Game Recap: VAN 1, OTT 2, January 13, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

VAN1

FinalTue, Jan 13, 2026Every game that night

OTT2

OTT beat VAN 2-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.60 expected goals to 2.36. OTT outshot VAN 40 to 20. T. Stützle had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.4. L. Meriläinen stopped 19 of 20.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
VAN	0	0	1	1
OTT	2	0	0	2

1st 15:36OTTA. Zub0.02 xG
1st 15:51OTTJ. Spence0.05 xG
3rd 1:17VANE. Pettersson0.14 xG

Team Stats

VANOTT

20Shots on goal40

2.36Expected goals3.60

54Shot attempts74

175v5 shots on goal32

0/1Power play0/2

21Hits25

18Blocked shots16

4Penalty minutes2

14Giveaways11

5Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

VAN 2.36 xGOTT 3.60 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

VAN19 on goal, 1 scored

OTT40 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

VAN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
E. Pettersson	C	1	0	1	3	0	2	+1	0	15:28	1:12
L. Karlsson	C	0	1	1	0	2	2	+1	0	14:06	0:51
C. Garland	RW	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	2	17:31	1:16
B. Boeser	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	17:19	1:09
E. Kane	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	16:23	0:44
D. Kampf	C	0	0	0	2	2	0	-1	0	15:50	0:00
J. DeBrusk	LW	0	0	0	4	1	2	+1	0	14:43	1:08
A. Räty	C	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	14:39	0:00
N. Hoglander	LW	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	14:27	0:00
M. Sasson	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	0	13:56	0:52
D. O'Connor	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	13:30	0:00
L. Ohgren	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	0	13:15	0:48
M. Pettersson	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	+1	0	24:49	0:00
F. Hronek	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	+1	2	23:16	0:27
Z. Buium	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	21:23	1:33
T. Myers	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	20:20	0:00
V. Mancini	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	0	14:51	0:00
P. Joseph	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	-2	0	13:31	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
K. Lankinen	40	38	2	.950	58:15	Loss
N. Tolopilo	0	0	0	–	0:00

OTT Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Stützle	C	0	1	1	6	0	0	+1	0	17:47	1:03
S. Pinto	C	0	1	1	3	2	0	+1	0	16:45	1:25
M. Amadio	RW	0	1	1	0	3	1	+1	0	16:00	0:28
D. Batherson	RW	0	1	1	2	4	0	+1	0	15:53	1:00
R. Greig	C	0	0	0	3	1	0	+1	0	16:04	0:28
B. Tkachuk	LW	0	0	0	4	2	1	-1	0	15:52	1:01
D. Cozens	C	0	0	0	3	0	1	-1	0	15:39	1:00
C. Giroux	RW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	2	15:06	1:00
F. Zetterlund	LW	0	0	0	2	2	2	+1	0	14:29	0:59
D. Perron	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	13:21	1:00
N. Cousins	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	11:41	0:00
L. Eller	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	11:16	0:00
A. Zub	D	1	0	1	2	2	4	+1	0	22:22	0:28
J. Spence	D	1	0	1	3	1	1	+1	0	16:12	0:00
J. Sanderson	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	+1	0	22:52	1:31
T. Chabot	D	0	0	0	3	1	2	-1	0	21:04	0:57
N. Jensen	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	18:57	0:00
T. Kleven	D	0	0	0	0	5	1	+1	0	16:40	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Meriläinen	20	19	1	.950	60:00	Win
H. Shepard	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

VAN

Line 1E. Kane15:39N. Hoglander14:27A. Räty13:41

Line 2B. Boeser15:25D. Kampf14:34C. Garland13:32

Line 3E. Pettersson12:27J. DeBrusk12:14L. Karlsson12:18

Line 4M. Sasson13:04L. Ohgren11:42D. O'Connor12:23

Pair 1M. Pettersson23:23F. Hronek21:09

Pair 2T. Myers18:53Z. Buium18:10

Pair 3P. Joseph12:29V. Mancini13:50

OTT

Line 1C. Giroux14:06D. Cozens14:39B. Tkachuk13:56

Line 2D. Batherson14:07T. Stützle15:13F. Zetterlund13:30

Line 3M. Amadio14:03R. Greig13:27S. Pinto13:09

Line 4D. Perron12:21L. Eller11:16N. Cousins11:41

Pair 1N. Jensen18:57T. Chabot18:58

Pair 2J. Sanderson18:49A. Zub19:03

Pair 3J. Spence16:12T. Kleven15:53

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamLeevi Meriläinen VAN First game back in Ottawa, his team until Jan 202619 saves on 20, the win

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	VAN 2.8, OTT 3.6	VAN 1, OTT 2
Total goals	6.3	3
Shots on goal	VAN 23.8, OTT 29.8	VAN 20, OTT 40
Win chance	OTT 62%	OTT won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
OTT B. Tkachuk	3.8	4	0.92	0	33%	0
OTT T. Stützle	2.4	6	1.14	1	31%	0
OTT D. Batherson	2.3	2	0.92	1	29%	0
VAN J. DeBrusk	2.3	4	0.54	0	25%	0
OTT D. Cozens	2.2	3	0.70	0	23%	0
OTT J. Sanderson	2.2	2	0.76	0	15%	0
VAN E. Kane	2.1	1	0.49	0	23%	0
VAN B. Boeser	2.0	1	0.68	0	28%	0
OTT S. Pinto	2.0	3	0.70	1	27%	0
VAN C. Garland	1.9	1	0.55	0	20%	0
VAN E. Pettersson	1.8	3	0.78	1	27%	1
OTT T. Chabot	1.8	3	0.58	0	13%	0
OTT C. Giroux	1.8	2	0.79	0	23%	0
OTT F. Zetterlund	1.7	2	0.44	0	18%	0
OTT R. Greig	1.6	3	0.42	0	16%	0
VAN L. Karlsson	1.5	0	0.45	1	18%	0
OTT D. Perron	1.5	1	0.53	0	20%	0
VAN L. Ohgren	1.3	2	0.22	0	11%	0
VAN F. Hronek	1.3	0	0.51	0	7%	0
VAN D. O'Connor	1.3	0	0.33	0	14%	0
OTT M. Amadio	1.3	0	0.43	1	19%	0
VAN M. Sasson	1.2	0	0.31	0	17%	0
OTT J. Spence	1.2	3	0.37	1	6%	1
VAN T. Myers	1.0	1	0.24	0	4%	0
OTT T. Kleven	1.0	0	0.18	0	4%	0
VAN N. Hoglander	1.0	0	0.29	0	13%	0
VAN A. Räty	1.0	4	0.32	0	13%	0
OTT A. Zub	0.9	2	0.26	1	6%	1
VAN D. Kampf	0.9	2	0.25	0	11%	0
OTT N. Cousins	0.9	2	0.25	0	10%	0
VAN M. Pettersson	0.9	0	0.29	0	4%	0
VAN Z. Buium	0.9	0	0.33	0	6%	0
OTT L. Eller	0.9	1	0.23	0	10%	0
VAN P. Joseph	0.7	1	0.15	0	3%	0
OTT N. Jensen	0.7	1	0.23	0	4%	0
VAN V. Mancini	0.6	0	0.17	0	4%	0

Shots on goal: 17 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.