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Game Recap
TOR3
FinalSat, Mar 25, 2023Every game that night
CAR5

CAR beat TOR 5-3 despite fewer good chances: 2.75 expected goals to 5.25. TOR outshot CAR 44 to 28. A. Matthews led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). P. Kochetkov stopped 41 of 44.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TOR0213
CAR2035
  1. 1st 1:54CARB. BurnsPP0.09 xG
  2. 1st 10:52CARJ. Staal0.14 xG
  3. 2nd 4:41TORC. Jarnkrok0.07 xG
  4. 2nd 12:41TORA. Matthews0.02 xG
  5. 3rd 8:13CARS. Noesen0.04 xG
  6. 3rd 17:02TORA. Matthews0.19 xG
  7. 3rd 17:34CARS. Aho0.01 xG
  8. 3rd 18:43CART. TeravainenEN0.60 xG

Team Stats

TORCAR
44Shots on goal28
5.25Expected goals2.75
77Shot attempts46
305v5 shots on goal19
0/3Power play1/2
16Hits14
10Blocked shots16
4Penalty minutes6
10Giveaways12
8Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 5.25 xGCAR 2.75 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdCAR goal, 1:54CAR goal, 10:52TOR goal, 4:41TOR goal, 12:41CAR goal, 8:13TOR goal, 17:02CAR goal, 17:34CAR goal, 18:43

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR43 on goal, 3 scored
CAR28 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. MatthewsC20215000022:195:14
M. MarnerRW011200-1021:434:55
M. BuntingLW0114200018:522:11
C. JarnkrokC1012100017:001:41
W. NylanderRW0001000022:364:22
J. TavaresC000900-2020:403:49
N. AcciariC000042-1216:390:00
A. KerfootC000000-1013:240:03
D. KampfC0001000013:180:06
S. LaffertyC000110009:440:51
Z. Aston-ReeseLW000212008:000:00
M. RiellyD022002+1021:483:43
T. BrodieD0001020019:450:20
J. HollD000110-1017:400:00
J. McCabeD000311-1216:510:11
M. GiordanoD000011-1014:460:22
T. LiljegrenD0001200011:392:12
L. SchennD000120+1011:180:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Murray27234.85258:44Loss
J. Woll000–0:00

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. AhoC1123000020:592:10
M. NecasC022222-1019:202:10
J. FastRW022020+2015:000:01
T. TeravainenC1012010022:062:10
J. MartinookLW0112210218:350:01
J. StaalC101332+1017:480:01
J. KotkaniemiC011212+1012:500:38
S. NoesenRW101300+1012:251:45
S. JarvisRW000001+1012:540:38
J. DruryC000110008:200:38
J. PuljujarviRW000000-107:570:38
D. StepanC000000-107:540:00
J. SlavinD011211-1022:490:00
B. BurnsD1013000222:331:03
S. GostisbehereD011101+1015:062:10
B. SkjeiD000301+1022:140:01
B. PesceD0001030221:150:01
J. ChatfieldD000021+1013:550:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
P. Kochetkov44413.93260:00Win
F. Andersen000–0:00