Game Recap: TOR 6, LAK 7 (OT), April 4, 2026

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Game Recap

TOR6

Final/OTSat, Apr 4, 2026Every game that night

LAK7

LAK beat TOR 7-6 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.49 expected goals to 2.36. LAK outshot TOR 40 to 20. A. Kempe led the way with 4 points (2 G, 2 A). A. Kempe had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 2.7. D. Kuemper stopped 14 of 20.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
TOR	2	2	2	0	6
LAK	0	3	3	1	7

1st 4:19TORM. Knies0.10 xG
1st 13:42TORS. LorentzSH0.24 xG
2nd 1:11LAKQ. Byfield0.55 xG
2nd 3:55LAKA. Kempe0.20 xG
2nd 9:18TORJ. TavaresPP0.45 xG
2nd 14:53LAKA. Panarin0.05 xG
2nd 19:47TORE. CowanPP0.17 xG
3rd 5:46LAKA. Kempe0.05 xG
3rd 6:14LAKS. Helenius0.06 xG
3rd 7:22LAKA. Laferriere0.12 xG
3rd 9:37TORN. Robertson0.15 xG
3rd 13:29TORM. Knies0.08 xG
OT 2:33LAKQ. Byfield0.13 xG

Team Stats

TORLAK

20Shots on goal40

2.36Expected goals4.49

44Shot attempts84

115v5 shots on goal22

2/4Power play0/5

27Hits18

16Blocked shots12

12Penalty minutes12

10Giveaways12

4Takeaways2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 2.36 xGLAK 4.49 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR19 on goal, 6 scored

LAK39 on goal, 7 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Knies	LW	2	2	4	2	3	0	+1	0	19:44	3:20
J. Tavares	C	1	2	3	1	2	0	-1	0	20:21	3:30
W. Nylander	RW	0	1	1	3	0	0	-4	0	23:24	3:26
E. Cowan	RW	1	0	1	3	3	0	-3	2	18:06	3:26
M. Domi	C	0	1	1	2	1	1	-1	6	14:19	1:38
M. Maccelli	LW	0	1	1	1	0	0	-1	0	11:44	1:26
D. Joshua	C	0	1	1	0	1	0	+1	2	10:38	1:20
S. Lorentz	C	1	0	1	2	3	0	-1	0	10:33	0:00
N. Robertson	LW	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	10:14	1:22
C. Jarnkrok	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	0	15:51	0:00
B. Groulx	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	+1	0	15:48	0:00
M. Pezzetta	LW	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	0	5:05	0:00
J. McCabe	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	-2	0	23:45	1:16
M. Rielly	D	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	22:18	3:36
T. Stecher	D	0	0	0	0	1	4	-2	0	21:10	0:00
B. Carlo	D	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	19:15	0:00
P. Myers	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1	2	16:41	0:00
S. Benoit	D	0	0	0	0	4	0	-2	0	14:59	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Woll	40	33	7	.825	62:17	OT loss
A. Stolarz	0	0	0	–	0:00

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Kempe	RW	2	2	4	7	1	1	+1	0	20:02	7:30
A. Panarin	LW	1	2	3	5	0	1	+1	0	22:19	8:20
Q. Byfield	RW	2	0	2	3	0	0	+2	0	21:16	2:22
T. Moore	LW	0	2	2	3	0	0	+2	0	20:44	2:42
A. Laferriere	RW	1	0	1	6	3	1	0	0	24:10	7:38
J. Wright	RW	0	1	1	1	0	2	+1	0	10:40	0:00
S. Helenius	C	1	0	1	2	2	0	+1	0	5:50	0:00
T. Ward	RW	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	5:17	0:00
A. Kopitar	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	+1	0	21:13	7:18
S. Laughton	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	2	15:09	1:41
J. Armia	RW	0	0	0	2	0	3	-1	2	13:28	1:29
J. Malott	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	2	5:18	0:00
M. Anderson	D	0	1	1	1	2	0	+3	4	21:48	0:00
B. Clarke	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	-1	0	20:11	6:23
J. Edmundson	D	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	15:48	0:00
C. Ceci	D	0	1	1	1	2	1	0	0	12:46	0:00
D. Doughty	D	0	0	0	1	3	1	+3	0	29:20	4:08
B. Dumoulin	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	+1	2	13:28	0:29

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	20	14	6	.700	62:33	Win
A. Forsberg	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

TOR

Line 1J. Tavares14:17W. Nylander15:37E. Cowan14:06

Line 2M. Domi10:10M. Maccelli10:02M. Knies9:38

Line 3B. Groulx9:13N. Robertson8:19D. Joshua9:02

Line 4C. Jarnkrok9:51S. Lorentz6:50M. Pezzetta5:05

Pair 1M. Rielly15:34P. Myers15:30

Pair 2J. McCabe13:28B. Carlo12:23

Pair 3T. Stecher15:04S. Benoit10:11

LAK

Line 1T. Moore14:55Q. Byfield14:38A. Laferriere13:04

Line 2A. Kopitar11:27A. Panarin10:44A. Kempe9:48

Line 3J. Armia9:57J. Wright10:24S. Laughton10:47

Line 4J. Malott5:18T. Ward5:17S. Helenius5:50

Pair 1D. Doughty20:40M. Anderson20:23

Pair 2J. Edmundson10:13B. Clarke11:15

Pair 3B. Dumoulin10:59C. Ceci8:41

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamScott Laughton LAK Faces TOR, his team until Mar 20261 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	TOR 2.9, LAK 3.4	TOR 6, LAK 7
Total goals	6.3	13
Shots on goal	TOR 24.9, LAK 32.5	TOR 20, LAK 40
Win chance	LAK 58%	LAK won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
LAK A. Panarin	3.0	5	1.20	3	33%	1
LAK A. Laferriere	2.7	6	0.61	1	22%	1
LAK A. Kempe	2.7	7	0.91	4	32%	2
TOR W. Nylander	2.5	3	1.01	1	34%	0
LAK T. Moore	2.4	3	0.53	2	21%	0
TOR J. Tavares	2.3	1	0.78	3	30%	1
LAK Q. Byfield	2.1	3	0.60	2	21%	2
LAK B. Clarke	2.0	1	0.53	1	11%	0
TOR M. Knies	1.6	2	0.65	4	23%	2
TOR N. Robertson	1.6	2	0.40	1	18%	1
LAK S. Laughton	1.6	1	0.38	0	15%	0
TOR E. Cowan	1.5	3	0.49	1	16%	1
LAK A. Kopitar	1.5	3	0.76	0	22%	0
TOR M. Rielly	1.5	0	0.47	0	9%	0
LAK D. Doughty	1.4	1	0.47	0	12%	0
LAK J. Wright	1.3	1	0.15	1	8%	0
TOR M. Maccelli	1.3	1	0.46	1	14%	0
TOR M. Domi	1.2	2	0.41	1	12%	0
LAK J. Armia	1.1	2	0.30	0	12%	0
TOR P. Myers	1.1	0	0.12	0	3%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.1	1	0.22	1	5%	0
TOR B. Carlo	1.0	1	0.14	0	3%	0
TOR D. Joshua	1.0	0	0.34	1	16%	0
TOR B. Groulx	1.0	1	0.19	0	9%	0
LAK T. Ward	1.0	1	0.19	1	9%	0
TOR J. McCabe	1.0	2	0.32	0	5%	0
TOR T. Stecher	1.0	0	0.17	0	4%	0
LAK J. Malott	0.9	0	0.16	0	6%	0
TOR C. Jarnkrok	0.9	0	0.26	0	12%	0
TOR S. Lorentz	0.9	2	0.21	1	9%	1
LAK M. Anderson	0.9	1	0.26	1	6%	0
LAK C. Ceci	0.7	1	0.16	1	4%	0
TOR S. Benoit	0.7	0	0.10	0	2%	0
LAK S. Helenius	0.7	2	0.17	1	8%	1
LAK B. Dumoulin	0.7	1	0.21	0	4%	0
TOR M. Pezzetta	0.5	0	0.11	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 24 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.