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Game Recap
TBL3
FinalSat, Mar 4, 2023Every game that night
BUF5

BUF beat TBL 5-3, with the chances close: 3.58 expected goals to 2.98. A. Killorn led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). E. Comrie stopped 33 of 36.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL1023
BUF1315
  1. 1st 13:28TBLB. PointPP0.14 xG
  2. 1st 16:15BUFT. ThompsonPP0.04 xG
  3. 2nd 5:35BUFV. Hinostroza0.15 xG
  4. 2nd 12:30BUFT. Jost0.20 xG
  5. 2nd 19:46BUFJ. Quinn0.11 xG
  6. 3rd 0:53BUFJ. SkinnerPP0.08 xG
  7. 3rd 2:55TBLA. Killorn0.10 xG
  8. 3rd 13:18TBLA. KillornSH0.22 xG

Team Stats

TBLBUF
36Shots on goal34
2.98Expected goals3.58
62Shot attempts56
225v5 shots on goal27
1/5Power play2/5
28Hits17
12Blocked shots13
17Penalty minutes17
13Giveaways10
6Takeaways10

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 2.98 xGBUF 3.58 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdTBL goal, 13:28BUF goal, 16:15BUF goal, 5:35BUF goal, 12:30BUF goal, 19:46BUF goal, 0:53TBL goal, 2:55TBL goal, 13:18

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL36 on goal, 3 scored
BUF33 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. KillornLW202210+1018:183:36
N. KucherovRW011200-1016:385:39
N. PaulLW011350+1215:591:06
B. PointC101700-2014:345:38
S. StamkosC011110-3013:285:00
T. JeannotLW011131+1512:520:00
B. HagelLW000020+1018:251:42
A. CirelliC000011-1215:451:23
R. ColtonC0004310015:081:01
P. MaroonLW0000210214:280:00
C. PerryRW000100-1213:231:40
M. EyssimontC0001400212:200:00
V. HedmanD0112120019:501:07
N. PerbixD011110-1017:200:06
M. SergachevD000211-1224:325:38
I. ColeD000502+1022:520:00
Z. BogosianD0003320016:410:04
D. RaddyshD0001010012:200:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
B. Elliott34295.85357:30Loss
A. Vasilevskiy000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC1121010018:153:15
J. SkinnerLW112100+1216:562:54
D. CozensC011520+2015:273:09
C. MittelstadtC011300+1014:430:48
J. QuinnRW1011000014:161:18
T. JostC101410+1013:550:06
V. HinostrozaC101200+1012:040:00
P. KrebsC000100-2016:451:22
K. OkposoRW0004110014:160:06
V. OlofssonLW000301-2013:323:15
J. PeterkaRW000100-1011:511:00
Z. GirgensonsC0001100011:360:06
R. DahlinD0110110415:433:15
O. PowerD000101+1224:541:09
M. SamuelssonD000344+2224:220:15
I. LyubushkinD0001130023:170:09
H. JokiharjuD0002410020:260:23
R. StillmanD000020077:570:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Comrie36333.91759:54Win
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.