Game Recap: VGK 5, ANA 1, May 14, 2026

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Game Recap

VGK5

FinalThu, May 14, 2026PlayoffsEvery game that night

ANA1

VGK beat ANA 5-1, with the chances close: 3.29 expected goals to 2.71. ANA outshot VGK 32 to 21. P. Dorofeyev led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). B. Sennecke had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.3. C. Hart stopped 31 of 32.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
VGK	3	0	2	5
ANA	0	1	0	1

1st 1:02VGKM. Marner0.34 xG
1st 8:30VGKB. HowdenSH0.20 xG
1st 17:19VGKS. TheodorePP0.05 xG
2nd 12:46ANAM. GranlundPP0.08 xG
3rd 2:52VGKP. Dorofeyev0.18 xG
3rd 13:32VGKP. Dorofeyev0.03 xG

Team Stats

VGKANA

21Shots on goal32

3.29Expected goals2.71

48Shot attempts70

185v5 shots on goal21

1/2Power play1/5

24Hits30

13Blocked shots11

10Penalty minutes6

17Giveaways20

4Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

VGK 3.29 xGANA 2.71 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

VGK20 on goal, 5 scored

ANA32 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

VGK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Marner	RW	1	1	2	1	1	0	+2	0	18:11	1:13
P. Dorofeyev	RW	2	0	2	3	0	0	+2	0	16:43	1:17
W. Karlsson	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	2	17:32	0:48
I. Barbashev	LW	0	1	1	0	4	0	+2	0	17:01	0:50
B. Howden	C	1	0	1	3	2	0	+2	0	16:13	0:48
T. Hertl	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	9:05	1:16
J. Eichel	C	0	0	0	4	0	1	+2	0	20:25	1:17
N. Dowd	C	0	0	0	1	3	3	0	4	14:58	0:00
C. Sissons	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	11:26	0:00
K. Kolesar	RW	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	10:54	0:00
C. Smith	RW	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	2	10:44	0:00
B. Saad	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	7:01	0:00
S. Theodore	D	1	1	2	1	0	2	+3	0	24:38	1:15
R. Andersson	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	26:04	0:49
N. Hanifin	D	0	1	1	2	1	1	+1	2	25:55	0:52
D. Coghlan	D	0	0	0	2	4	2	+3	0	19:30	0:00
B. Hutton	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	12:27	0:00
K. Korczak	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	10:26	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Hart	32	31	1	.969	60:00	Win
A. Hill	0	0	0	–	0:00

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Granlund	C	1	0	1	4	2	0	-2	2	24:09	5:45
T. Terry	RW	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	0	20:27	5:47
L. Carlsson	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	16:45	4:30
A. Killorn	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-3	2	21:11	3:31
B. Sennecke	RW	0	0	0	5	0	0	-2	0	20:03	5:02
C. Gauthier	LW	0	0	0	2	2	0	-2	0	17:34	5:01
C. Kreider	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	15:49	3:53
T. Washe	C	0	0	0	1	4	1	-1	0	14:17	0:25
M. McTavish	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	0	12:20	2:54
J. Viel	LW	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	11:35	0:00
R. Johnston	LW	0	0	0	1	6	0	-1	0	8:46	0:00
J. Harkins	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	6:04	0:00
J. LaCombe	D	0	0	0	3	1	4	-4	0	29:36	5:02
J. Carlson	D	0	0	0	3	1	1	-1	0	23:02	3:46
J. Trouba	D	0	0	0	3	4	1	-2	2	22:09	0:00
P. Mintyukov	D	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	13:39	0:00
O. Zellweger	D	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	13:28	0:00
I. Moore	D	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	9:30	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Dostal	21	16	5	.762	55:31	Loss
V. Husso	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

VGK

Line 1I. Barbashev14:26P. Dorofeyev13:06J. Eichel13:57

Line 2M. Marner12:55B. Howden12:02W. Karlsson13:07

Line 3N. Dowd10:43C. Smith9:40K. Kolesar8:39

Line 4B. Saad7:01T. Hertl7:49C. Sissons9:24

Pair 1S. Theodore17:32D. Coghlan16:19

Pair 2N. Hanifin17:00R. Andersson15:42

Pair 3B. Hutton11:52K. Korczak10:26

ANA

Line 1A. Killorn16:02M. Granlund16:16B. Sennecke13:06

Line 2C. Kreider10:11L. Carlsson9:48T. Terry11:34

Line 3M. McTavish7:58C. Gauthier10:29J. Viel11:35

Line 4T. Washe11:05R. Johnston8:46J. Harkins6:04

Pair 1J. LaCombe20:51J. Trouba19:33

Pair 2J. Carlson16:16O. Zellweger11:49

Pair 3P. Mintyukov12:08I. Moore8:09

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	VGK 3.3, ANA 3.2	VGK 5, ANA 1
Total goals	6.5	6
Shots on goal	VGK 27.3, ANA 29.5	VGK 21, ANA 32
Win chance	VGK 51%	VGK won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
VGK J. Eichel	3.2	4	1.26	0	32%	0
ANA C. Gauthier	3.0	2	0.72	0	29%	0
VGK P. Dorofeyev	2.6	3	0.74	2	33%	2
ANA L. Carlsson	2.5	0	0.75	1	26%	0
ANA B. Sennecke	2.3	5	0.64	0	23%	0
ANA T. Terry	2.2	2	0.74	1	24%	0
VGK M. Marner	2.2	1	1.17	2	30%	1
VGK S. Theodore	2.1	1	0.81	2	16%	1
VGK R. Andersson	2.0	1	0.49	1	13%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.9	0	0.54	0	23%	0
ANA J. Carlson	1.9	3	0.64	0	11%	0
ANA J. Trouba	1.8	3	0.32	0	8%	0
VGK W. Karlsson	1.8	0	0.57	1	21%	0
VGK T. Hertl	1.8	1	0.60	1	22%	0
VGK D. Coghlan	1.8	2	0.19	0	4%	0
VGK N. Hanifin	1.7	2	0.49	1	9%	0
ANA M. Granlund	1.7	4	0.67	1	20%	1
ANA J. LaCombe	1.7	3	0.65	0	11%	0
ANA M. McTavish	1.7	2	0.48	0	17%	0
VGK I. Barbashev	1.7	0	0.72	1	24%	0
ANA C. Kreider	1.6	1	0.60	0	28%	0
VGK B. Howden	1.4	3	0.53	1	24%	1
ANA J. Viel	1.3	0	0.24	0	10%	0
VGK B. Saad	1.3	1	0.29	0	14%	0
VGK B. Hutton	1.2	1	0.24	0	6%	0
VGK C. Sissons	1.1	0	0.29	0	12%	0
ANA O. Zellweger	1.1	2	0.21	0	6%	0
ANA P. Mintyukov	1.0	1	0.25	0	6%	0
VGK N. Dowd	0.9	1	0.29	0	13%	0
VGK C. Smith	0.9	0	0.22	0	10%	0
ANA T. Washe	0.9	1	0.17	0	9%	0
VGK K. Kolesar	0.8	0	0.22	0	9%	0
ANA I. Moore	0.7	1	0.12	0	4%	0
ANA J. Harkins	0.7	1	0.13	0	6%	0
VGK K. Korczak	0.6	0	0.19	0	3%	0
ANA R. Johnston	0.6	1	0.17	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.