuk7:19T. Dellandrea11:16

Pair 1D. Orlov22:11V. Desharnais19:45

Pair 2M. Ferraro20:49S. Mukhamadullin18:59

Pair 3N. Leddy17:24S. Dickinson15:11

ANA

Line 1R. Poehling17:12T. Washe17:45T. Terry16:07

Line 2C. Kreider14:00L. Carlsson13:36

Line 3A. Killorn13:33B. Sennecke14:00M. Granlund13:30

Line 4F. Vatrano12:15J. Viel12:43M. McTavish11:39

Pair 1J. Trouba22:14J. LaCombe22:10

Pair 2J. Carlson18:08P. Mintyukov18:15

Pair 3T. Hinds16:44D. Helleson16:54

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamJacob Trouba SJS First game back in Anaheim, his team until May 20262 SOG
Old teamMikael Granlund ANA Faces SJS, his team until Jan 20252 A, 0 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	SJS 2.9, ANA 3.9	SJS 1, ANA 6
Total goals	6.8	7
Shots on goal	SJS 25.6, ANA 32.3	SJS 19, ANA 30
Win chance	ANA 64%	ANA won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
SJS M. Celebrini	3.4	2	1.24	0	36%	0
ANA T. Terry	2.8	6	1.04	2	32%	0
ANA L. Carlsson	2.7	4	1.02	1	33%	1
ANA B. Sennecke	2.7	2	0.85	2	28%	0
SJS W. Smith	2.3	0	0.85	0	27%	0
ANA M. Granlund	2.3	0	0.95	2	28%	0
ANA J. Carlson	2.3	3	0.91	3	16%	3
ANA C. Kreider	2.1	3	0.81	1	37%	0
SJS T. Toffoli	2.0	2	0.61	1	24%	0
SJS K. Sherwood	2.0	1	0.46	0	22%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.9	2	0.60	1	26%	1
ANA J. Trouba	1.9	2	0.42	0	9%	0
SJS W. Eklund	1.8	1	0.55	0	16%	0
ANA M. McTavish	1.7	3	0.56	1	21%	0
ANA J. LaCombe	1.6	0	0.73	0	13%	0
ANA F. Vatrano	1.6	1	0.38	1	19%	1
SJS P. Regenda	1.6	0	0.31	0	18%	0
SJS C. Graf	1.5	0	0.51	0	19%	0
ANA R. Poehling	1.5	2	0.60	0	20%	0
ANA J. Viel	1.4	0	0.25	0	11%	0
SJS D. Orlov	1.3	4	0.55	0	10%	0
SJS A. Wennberg	1.2	2	0.62	0	17%	0
ANA P. Mintyukov	1.2	2	0.38	2	10%	0
ANA T. Washe	1.1	0	0.23	0	12%	0
SJS M. Misa	1.1	0	0.40	0	15%	0
SJS S. Dickinson	1.1	1	0.25	0	4%	0
SJS M. Ferraro	1.1	1	0.28	0	6%	0
SJS S. Mukhamadullin	0.9	2	0.25	1	6%	1
ANA I. Moore	0.9	0	0.20	0	6%	0
SJS T. Dellandrea	0.9	0	0.19	0	7%	0
SJS B. Goodrow	0.7	2	0.16	0	8%	0
SJS V. Desharnais	0.7	1	0.16	0	2%	0
ANA D. Helleson	0.7	0	0.26	0	6%	0
SJS Z. Ostapchuk	0.7	0	0.11	0	7%	0
SJS N. Leddy	0.7	0	0.27	0	4%	0

Shots on goal: 19 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.