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Game Recap
TOR3
Final/OTSat, Dec 3, 2022Every game that night
TBL4

TBL beat TOR 4-3 in overtime, with the chances close: 4.35 expected goals to 4.01. M. Marner led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Vasilevskiy stopped 36 of 39.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TOR02103
TBL01214
  1. 2nd 5:18TORM. MarnerSH0.06 xG
  2. 2nd 7:40TBLV. Namestnikov0.15 xG
  3. 2nd 16:50TORW. Nylander0.10 xG
  4. 3rd 1:51TBLN. KucherovPP0.06 xG
  5. 3rd 4:34TBLR. ColtonPP0.42 xG
  6. 3rd 11:55TORM. MarnerPP0.12 xG
  7. OT 0:33TBLA. Killorn0.02 xG

Team Stats

TORTBL
39Shots on goal33
4.01Expected goals4.35
58Shot attempts59
245v5 shots on goal23
1/5Power play2/6
31Hits20
10Blocked shots11
16Penalty minutes14
5Giveaways8
8Takeaways12

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 4.01 xGTBL 4.35 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTTOR goal, 5:18TBL goal, 7:40TOR goal, 16:50TBL goal, 1:51TBL goal, 4:34TOR goal, 11:55TBL goal, 0:33

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR38 on goal, 3 scored
TBL32 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW2025100221:515:25
W. NylanderRW1016010020:105:36
A. MatthewsC011811-1020:095:23
M. BuntingLW0110310214:571:31
D. KampfC011220+1014:100:07
J. TavaresC0003010017:265:15
N. RobertsonLW0003310013:352:36
A. KerfootC0001000213:210:54
P. EngvallLW0001200012:462:47
Z. Aston-ReeseLW0001200210:240:15
W. SimmondsRW000120027:130:15
P. HolmbergRW000100026:500:13
J. HollD000051+1025:590:00
M. GiordanoD000113+2025:082:29
R. SandinD000441-2021:005:29
T. LiljegrenD0000300219:242:37
V. MeteD0000100013:360:18
M. HollowellD0002100210:100:20
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Murray33294.87960:33OT loss
I. Samsonov000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. PerryRW0223200013:154:55
A. CirelliC022310+2012:510:00
N. KucherovRW101221-2222:458:43
S. StamkosC011340-1021:448:43
A. KillornLW101210+1015:262:39
V. NamestnikovC101210+1010:130:00
R. ColtonC101310+108:482:42
B. HagelLW000010-2221:445:54
B. PointC000110-2021:438:41
N. PaulLW0002010019:113:30
P. MaroonLW000300008:280:00
P. BellemareLW000200007:490:00
M. SergachevD011011-1224:384:40
E. CernakD0112530219:450:13
V. HedmanD000201+1025:005:03
I. ColeD0002020419:180:00
N. PerbixD0000020210:080:03
Z. BogosianD000100008:560:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy39363.92360:12Win
B. Elliott000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamNick Paul TOR First game back in Tampa, his team until May 20262 SOG
  • Old teamPontus Holmberg TBL Faces TOR, his team until May 20251 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.