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Game Recap
UTA1
BOS4
BOS beat UTA 4-1, and the chances backed it up: 2.76 expected goals to 1.99. M. Geekie led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). J. Swayman stopped 20 of 21.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| BOS | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
- 1st 8:34UTAB. HaytonPP0.07 xG
- 1st 16:01BOSM. GeekiePP0.09 xG
- 2nd 0:23BOSM. Geekie0.53 xG
- 3rd 10:16BOSC. Mittelstadt0.26 xG
- 3rd 16:02BOSM. Eyssimont0.25 xG
Team Stats
UTABOS
21Shots on goal23
1.99Expected goals2.76
59Shot attempts47
165v5 shots on goal19
1/3Power play1/4
21Hits21
10Blocked shots23
28Penalty minutes16
12Giveaways14
4Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
UTA 1.99 xGBOS 2.76 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
UTA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hayton | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 13:42 | 2:51 |
| D. But | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 13:10 | 2:07 |
| N. Schmaltz | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 2:56 |
| C. Keller | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:39 | 3:01 |
| J. Peterka | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:42 | 2:57 |
| D. Guenther | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 15:26 | 3:38 |
| M. Carcone | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:14 | 2:45 |
| L. Crouse | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 15:04 | 2:42 |
| K. Stenlund | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:26 | 0:00 |
| J. McBain | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 13:52 | 0:00 |
| K. Yamamoto | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:30 | 0:00 |
| L. O'Brien | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9:52 | 0:00 |
| S. Durzi | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 10 | 23:02 | 3:04 |
| M. Sergachev | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 25:28 | 2:35 |
| J. Marino | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:55 | 0:07 |
| N. Schmidt | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:19 | 0:07 |
| I. Cole | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 16:20 | 0:00 |
| O. Määttä | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 12:30 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vanecek | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 60:00 | Loss |
| K. Vejmelka | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
BOS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pastrnak | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:40 | 4:30 |
| M. Geekie | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:32 | 4:35 |
| P. Zacha | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:29 | 4:26 |
| E. Lindholm | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:05 | 4:28 |
| C. Mittelstadt | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:24 | 0:45 |
| M. Khusnutdinov | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:05 | 0:00 |
| M. Eyssimont | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:36 | 0:37 |
| F. Minten | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:53 | 0:01 |
| S. Kuraly | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:41 | 0:26 |
| M. Kastelic | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:26 | 0:26 |
| A. Steeves | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 10 | 12:22 | 0:42 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:22 | 0:26 |
| N. Zadorov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 0 | 21:05 | 0:00 |
| C. McAvoy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 24:19 | 4:23 |
| H. Lindholm | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:22 | 0:51 |
| A. Peeke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:41 | 0:03 |
| M. Lohrei | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 2 | 14:40 | 1:05 |
| V. Soderstrom | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 13:38 | 0:26 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Swayman | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 58:54 | Win |
| J. Korpisalo | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
UTA
Line 1N. Schmaltz15:11C. Keller15:38J. Peterka14:45
Line 2M. Carcone12:29D. But11:03J. McBain10:56
Line 3B. Hayton10:24D. Guenther10:39L. Crouse9:11
Line 4K. Stenlund11:45K. Yamamoto11:29L. O'Brien8:46
Pair 1S. Durzi19:23M. Sergachev18:22
Pair 2N. Schmidt15:40J. Marino17:35
BOS
Line 1D. Pastrnak14:04M. Geekie13:16E. Lindholm12:47
Line 2C. Mittelstadt13:39M. Khusnutdinov12:45P. Zacha12:28
Line 3M. Eyssimont11:34A. Steeves11:19F. Minten11:50
Line 4S. Kuraly10:15M. Kastelic9:08T. Jeannot9:19
Pair 1N. Zadorov17:00C. McAvoy16:46
Pair 2H. Lindholm16:21A. Peeke18:12
Pair 3V. Soderstrom13:12M. Lohrei13:35
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UTA 3.1, BOS 2.9 | UTA 1, BOS 4 |
| Total goals | 6.0 | 5 |
| Shots on goal | UTA 29.6, BOS 25.6 | UTA 21, BOS 23 |
| Win chance | UTA 52% | BOS won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 3.3 | 5 | 1.17 | 2 | 40% | 0 |
| UTA D. Guenther | 3.0 | 0 | 0.77 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| UTA C. Keller | 2.9 | 4 | 0.97 | 0 | 30% | 0 |
| UTA J. Peterka | 2.7 | 2 | 0.84 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| UTA N. Schmaltz | 2.5 | 0 | 0.83 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| BOS M. Eyssimont | 2.1 | 2 | 0.32 | 1 | 13% | 1 |
| UTA L. Crouse | 2.0 | 0 | 0.45 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| UTA M. Carcone | 1.9 | 2 | 0.40 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| UTA M. Sergachev | 1.9 | 2 | 0.64 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| BOS M. Geekie | 1.9 | 3 | 0.74 | 2 | 29% | 2 |
| UTA B. Hayton | 1.7 | 2 | 0.37 | 1 | 15% | 1 |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 1.7 | 1 | 0.55 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| BOS H. Lindholm | 1.7 | 1 | 0.44 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| UTA D. But | 1.6 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 1.5 | 1 | 0.58 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| UTA S. Durzi | 1.5 | 1 | 0.41 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| BOS M. Kastelic | 1.5 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| BOS S. Kuraly | 1.4 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| BOS P. Zacha | 1.4 | 1 | 0.58 | 1 | 18% | 0 |
| BOS N. Zadorov | 1.4 | 0 | 0.33 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| BOS A. Steeves | 1.4 | 2 | 0.46 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| BOS F. Minten | 1.3 | 1 | 0.35 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| BOS A. Peeke | 1.3 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| BOS T. Jeannot | 1.2 | 1 | 0.34 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| BOS C. Mittelstadt | 1.2 | 1 | 0.54 | 1 | 18% | 1 |
| UTA J. McBain | 1.2 | 2 | 0.31 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| UTA K. Stenlund | 1.2 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| UTA N. Schmidt | 1.2 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| UTA L. O'Brien | 1.0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 0.9 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| BOS M. Khusnutdinov | 0.9 | 2 | 0.29 | 1 | 12% | 0 |
| UTA J. Marino | 0.9 | 0 | 0.37 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| UTA K. Yamamoto | 0.9 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| BOS V. Soderstrom | 0.9 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 1% | 0 |
| UTA I. Cole | 0.7 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| UTA O. Määttä | 0.6 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 24 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.