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Game Recap
TBL1
FinalThu, Mar 10, 2022Every game that night
CGY4

CGY beat TBL 4-1, and the chances backed it up: 4.17 expected goals to 3.26. J. Gaudreau scored three for CGY. J. Markstrom stopped 30 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL0101
CGY1214
  1. 1st 7:35CGYJ. GaudreauPP0.04 xG
  2. 2nd 15:40TBLA. Killorn0.07 xG
  3. 2nd 19:00CGYJ. Gaudreau0.01 xG
  4. 2nd 19:52CGYM. Backlund0.03 xG
  5. 3rd 13:44CGYJ. Gaudreau0.15 xG

Team Stats

TBLCGY
31Shots on goal32
3.26Expected goals4.17
57Shot attempts57
275v5 shots on goal25
0/3Power play1/4
14Hits17
13Blocked shots14
10Penalty minutes6
5Giveaways8
5Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 3.26 xGCGY 4.17 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdCGY goal, 7:35TBL goal, 15:40CGY goal, 19:00CGY goal, 19:52CGY goal, 13:44

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL31 on goal, 1 scored
CGY32 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. KillornLW101300+1019:034:18
M. JosephRW011100+1014:100:00
R. ColtonC0115410012:151:36
N. KucherovRW000620-1022:154:24
B. PointC000210-1021:174:17
O. PalatLW000100-1217:471:54
S. StamkosC0001010417:364:08
P. BellemareLW000102-1015:360:00
C. PerryRW000000-2013:511:45
P. MaroonLW000111-2013:331:31
A. CirelliC0000110013:010:00
V. HedmanD000111-1023:274:08
M. SergachevD000200-1222:441:52
R. McDonaghD000001-1020:120:07
E. CernakD0002320018:040:00
J. RuttaD0004120211:530:00
Z. BogosianD000001-1010:230:00
C. FooteD000100007:260:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy32284.87560:00Loss
B. Elliott000–0:00

CGY Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. GaudreauLW303400+1015:592:08
M. BacklundC101300+1017:201:24
E. LindholmC011411+1016:522:02
T. ToffoliC0112110016:062:09
T. LewisC011031+1015:330:27
M. TkachukLW011500+1014:382:03
B. ColemanLW000102+1017:121:29
A. MangiapaneLW0002100015:111:57
A. RuzickaC0001000012:050:00
S. MonahanC0001010011:461:01
M. LucicLW0000200011:270:58
D. DubeC0002000011:110:00
R. AnderssonD0221200021:431:56
E. GudbransonD011220+1021:111:32
N. HanifinD000111-1021:561:13
C. TanevD000314+1019:380:00
N. ZadorovD000030+1618:401:23
O. KylingtonD000003+2015:321:03
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Markstrom31301.96860:00Win
D. Vladar000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.