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Game Recap
TBL2
FinalThu, Mar 23, 2023Every game that night
OTT7

OTT beat TBL 7-2, and the chances backed it up: 4.32 expected goals to 2.76. A. DeBrincat led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). M. Sogaard stopped 27 of 29.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL0112
OTT2147
  1. 1st 8:53OTTA. DeBrincat0.13 xG
  2. 1st 11:37OTTA. DeBrincat0.13 xG
  3. 2nd 10:28TBLB. Point0.17 xG
  4. 2nd 18:04OTTD. BrassardPP0.13 xG
  5. 3rd 4:10TBLM. SergachevPP0.06 xG
  6. 3rd 5:45OTTE. Brannstrom0.10 xG
  7. 3rd 13:11OTTB. TkachukPP0.15 xG
  8. 3rd 13:35OTTB. TkachukEN0.94 xG
  9. 3rd 14:39OTTA. Watson0.16 xG

Team Stats

TBLOTT
29Shots on goal35
2.76Expected goals4.32
61Shot attempts58
255v5 shots on goal27
1/4Power play2/3
27Hits19
9Blocked shots22
18Penalty minutes10
10Giveaways13
8Takeaways15

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 2.76 xGOTT 4.32 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTT goal, 8:53OTT goal, 11:37TBL goal, 10:28OTT goal, 18:04TBL goal, 4:10OTT goal, 5:45OTT goal, 13:11OTT goal, 13:35OTT goal, 14:39

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL29 on goal, 2 scored
OTT34 on goal, 7 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW022110-1019:474:28
S. StamkosC022011-1016:514:26
B. PointC101201-1019:493:59
B. HagelLW000300-1218:261:59
N. PaulLW000110-1017:042:30
A. KillornLW000000-1016:534:26
A. CirelliC000210-3015:450:06
R. ColtonC000241-1012:411:59
T. JeannotLW000060-1211:410:00
C. PerryRW000110-2211:362:01
M. EyssimontC0001300010:120:07
P. MaroonLW000120-11010:030:05
M. SergachevD101210-1022:354:32
V. HedmanD000200-1021:162:05
N. PerbixD000340-1219:150:01
I. ColeD000503-2018:580:00
E. CernakD0003120018:110:11
Z. BogosianD000011-2013:340:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
B. Elliott34286.82459:43Loss
A. Vasilevskiy000–0:00

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. DeBrincatRW213500+2019:174:00
B. TkachukLW202710+2018:374:01
C. GirouxRW022220+2218:261:44
T. StützleC011100+1221:574:05
D. BathersonRW011401+1018:584:03
S. PintoC011311+2017:211:36
D. BrassardC1012200011:231:35
A. WatsonLW101201+109:320:00
P. BrownC011220+108:160:00
D. GambrellC000101-1015:020:00
R. GreigC0001200012:210:00
M. KastelicC000002+105:560:00
E. BrannstromD112103+3215:480:00
T. ChabotD011124+1024:252:23
J. ChychrunD011135+1018:071:37
T. HamonicD011202+1414:330:00
J. SandersonD0000210022:343:16
A. ZubD000021+2020:520:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Sogaard29272.93160:00Win
D. Ferguson000–0:00