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Game Recap
TBL1
FinalTue, Nov 28, 2023Every game that night
ARI3

ARI beat TBL 3-1 despite fewer good chances: 2.93 expected goals to 4.24. M. Carcone led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). C. Ingram stopped 30 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL0101
ARI1113
  1. 1st 3:21ARIM. Carcone0.02 xG
  2. 2nd 5:42ARIT. Boyd0.05 xG
  3. 2nd 15:22TBLB. Point0.12 xG
  4. 3rd 7:22ARIM. Carcone0.21 xG

Team Stats

TBLARI
31Shots on goal27
4.24Expected goals2.93
76Shot attempts45
255v5 shots on goal22
0/2Power play0/2
22Hits18
9Blocked shots24
9Penalty minutes9
8Giveaways11
6Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 4.24 xGARI 2.93 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdARI goal, 3:21ARI goal, 5:42TBL goal, 15:22ARI goal, 7:22

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL30 on goal, 1 scored
ARI27 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW0115100222:503:37
B. PointC101200+1019:483:36
B. HagelLW011420+1019:320:23
S. StamkosC000210-1220:173:37
A. CirelliC000120-1018:560:25
N. PaulLW000300-2016:543:33
M. EyssimontC000210-2013:380:00
A. Barré-BouletC0004100013:260:23
T. JeannotLW000160-2511:310:24
T. MotteC0000300010:090:00
L. GlendeningC000010009:100:00
C. KoepkeLW000030007:000:00
V. HedmanD0001000024:373:10
M. SergachevD000311-1023:330:50
E. CernakD000202-1020:330:02
N. PerbixD0000020017:110:00
D. RaddyshD000102-1015:430:00
H. FleuryD000002-1013:230:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Johansson27243.88959:09Loss
A. Vasilevskiy000–0:00

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. KerfootC022100+2019:060:58
M. CarconeLW202211+2014:240:00
J. ZuckerLW011211+2016:011:02
T. BoydC101100+106:410:00
L. CooleyC000401-1019:221:27
N. SchmaltzC000101-1019:031:27
C. KellerRW0005010018:001:27
N. BjugstadC0001000016:311:13
M. MaccelliLW0003010016:151:13
L. CrouseLW0001200016:141:13
L. O'BrienC000031+128:580:00
M. KelemenLW000130007:020:00
J. BrownD0111020515:500:00
M. KesselringD011112+1014:230:00
S. DurziD000220+1024:322:07
J. MoserD000124+1023:491:13
T. StecherD0000150020:410:00
M. DumbaD000024+1219:080:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Ingram31301.96860:00Win
K. Vejmelka000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamJ.J. Moser TBL First game back in ARI, his team until Apr 20241 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.