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Game Recap
TBL4
FinalSat, Oct 29, 2022Every game that night
SJS3

TBL beat SJS 4-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.53 expected goals to 2.67. E. Karlsson led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Vasilevskiy stopped 24 of 27.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL2114
SJS1113
  1. 1st 0:32TBLV. Hedman0.11 xG
  2. 1st 1:22SJSE. Karlsson0.07 xG
  3. 1st 13:44TBLR. Colton0.02 xG
  4. 2nd 5:36SJSN. Sturm0.01 xG
  5. 2nd 18:41TBLA. Killorn0.10 xG
  6. 3rd 4:34SJSE. KarlssonPP0.07 xG
  7. 3rd 19:03TBLN. Kucherov0.07 xG

Team Stats

TBLSJS
26Shots on goal27
3.53Expected goals2.67
50Shot attempts52
235v5 shots on goal22
0/2Power play1/3
21Hits16
13Blocked shots8
6Penalty minutes4
9Giveaways11
9Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 3.53 xGSJS 2.67 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdTBL goal, 0:32SJS goal, 1:22TBL goal, 13:44SJS goal, 5:36TBL goal, 18:41SJS goal, 4:34TBL goal, 19:03

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL25 on goal, 4 scored
SJS27 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. PointC022200+2020:112:41
A. KillornLW1122000017:061:20
B. HagelLW022200+3017:031:21
N. KucherovRW101411+2220:072:42
N. PaulLW011220-1019:570:00
R. ColtonC101230+1011:071:18
S. StamkosC0002320019:592:40
V. NamestnikovC0001000012:032:40
P. BellemareLW0000000011:270:00
C. PerryRW000101+1010:491:17
P. MaroonLW0000300210:040:00
C. KoepkeLW000120-1010:010:00
E. CernakD011131+1022:140:00
V. HedmanD101202+1218:511:19
M. SergachevD0000040023:502:00
I. ColeD000222+1018:280:00
N. PerbixD0002200017:390:00
C. FooteD0000000015:100:42
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy27243.88959:49Win
B. Elliott000–0:00

SJS Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. HertlC0220200021:023:15
T. MeierRW011500-1020:493:00
N. SturmC101210-1014:540:59
L. KuninC0113310014:531:04
L. CoutureC000000-1019:093:02
A. BarabanovLW000112-1018:573:02
M. NietoLW000301-1016:010:00
E. SvechnikovLW000110-1014:540:00
N. BoninoC0000010213:450:53
K. LabancRW000001009:500:44
S. LorentzC000120009:310:01
O. LindblomLW000310008:090:00
E. KarlssonD202510-1024:333:00
M. VlasicD0110100017:150:00
M. FerraroD0001000223:231:04
M. BenningD000100-2017:560:02
J. MegnaD000021-2016:250:00
R. SimekD000111+1015:490:19
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Reimer26224.84658:45Loss
K. Kahkonen000–0:00