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Game Recap
TOR2
FinalWed, Mar 1, 2023Every game that night
EDM5

EDM beat TOR 5-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.22 expected goals to 1.62. C. McDavid led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). S. Skinner stopped 26 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TOR1012
EDM3205
  1. 1st 3:49EDMC. McDavidPP0.02 xG
  2. 1st 12:15TORD. Kampf0.08 xG
  3. 1st 13:53EDMC. McDavid0.07 xG
  4. 1st 18:05EDMZ. Hyman0.01 xG
  5. 2nd 8:46EDMK. Yamamoto0.05 xG
  6. 2nd 17:12EDMK. Kostin0.18 xG
  7. 3rd 1:08TORM. MarnerPP0.06 xG

Team Stats

TOREDM
28Shots on goal32
1.62Expected goals3.22
49Shot attempts55
225v5 shots on goal27
1/3Power play1/4
22Hits25
13Blocked shots14
13Penalty minutes11
6Giveaways11
5Takeaways12

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 1.62 xGEDM 3.22 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdEDM goal, 3:49TOR goal, 12:15EDM goal, 13:53EDM goal, 18:05EDM goal, 8:46EDM goal, 17:12TOR goal, 1:08

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR26 on goal, 2 scored
EDM32 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW1123010020:364:08
A. MatthewsC011211-1020:003:38
D. KampfC1012000014:120:00
M. BuntingLW000020-1016:520:36
W. NylanderRW000101-3416:474:07
J. TavaresC000230-2015:334:06
R. O'ReillyC000210-1014:190:38
A. KerfootC0000110013:150:00
N. AcciariC000010-1012:360:00
C. JarnkrokC0002010012:251:06
S. LaffertyC0001010211:560:00
Z. Aston-ReeseLW000010009:120:00
M. RiellyD011122-1021:113:33
T. BrodieD000230-1023:140:00
J. McCabeD0002210220:590:10
J. HollD000143-1520:080:00
M. GiordanoD000510-1017:251:01
T. LiljegrenD000201-2012:520:37
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov32275.84460:00Loss
J. Woll000–0:00

EDM Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. McDavidC213300+2421:443:48
Z. HymanLW112700+2222:303:53
K. KostinC112160+209:250:00
L. DraisaitlC0111110021:253:39
R. Nugent-HopkinsC0110110517:591:28
W. FoegeleLW011100+1014:231:40
K. YamamotoRW1014200013:250:58
R. McLeodC011200+1013:191:45
M. JanmarkC0000010018:210:41
D. RyanC000010+1014:230:16
D. ShoreC000310008:580:00
D. NurseD0115160024:563:26
M. EkholmD011232+2020:500:30
C. CeciD0110100017:550:00
E. BouchardD000103+2019:054:29
V. DesharnaisD000020+1014:540:00
B. KulakD000110+1012:440:59
P. BrobergD000150008:050:13
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Skinner28262.92960:00Win
J. Campbell000–0:00